Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

368

Trades

675

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-28 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

73% 53% -$13

Politics

13% 53% +$7

Sports

10% 56% +$3

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes		+2	$1	64¢	$1	+$0	10-25 18:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	10	$82	160	0	+160	open	—	10-24 14:04
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	2	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-26 15:54
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-27 09:22
Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-26 18:21
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 07:54
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-23 09:55
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-28 05:37
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	3	$18	36	0	+36	open	—	10-25 16:14
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	3	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	10-25 23:16
Dota 2: GLYPH vs D family - Game 2 Winner	15	$15	15	0	+15	cancelled	-$7	05-04 08:22
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	3	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	10-28 18:04
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?	3	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	10-27 10:52
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Yunchaokete Bu	2	$10	22	0	+22	Yunchaokete Bu	-$2	04-18 07:36
atp fils atmane 2026 04 14	6	$10	14	12	+2	Arthur Fils	+$2	04-14 18:33
bun ein lei 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	2	$10	18	17	+0	Under	$0	04-18 17:00
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	2	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	10-28 15:52
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	10-28 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	7	$7	7	5	+2	Down	-$1	05-03 14:49
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	4	$7	4	4	+0	TheMongolz	+$1	05-09 09:22
Jiujiang: Viktoria Morvayova vs Yexin Ma	3	$6	7	7	+0	Viktoria Morvayova	+$2	05-05 09:07
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 btts	3	$6	6	6	+0	No	+$2	04-14 19:54
wta swiatek andreev 2026 04 17	3	$5	5	3	+2	Mirra Andreeva	+$2	04-17 18:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$5	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-24 11:50
AC Nagano Parceiro vs. FC Gifu: O/U 3.5	2	$5	4	4	+0	Over	+$3	05-09 10:47
atp smit tu 2026 04 16	4	$5	5	5	+0	Li Tu	+$1	04-16 08:50
fl1 lor olm 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	1	$5	125	0	+125	Under	-$5	04-18 16:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	3	$5	60	59	+1	No	+$1	05-25 22:17
wta parks andreev 2026 04 16	3	$5	10	9	+1	Mirra Andreeva	+$2	04-16 13:46
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?	2	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	10-28 08:55
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$5	7	7	+0	No	+$1	06-15 18:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:42:10	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x2f06d4…
10-28 18:04:47	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf491dc…
10-28 16:45:20	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xf7c964…
10-28 16:45:20	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x2010ed…
10-28 15:52:01	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf3b91e…
10-28 13:18:11	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x96dcde…
10-28 08:55:55	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x1fa405…
10-28 07:54:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xa55037…
10-28 05:37:52	Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x17f4db…
10-28 03:34:33	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x2b741e…
10-28 03:31:19	Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x693029…
10-27 14:21:36	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x52dc48…
10-27 10:52:27	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xb22530…
10-27 10:51:27	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x56bcae…
10-27 09:22:06	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x593a4c…
10-26 18:21:35	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x687cf2…
10-26 15:54:47	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x89c0ef…
10-26 12:27:53	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x3fc8cd…
10-26 10:37:20	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xe0ce52…
10-26 08:18:03	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4e974d…
10-25 23:16:45	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd1fa6c…
10-25 18:14:05	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd2fc94…
10-25 16:14:54	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x202036…
10-25 12:42:51	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x99faef…
10-25 02:31:54	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa0b9b2…
10-24 22:17:00	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x087b2e…
10-24 22:15:24	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xedea1c…
10-24 21:33:47	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0xf5b0b2…
10-24 14:04:00	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x5f20db…
10-23 20:08:00	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd83386…
10-23 15:28:54	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xfa25cc…
10-23 15:28:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x605f82…
10-23 11:43:51	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x55a1db…
10-23 11:19:23	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xea7cb2…
10-23 11:17:24	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x0ffe30…
10-23 11:17:23	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa3e6ea…
10-23 11:09:08	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xab00f3…
10-23 10:41:20	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xbed151…
10-23 09:55:26	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x1ec444…
10-23 06:14:24	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x64dded…
07-03 10:26:49	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Ghana	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe8547f…
06-17 20:39:44	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xa2e6de…
06-17 18:02:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x7f5912…
06-17 16:25:20	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x135f48…
06-17 15:30:53	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa5e150…
06-17 12:21:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xc59938…
06-16 11:16:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x75432d…
06-15 18:32:04	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x91dbe4…
06-15 18:12:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfb1430…
06-15 18:12:21	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x44a4fd…
06-06 09:04:24	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb829c7…
06-06 09:04:18	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xa7cdea…
06-06 09:04:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x68de19…
06-04 08:33:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf1f194…
06-04 08:33:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc2384d…
06-03 20:28:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xb65a0a…
06-02 13:31:25	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8118d…
06-01 20:53:48	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x390f8d…
06-01 20:20:50	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4b7559…
06-01 18:06:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x9dd82a…
06-01 17:13:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x4d57cc…
06-01 09:14:11	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9e374c…
06-01 09:14:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x309d7a…
05-29 09:48:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4a7d72…
05-29 08:53:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x8346f0…
05-28 19:55:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xafe14f…
05-28 18:30:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x42453a…
05-28 14:15:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe0f7dd…
05-28 14:14:35	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x8416a6…
05-28 11:40:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x78aec1…
05-28 10:27:14	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xb10a8e…
05-28 10:13:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xab29a2…
05-27 21:36:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf0a8d3…
05-27 20:36:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xe6b235…
05-27 16:26:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x43492c…
05-27 15:35:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4483cc…
05-27 15:17:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x5d579f…
05-27 14:46:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x48db01…
05-27 14:37:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5a90b8…
05-27 14:34:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x58e388…
05-27 12:47:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x0de983…
05-27 10:26:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0becbb…
05-27 10:10:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x81e09f…
05-27 09:28:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x079578…
05-27 09:12:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x89bbe4…
05-27 09:11:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x299e16…
05-27 08:44:59	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x06faa0…
05-27 08:37:49	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x5dc74f…
05-26 10:57:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7a9254…
05-25 22:17:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3bbc5c…
05-25 22:17:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4bde16…
05-25 22:17:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0e81e3…
05-25 21:41:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xd84643…
05-25 21:31:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0xdc508d…
05-25 21:18:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xa6f4a1…
05-25 21:18:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdf1593…
05-25 21:18:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd334ab…
05-25 20:43:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0x6f98b3…
05-25 15:01:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x4bb8c0…
05-24 22:18:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x5b4e44…