Fitting-Hardware — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

120

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$73

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 10:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$18

Politics

33% 100% +$4

Crypto

16% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No		+74	$73	98¢	$73	$0	11-04 10:46
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+105	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-25 15:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$160	120	56	+65	Yes	+$1	10-26 00:10
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$136	68	68	+0	Yes	+$1	09-10 19:36
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$111	56	56	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 21:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$108	56	56	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$84	43	43	+0	No	+$1	10-01 00:06
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$73	74	0	+74	open	—	11-04 10:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	1	$72	74	0	+74	Yes	+$2	11-04 03:25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$69	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	09-16 00:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$69	69	0	+69	No	+$0	09-14 17:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	1	$66	67	0	+67	No	+$1	09-04 14:17
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	1	$62	62	0	+62	Yes	+$0	09-23 09:11
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$57	57	0	+57	Yes	+$0	08-20 16:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	08-10 00:48
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$53	54	0	+54	Yes	+$1	08-05 04:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-12 11:20
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	07-31 23:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-11 20:59
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	08-14 15:24
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	10-08 05:39
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	08-13 19:02
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$42	43	0	+43	No	+$0	10-01 01:19
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$42	42	0	+42	Yes	+$0	06-27 10:30
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	06-30 03:13
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-30 20:55
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	08-29 17:46
will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-31 13:39
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$33	16	16	+0	No	+$0	10-05 12:10
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	10-01 06:05
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	08-18 10:55
Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	08-26 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 10:46:43	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0xfb5caa…
11-04 03:25:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0x1b358c…
10-29 02:54:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc114de…
10-26 00:10:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xe0b260…
10-09 17:37:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc42c90…
10-08 05:39:40	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xaa96a9…
10-07 16:33:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	56	86¢	$48	0xaa8d92…
10-06 06:35:58	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0d304a…
10-05 12:10:56	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5c2020…
10-05 02:20:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	56	85¢	$47	0x9e6082…
10-04 21:10:50	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xbaa51c…
10-03 09:30:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x73166e…
10-01 06:05:47	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xca88c7…
10-01 01:19:32	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0xd4f29c…
10-01 00:06:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x6dc903…
09-30 04:53:27	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xe96bda…
09-30 01:48:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc3713a…
09-29 06:55:44	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8b7751…
09-29 06:34:21	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9469bc…
09-29 06:01:47	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x877916…
09-29 05:48:39	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x92fcdb…
09-29 05:17:30	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x643f68…
09-29 00:32:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$41	0xb44dd2…
09-26 21:43:30	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8c116b…
09-26 04:20:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x91594a…
09-24 07:14:27	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa79d98…
09-23 09:11:28	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x0e591a…
09-23 08:40:01	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x5ce413…
09-16 00:03:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0x801055…
09-14 17:46:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x5254db…
09-10 19:36:54	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x47b2b5…
09-10 03:14:45	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xfcac78…
09-04 14:17:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x97aa4b…
08-29 17:46:16	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1d81f2…
08-26 14:00:58	Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x292ccf…
08-25 15:03:01	Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x1a8304…
08-24 15:12:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x0ccf6d…
08-24 04:29:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x940417…
08-23 09:54:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x089525…
08-20 16:47:15	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xda9184…
08-20 02:13:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0xb8a5d8…
08-18 18:42:33	Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5616ef…
08-18 15:21:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xc769ea…
08-18 10:55:15	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x5bf154…
08-18 05:25:18	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07b189…
08-17 09:37:27	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x57b28a…
08-14 15:24:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8572cc…
08-13 19:02:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x58309c…
08-13 13:34:39	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5b2e63…
08-12 11:20:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xf6e1eb…
08-11 20:59:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x812dca…
08-10 14:23:09	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2859b9…
08-10 00:48:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x10bc44…
08-05 04:13:36	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x4deba5…
07-31 23:11:12	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x0b225f…
07-31 13:39:14	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3974cf…
07-30 22:26:51	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x28adb3…
07-28 17:58:23	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a9f05…
07-28 03:40:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65d8e5…
07-26 01:45:06	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a7b69…
07-24 11:22:57	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa123fb…
07-24 03:11:01	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcc2073…
07-23 12:15:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d803c…
07-22 16:00:22	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1f827e…
07-21 16:33:12	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x325fd1…
06-30 03:13:47	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe82637…
06-28 22:04:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5b8256…
06-28 06:42:41	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcb2921…
06-27 13:40:26	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x8294b4…
06-27 10:30:43	Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x077b0e…
06-27 10:26:23	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdc0ccb…
05-31 23:07:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x99e673…
05-30 20:55:22	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x400ded…
05-18 06:16:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1953eb…
05-18 01:11:19	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x24785a…
05-15 20:28:25	Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xad0265…
05-13 05:31:03	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0cc1c1…
05-10 09:58:34	Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe60d0…
05-08 07:29:48	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb286f1…
05-08 04:28:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0bbaac…
05-07 06:37:55	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcf78ec…
05-06 11:49:26	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4e546a…
05-06 02:27:02	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf60a2a…
05-06 01:27:54	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6f65f3…
05-05 22:14:48	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5fe037…
05-05 21:15:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d98db…
05-05 12:54:40	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe0285a…
05-05 07:30:08	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x22e04b…
05-05 04:34:06	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4274a5…
04-27 19:53:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81be86…
04-26 15:51:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09017b…
04-25 04:27:58	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadb9f3…
04-22 07:19:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8b3acf…
04-21 18:10:42	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xd3a6ab…
04-20 21:44:02	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0ca102…
04-20 06:18:40	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0eede4…
04-19 02:27:56	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7f3d47…
04-18 05:09:22	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaeb5b1…
04-17 17:17:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1e5cf6…
04-17 06:45:08	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2d8095…