Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

77 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$23

$87 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-12

last 10-18 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

76% 53% -$7

Politics

20% 73% +$7

Tech

4% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	10-02 09:29
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-13 16:42
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	08-14 01:03
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-13 08:28
will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-12 08:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-12 16:21
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-13 00:22
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:44
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-21 14:29
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-23 19:50
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	5	+5	No	+$4	09-16 15:28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-02 17:35
will xagusd dip to 62 by august 17 2026	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	08-17 04:34
will pltr dip to 189 by september 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-24 03:51
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-16 07:14
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 23:36
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 17:41
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-18 22:35
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-21 06:08
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-01 12:44
will googl dip to 335 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-18 05:11
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-03 21:11
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	09-20 21:42
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-02 07:30
will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	08-18 13:42
will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-20 23:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	08-23 08:51
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	08-20 13:32
will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026 632	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-29 16:23
will meta reach 780 by september 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-22 23:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 17:18:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xde2c00…
10-17 06:42:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x33a2b9…
10-16 13:01:45	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf950a9…
10-16 04:50:37	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbc32e9…
10-15 20:39:57	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbb9f55…
10-14 11:21:49	will googl reach 365 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x18deff…
10-14 02:35:34	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe389e5…
10-13 17:28:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $198 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x68dc6e…
10-11 08:30:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x66cbcc…
10-10 21:58:09	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb12340…
10-10 13:05:54	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x95d81b…
10-10 04:40:43	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xab291d…
10-08 06:24:35	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x81ffa2…
10-07 22:22:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4ce800…
10-07 00:46:58	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $196 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbda995…
10-06 04:37:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeab366…
10-05 17:56:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdbe8fb…
10-05 08:17:17	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2ac8d7…
10-04 23:07:19	will tsla dip to 360 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd8554a…
10-02 09:29:50	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x35196c…
10-02 09:28:59	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x476586…
10-01 11:54:48	wti up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa93d50…
10-01 03:53:06	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0cfead…
09-29 18:02:09	will coin reach 197 50 by september 28 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x244805…
09-29 09:55:47	will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x31a258…
09-28 13:54:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x492282…
09-28 05:24:17	will nflx dip to 70 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcc8258…
09-27 21:23:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5098e3…
09-27 11:52:26	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd725d6…
09-27 03:09:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0756fe…
09-26 18:43:47	will xagusd dip to 64 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x483803…
09-26 08:16:03	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xab4116…
09-25 22:15:47	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa85a13…
09-25 14:11:29	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3bd503…
09-25 04:44:02	spy closes above 770 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaf989d…
09-24 19:54:51	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf13fa6…
09-24 19:54:06	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2f35d1…
09-24 11:52:18	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x881bed…
09-24 03:51:11	will pltr dip to 189 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x1d0c62…
09-23 19:50:46	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x8d0d26…
09-22 23:45:59	will meta reach 780 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xecfe6d…
09-22 23:36:28	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xabee5f…
09-21 14:29:27	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x1c53be…
09-21 06:08:23	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x408d7e…
09-20 21:42:47	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb3a593…
09-19 07:44:55	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb736f6…
09-18 22:35:15	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x11fff8…
09-17 17:41:40	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x21162e…
09-16 15:28:39	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc7114e…
09-16 07:14:55	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x4ef34f…
09-03 21:11:55	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xba644e…
09-02 17:35:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xa2585b…
09-02 07:30:43	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x96169e…
09-01 12:44:19	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x25e12c…
08-29 16:23:22	will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026 632	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x65ff02…
08-29 08:23:13	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x563e7c…
08-24 10:25:48	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x66c55e…
08-24 02:24:49	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x396aa9…
08-23 08:51:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x3e9479…
08-20 23:40:09	will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x411455…
08-20 13:32:30	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe8bcdb…
08-19 18:12:09	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x2e5ca6…
08-19 08:30:52	spy closes above 765 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x5cfdc3…
08-19 07:26:39	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xbf150b…
08-18 21:49:12	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbfa830…
08-18 13:42:01	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x349b8f…
08-18 05:11:00	will googl dip to 335 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xe43cda…
08-17 21:05:58	will nflx dip to 72 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x5eb9e9…
08-17 12:49:28	wti closes above 82 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x80adce…
08-17 04:34:49	will xagusd dip to 62 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbda11b…
08-14 16:25:13	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x385a4c…
08-14 01:03:03	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x2d427b…
08-13 16:42:46	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xbd9937…
08-13 08:28:28	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x416c80…
08-13 00:22:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x31f68e…
08-12 16:21:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xae427a…
08-12 08:20:40	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x01e868…