Fortunate-Moth — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

9 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$9 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down		+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$1	05-05 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8987e5…
05-05 10:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1ef31a…
05-05 06:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x67ecf8…
05-05 04:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6f9306…
05-05 04:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x21bef8…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa1ab19…
05-05 02:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7889af…
05-05 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1677d3…
05-04 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x553c82…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	9	$1.31K	85	05-05 21:40
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	8	$1.71K	52	05-05 21:39
Dramatic-Mantel 0xad57…3fed	3	$606	3	05-05 04:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 10:15