Calm-Milepost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

498

lifetime

Volume

$4.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$48

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-15 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 40% $-3

Politics

7% — —

Sports

4% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		-59	$-52	82¢	$-48	+$4	06-15 03:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	9	$191	641	114	+527	open	—	02-02 23:07
btc updown 15m 1770847200	4	$165	157	157	+0	open	—	02-11 22:17
btc updown 5m 1771609800	4	$154	90	90	+0	open	—	02-20 17:56
btc updown 15m 1770852600	4	$122	176	130	+46	open	—	02-11 23:43
btc updown 15m 1770850800	4	$116	169	57	+112	open	—	02-11 23:12
btc updown 5m 1771600500	5	$115	66	62	+4	open	—	02-20 15:20
btc updown 15m 1770864300	5	$115	131	54	+78	open	—	02-12 03:00
btc updown 15m 1770851700	1	$110	114	0	+114	open	—	02-11 23:22
btc updown 15m 1770865200	2	$105	146	0	+146	open	—	02-12 03:15
btc updown 15m 1770849000	4	$100	152	44	+108	open	—	02-11 22:44
btc updown 15m 1770857100	2	$100	142	0	+142	open	—	02-12 00:58
btc updown 15m 1770849900	3	$100	191	0	+191	open	—	02-11 22:54
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	4	$97	79	79	+0	open	—	04-29 02:24
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$96	76	76	+0	open	—	02-11 10:24
btc updown 5m 1771610100	4	$86	109	53	+57	open	—	02-20 17:59
btc updown 5m 1771607700	3	$79	97	0	+97	open	—	02-20 17:17
btc updown 15m 1770845400	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	02-11 21:41
btc updown 5m 1771602300	6	$69	81	8	+73	open	—	02-20 15:49
btc updown 15m 1770809400	3	$67	73	0	+73	open	—	02-11 11:44
btc updown 15m 1770795900	7	$67	53	52	+1	open	—	02-11 08:04
btc updown 15m 1770867000	1	$66	132	0	+132	open	—	02-12 03:30
btc updown 5m 1771610400	2	$66	70	0	+70	open	—	02-20 18:04
btc updown 15m 1770846300	2	$66	118	0	+118	open	—	02-11 21:55
btc updown 15m 1770808500	1	$65	68	0	+68	open	—	02-11 11:21
btc updown 15m 1770805800	2	$61	64	0	+64	open	—	02-11 10:42
btc updown 15m 1770848100	3	$60	148	68	+80	open	—	02-11 22:29
btc updown 5m 1771611000	3	$60	66	0	+66	open	—	02-20 18:14
btc updown 15m 1770806700	1	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	02-11 10:55
btc updown 5m 1771601100	4	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	02-20 15:30
btc updown 5m 1771610700	1	$57	60	0	+60	open	—	02-20 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 03:49:09	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	99	52¢	$51	0xb734dd…
06-15 03:48:27	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	89¢	$52	0xd58416…
05-17 05:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb4e903…
05-17 05:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa2b894…
05-14 05:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x62faf7…
05-13 06:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x406aab…
05-13 05:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x26205e…
05-12 21:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x648887…
05-12 21:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x4cbbc6…
05-12 21:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5fee29…
05-12 19:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1284e5…
05-12 01:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x47b7ea…
05-12 00:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x03d34b…
05-12 00:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x099278…
05-11 23:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0a27dc…
05-11 23:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x81800c…
05-11 23:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf1f2c7…
05-11 22:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf6abe9…
05-11 22:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbf9087…
05-11 20:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc32b14…
05-11 20:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x82f226…
05-11 20:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf8448e…
05-11 20:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x3c71e1…
05-11 20:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x2dc442…
05-07 19:54:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0xffab48…
05-06 02:56:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xcb0b22…
05-02 00:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc378ac…
05-02 00:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x84a21c…
05-02 00:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1e2106…
05-01 23:56:36	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb22671…
05-01 23:47:08	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x09b970…
04-30 22:56:38	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x39cb14…
04-30 06:24:52	LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Gen.G Global Academy	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc5da04…
04-29 06:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x88dce9…
04-29 02:24:18	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	76ers	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x2271be…
04-28 19:45:48	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	76ers	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x3b0418…
04-28 19:45:22	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	Celtics	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0x6a83f7…
04-28 19:43:42	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	Celtics	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x7024bd…
04-28 01:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xef5ca7…
04-28 01:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xc48342…
04-28 01:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x44699d…
04-28 01:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7efb98…
04-26 08:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbda6d9…
04-26 08:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x1eb89b…
04-26 08:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4b606e…
04-26 08:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8221c7…
04-26 08:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x85fcf7…
04-26 07:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb1342…
04-26 07:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc3fe50…
04-26 07:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe39e13…
03-14 23:20:05	btc updown 5m 1773530400	Down	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0xdf9a9b…
03-14 22:56:13	btc updown 5m 1773528900	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x66d240…
03-14 22:51:43	btc updown 5m 1773528600	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc1d00d…
03-14 22:45:23	btc updown 5m 1773528300	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x237ce2…
03-14 22:10:31	btc updown 5m 1773526200	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x66e09b…
03-14 21:40:43	btc updown 5m 1773524400	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3c557a…
03-14 21:40:19	btc updown 5m 1773524400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x710ef9…
03-14 21:35:53	btc updown 5m 1773524100	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc527ba…
03-14 21:34:59	btc updown 5m 1773523800	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x521611…
03-14 21:32:41	btc updown 5m 1773523800	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc6a02b…
03-14 21:32:35	btc updown 5m 1773523800	Up	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xd28754…
03-14 21:30:57	btc updown 5m 1773523800	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xa3814f…
03-14 21:25:29	btc updown 5m 1773523500	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3e519e…
03-14 21:21:01	btc updown 5m 1773523200	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x409603…
03-14 21:10:15	btc updown 5m 1773522600	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd43a9a…
03-14 20:26:57	btc updown 5m 1773519900	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x12611b…
03-14 20:20:25	btc updown 5m 1773519600	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x537fe9…
03-14 11:41:09	btc updown 5m 1773488400	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe39429…
03-14 11:41:09	btc updown 5m 1773488400	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xac9559…
03-14 11:31:21	btc updown 5m 1773487800	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdfb4e7…
03-14 11:27:49	btc updown 5m 1773487500	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb7cee8…
03-14 11:26:19	btc updown 5m 1773487200	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf06527…
03-14 11:20:31	btc updown 5m 1773487200	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x406d2f…
03-14 11:16:19	btc updown 5m 1773486900	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4056f8…
03-14 11:00:27	btc updown 5m 1773486000	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x526f98…
03-14 10:41:19	btc updown 5m 1773484800	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x79caa5…
03-14 10:26:27	btc updown 5m 1773483900	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xeee83b…
03-14 10:23:29	btc updown 5m 1773483600	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x06ce38…
03-14 10:19:21	btc updown 5m 1773483300	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0a1ffb…
03-14 10:14:37	btc updown 5m 1773483000	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdb53f3…
03-14 10:09:33	btc updown 5m 1773482700	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb1579a…
03-14 10:00:01	btc updown 5m 1773482100	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xb81702…
03-14 09:49:39	btc updown 5m 1773481800	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x2d3305…
03-14 09:41:59	btc updown 5m 1773481200	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfa97de…
03-14 09:38:41	btc updown 5m 1773480900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6f9eaf…
03-14 09:30:53	btc updown 5m 1773480600	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x457ad7…
03-14 09:30:07	btc updown 5m 1773480300	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xee144c…
03-14 09:25:27	btc updown 5m 1773480300	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x713877…
03-14 09:20:43	btc updown 5m 1773480000	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x06289b…
03-14 09:17:51	btc updown 5m 1773479700	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x44d041…
03-14 09:15:57	btc updown 5m 1773479700	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0fca3a…
03-14 09:13:53	btc updown 5m 1773479400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x854678…
03-14 09:13:37	btc updown 5m 1773479400	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xc0eb3e…
03-14 09:10:55	btc updown 5m 1773479400	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaeec48…
03-14 09:10:53	btc updown 5m 1773479400	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5b1054…
03-14 09:10:11	btc updown 5m 1773479100	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcdbf6b…
03-14 09:05:17	btc updown 5m 1773479100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x14c9c3…
03-14 09:00:41	btc updown 5m 1773478800	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2f4de3…
03-14 08:45:25	btc updown 5m 1773477900	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x70df80…
03-14 08:40:23	btc updown 5m 1773477600	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xfa5335…