Fortunate-Moth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

197

Trades

3,446

lifetime

Volume

$30.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 06-07 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% +$12

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771523100	1	$1.3K	2,625	+2,625	open	—	02-19 17:47
btc updown 15m 1771522200	1	$640	1,320	+1,320	open	—	02-19 17:30
btc updown 15m 1771521300	1	$320	665	+665	open	—	02-19 17:15
btc updown 15m 1771520400	1	$160	321	+321	open	—	02-19 17:00
btc updown 15m 1771190100	1	$160	356	+356	open	—	02-15 21:15
btc updown 15m 1771229700	1	$160	333	+333	open	—	02-16 08:15
btc updown 15m 1770983100	1	$158	158	+158	open	—	02-13 11:59
btc updown 15m 1771056000	1	$158	158	+158	open	—	02-14 08:14
btc updown 15m 1770946200	1	$158	158	+158	open	—	02-13 01:44
btc updown 15m 1770993900	1	$158	158	+158	open	—	02-13 14:59
btc updown 15m 1770994800	1	$158	158	+158	open	—	02-13 15:14
btc updown 15m 1771066800	1	$158	158	+158	open	—	02-14 11:14
btc updown 15m 1770912000	1	$157	157	+157	open	—	02-12 16:14
btc updown 15m 1770910200	1	$157	157	+157	open	—	02-12 15:44
btc updown 15m 1770919200	1	$157	158	+158	open	—	02-12 18:14
btc updown 15m 1770913800	1	$157	157	+157	open	—	02-12 16:44
btc updown 15m 1770908400	1	$157	159	+159	open	—	02-12 15:14
btc updown 15m 1770909300	1	$157	157	+157	open	—	02-12 15:29
btc updown 15m 1770911100	1	$157	157	+157	open	—	02-12 15:59
btc updown 15m 1770839100	1	$156	156	+156	open	—	02-11 19:59
btc updown 15m 1770906600	1	$156	158	+158	open	—	02-12 14:44
btc updown 15m 1770880500	1	$156	156	+156	open	—	02-12 07:29
btc updown 15m 1770833700	1	$156	156	+156	open	—	02-11 18:29
btc updown 15m 1770835500	1	$156	156	+156	open	—	02-11 18:59
btc updown 15m 1770871500	1	$156	156	+156	open	—	02-12 04:59
btc updown 15m 1770842700	1	$156	156	+156	open	—	02-11 20:59
btc updown 15m 1770858000	1	$156	156	+156	open	—	02-12 01:14
eth updown 15m 1770829200	3	$152	155	+155	open	—	02-11 17:14
eth updown 15m 1770804000	7	$152	152	+152	open	—	02-11 10:14
eth updown 15m 1770817500	1	$151	153	+153	open	—	02-11 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:00:04	btc updown 4h 1780819200	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4e530d…
06-07 00:06:54	btc updown 4h 1780790400	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x929de3…
06-06 16:00:03	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6b009f…
06-06 08:00:04	btc updown 4h 1780732800	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x66dbde…
06-06 04:00:04	btc updown 4h 1780718400	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x226259…
06-06 00:02:31	btc updown 4h 1780704000	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x496524…
06-06 00:02:27	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xaad332…
06-05 23:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x77886b…
06-05 22:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x796aaa…
06-05 21:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x079da0…
06-05 19:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x001e0e…
06-05 17:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x37e489…
06-05 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc2e899…
06-05 12:00:03	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1f41b4…
06-05 10:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd3640b…
06-05 07:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x71d8e9…
06-05 06:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa180aa…
06-05 05:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xda9448…
06-05 03:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3312f3…
06-05 02:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf9480d…
06-05 01:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xeaa3a1…
06-05 00:06:51	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x540750…
06-04 23:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2d4e7b…
06-04 20:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7e125b…
06-04 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdccdec…
06-04 13:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6124bc…
06-04 08:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2200b5…
06-04 06:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9ff142…
06-04 05:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x266442…
06-04 04:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2be58f…
06-04 03:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8ba5d0…
06-04 02:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfb3e4b…
06-04 00:07:04	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4c98a6…
06-03 21:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe65e46…
06-03 18:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x274387…
06-03 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7f9b77…
06-03 11:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x54117d…
06-03 09:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x364153…
06-03 08:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcca20b…
06-03 07:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf3cfff…
06-03 06:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x82dbef…
06-03 05:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4b54d6…
06-03 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc8044e…
06-03 02:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc3610f…
06-03 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbefbdc…
06-01 00:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xce0f0f…
05-31 21:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x16103f…
05-31 10:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x28d878…
05-31 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5fb313…
05-31 07:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5a0e03…
05-30 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x15fe3f…
05-30 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1be22d…
05-29 00:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x61a594…
05-28 19:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x223822…
05-28 16:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3298bc…
05-28 15:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xee27df…
05-28 14:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3ea46a…
05-28 14:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x17ac1e…
05-28 14:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd37e0a…
05-28 13:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x308b85…
05-28 12:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x25216b…
05-28 12:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0c6740…
05-28 12:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe9445c…
05-28 11:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x697e2a…
05-28 10:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe57ace…
05-28 10:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x81514d…
05-28 09:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5993c1…
05-28 09:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x35859f…
05-28 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x450782…
05-28 07:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x30766f…
05-28 07:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x098b30…
05-28 07:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x723f71…
05-28 07:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8ef9cd…
05-28 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdaa3bf…
05-28 05:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcac203…
05-28 05:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xde114d…
05-28 04:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4d30ef…
05-28 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9a1a54…
05-28 03:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x291ffc…
05-28 01:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf703df…
05-28 00:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa1a262…
05-28 00:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0acb0b…
05-28 00:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1203f8…
05-27 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x225de5…
05-27 21:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9262e4…
05-27 20:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x24c6b2…
05-27 19:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc9ecb7…
05-27 17:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5898bb…
05-27 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0e4f52…
05-27 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2b5ac8…
05-27 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa5ffca…
05-27 13:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf60188…
05-27 11:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x25f78a…
05-27 08:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x049db1…
05-27 07:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd9ec66…
05-27 05:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf30de3…
05-27 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x04bb0d…
05-27 00:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc2775b…
05-27 00:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x609d9d…
05-26 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x400b51…