Dramatic-Billion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

Trades

874

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-21 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

82% 0% $-41

Politics

16% 100% +$17

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	2	$396	200	200	+0	open	—	03-25 06:50
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	3	$375	195	195	+0	open	—	03-24 15:04
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	4	$334	185	185	+0	open	—	03-21 09:50
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	5	$327	175	175	+0	open	—	03-23 11:41
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	5	$298	150	150	-0	open	—	03-24 14:05
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	2	$273	150	150	+0	open	—	03-19 17:06
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	3	$267	140	140	+0	open	—	03-20 15:12
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	3	$258	130	130	+0	open	—	03-13 06:40
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	3	$252	130	130	+0	open	—	03-20 06:25
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	5	$238	135	135	+0	open	—	03-27 03:43
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	8	$234	175	175	+0	open	—	03-31 15:50
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	6	$226	196	196	+0	open	—	04-03 15:38
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	7	$225	135	135	+0	open	—	03-25 15:33
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	14	$216	179	99	+80	open	—	04-14 08:37
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 190 214	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	03-11 05:58
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-19 06:36
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	4	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 15:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	18	$183	215	215	+0	open	—	02-28 21:14
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	2	$173	90	90	+0	open	—	04-06 14:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	7	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 19:54
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	2	$157	80	80	+0	open	—	03-24 11:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	6	$156	99	99	+0	open	—	04-25 15:27
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	2	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	03-25 20:46
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	6	$154	120	120	+0	open	—	03-28 12:19
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$147	82	82	+0	open	—	03-29 10:12
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 40 64	2	$143	75	75	+0	open	—	03-22 05:44
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	4	$139	86	86	+0	open	—	03-30 14:32
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	2	$138	70	70	+0	open	—	03-12 14:31
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$136	69	69	+0	open	—	03-16 06:03
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	4	$134	75	75	+0	open	—	04-08 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 13:19:20	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8ffacb…
05-21 10:11:04	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x8c9842…
05-20 21:03:30	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf44b9c…
05-20 20:11:37	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xda76cb…
05-20 19:46:02	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2b6b0d…
05-20 19:43:40	Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A	Nix Team	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x55cff9…
05-20 19:43:33	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa7df55…
05-20 13:27:48	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x06067a…
05-20 13:09:24	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Tundra Esports	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xa9d8db…
05-20 13:09:15	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xed3724…
05-20 12:38:25	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf15b9f…
05-20 12:32:18	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1eefaa…
05-20 11:07:18	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Tundra Esports	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x424a1e…
05-20 11:06:31	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x7a0430…
05-20 11:05:26	Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A	Nix Team	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x843e23…
05-20 07:57:40	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2d5fa6…
05-20 07:57:26	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x93bd26…
05-20 07:57:26	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x90b515…
05-20 07:55:48	Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)	Tundra Esports	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x540d0c…
05-20 06:48:17	AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Chicago Wolves	Grand Rapids Griffins	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x21b327…
05-20 06:47:43	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3ec6c4…
05-20 06:47:42	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaa5044…
05-20 06:47:38	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xb5774b…
05-19 21:34:38	AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Chicago Wolves	Grand Rapids Griffins	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x021996…
05-19 21:03:47	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xb45eef…
05-19 20:33:20	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x69b610…
05-19 13:46:41	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x616b4e…
05-19 13:46:27	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3398f4…
05-19 13:45:57	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x70bd2d…
05-19 12:16:35	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x6069ef…
05-16 13:54:08	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x111d5c…
05-16 13:53:10	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb16990…
05-16 13:52:46	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x685745…
05-16 13:52:19	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x7aed4e…
05-16 13:51:57	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xdf090f…
05-16 13:51:51	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x901a0a…
05-16 13:50:59	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x4b1f8e…
05-15 22:25:19	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4e0c25…
05-15 22:25:19	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x46c76c…
05-13 17:44:51	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x70f4a7…
05-12 19:34:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe3ec5f…
05-12 19:33:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0xdf747d…
05-12 19:24:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xaaf582…
05-12 19:13:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x16eb64…
05-06 20:54:41	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xab146d…
05-03 21:32:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe3f545…
04-28 21:37:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xc429a8…
04-28 15:58:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa71c3e…
04-28 07:00:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe817f3…
04-28 06:59:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x166ce9…
04-28 03:54:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xbc7c32…
04-28 03:36:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x4b4a8a…
04-28 03:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb7c109…
04-27 19:21:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xad4d10…
04-27 19:20:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x031423…
04-27 18:42:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x91474a…
04-27 18:42:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x208d8a…
04-27 18:37:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x3fab82…
04-27 18:37:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x534da8…
04-27 18:29:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xb85eed…
04-27 18:29:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf88dcb…
04-27 15:07:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x05cee9…
04-27 13:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xa923d9…
04-27 13:54:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x04669f…
04-27 13:38:36	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x693357…
04-27 13:38:28	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5615c7…
04-27 13:38:20	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x8232b0…
04-27 11:31:54	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x6d88ec…
04-27 05:06:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0x4920e9…
04-26 19:08:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x51932f…
04-26 17:50:12	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x7d26bd…
04-25 19:33:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0xbb38f9…
04-25 19:33:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x7b930a…
04-25 15:28:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	28	77¢	$22	0x8aaa4f…
04-25 15:27:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x4dd18b…
04-25 09:06:32	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x2bb14e…
04-25 06:57:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xf4ab3d…
04-25 06:54:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x66a37b…
04-24 20:50:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0xe002ba…
04-24 20:50:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xc642dc…
04-24 20:50:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x65e6c2…
04-24 20:45:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0xe39631…
04-24 19:54:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x111d5f…
04-24 19:54:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x4ebc1a…
04-24 16:10:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xcfd260…
04-24 16:10:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xff5d55…
04-24 15:46:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0x230cdb…
04-24 15:46:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x910cb9…
04-24 15:46:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x4fcc11…
04-24 15:42:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	No	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0xef920a…
04-24 13:23:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0xe7c1a2…
04-24 13:11:34	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x736871…
04-24 13:11:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	80	89¢	$71	0x08b073…
04-24 11:47:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$31	0xcb8281…
04-24 08:20:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9420b7…
04-24 05:52:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xb9e976…
04-23 22:03:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xb8b168…
04-23 14:48:08	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xca5025…
04-23 14:47:18	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x19df4d…
04-23 10:03:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xba1008…