Calm-Milepost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

271

Trades

573

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-14 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Sports

65% 53% +$1,416

Crypto

32% 56% -$43

Politics

2% 33% -$7

Other

1% 0% -$87

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	52	$7.6K	8,592	6,693	+1,900	Yes	+$1,379	06-15 03:48
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$500	35,300	300	+35,000	Yes	+$100	07-09 09:27
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	9	$191	641	114	+527	No	+$23	02-02 23:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:00 UTC	4	$165	157	157	+0	Down	-$1	02-11 22:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:50 UTC	4	$154	90	90	+0	Up	-$4	02-20 17:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 23:30 UTC	4	$122	176	130	+46	Up	-$61	02-11 23:43
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$118	113	113	+0	No	+$18	07-14 20:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 23:00 UTC	4	$116	169	57	+112	Down	-$3	02-11 23:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:15 UTC	5	$115	66	62	+4	Up	+$7	02-20 15:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 02:45 UTC	5	$115	131	54	+78	Down	-$7	02-12 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 23:15 UTC	1	$110	114	0	+114	Down	+$4	02-11 23:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 03:00 UTC	2	$105	146	0	+146	Up	-$29	02-12 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:30 UTC	4	$100	152	44	+108	Up	+$8	02-11 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 00:45 UTC	2	$100	142	0	+142	Down	+$18	02-12 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:45 UTC	3	$100	191	0	+191	Down	+$6	02-11 22:54
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	4	$97	79	79	+0	76ers	+$17	04-29 02:24
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$96	76	76	+0	Yes	-$4	02-11 10:24
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$92	142	142	+0	Yes	+$12	06-30 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:55 UTC	4	$86	109	53	+57	Up	-$9	02-20 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:15 UTC	3	$79	97	0	+97	Up	+$18	02-20 17:17
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$73	400	0	+400	No	-$73	07-01 20:31
will neymar score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108554	2	$71	333	101	+232	No	-$29	07-03 05:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:30 UTC	1	$70	74	0	+74	Down	+$4	02-11 21:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:45 UTC	6	$69	81	8	+73	Up	+$4	02-20 15:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:30 UTC	3	$67	73	0	+73	Down	+$6	02-11 11:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 07:45 UTC	7	$67	53	52	+1	Down	+$1	02-11 08:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 03:30 UTC	1	$66	132	0	+132	Up	-$66	02-12 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:00 UTC	2	$66	70	0	+70	Up	-$9	02-20 18:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:45 UTC	2	$66	118	0	+118	Down	+$6	02-11 21:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:15 UTC	1	$65	68	0	+68	Up	+$3	02-11 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:25:50	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	160	12¢	$19	0x691cba…
07-14 20:23:13	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	113	60¢	$68	0xd93809…
07-09 11:05:46	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	Yes	BUY	344	6¢	$20	0x4f55c1…
07-09 09:33:50	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,071	3¢	$30	0x32cc8d…
07-09 09:27:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x7cd59f…
07-09 09:25:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	35,000	0¢	$35	0x131e64…
07-06 20:58:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x786cd1…
07-03 05:17:38	will neymar score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108554	Yes	SELL	101	21¢	$21	0xf6631f…
07-02 15:31:55	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0x103b8b…
07-02 00:10:02	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x4809d1…
07-01 20:31:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	18¢	$73	0x3ac4a7…
07-01 02:29:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xec4889…
06-30 22:32:43	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0xf0dd89…
06-30 21:47:47	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x54e448…
06-30 21:45:47	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	115	35¢	$40	0xc23ce1…
06-30 08:17:11	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x7bf2a9…
06-30 05:57:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x3a7649…
06-27 01:00:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7a3f35…
06-27 00:58:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa2e953…
06-25 04:45:43	will neymar score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108554	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xcebc82…
06-25 04:44:19	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	Yes	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0xa4e1ec…
06-25 04:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x153310…
06-25 04:12:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x36d6aa…
06-15 03:49:09	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	99	52¢	$51	0xb734dd…
06-15 03:48:27	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	89¢	$52	0xd58416…
05-18 20:20:44	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	193	87¢	$167	0xdd7c57…
05-18 20:20:25	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,765	85¢	$1,500	0xbe0067…
05-18 20:18:35	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,120	79¢	$1,685	0xcb015e…
05-17 20:25:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x89e906…
05-17 05:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb4e903…
05-17 05:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa2b894…
05-14 05:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x62faf7…
05-13 06:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x406aab…
05-13 05:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x26205e…
05-12 21:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x648887…
05-12 21:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x4cbbc6…
05-12 21:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5fee29…
05-12 19:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1284e5…
05-12 01:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x47b7ea…
05-12 00:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x03d34b…
05-12 00:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x099278…
05-11 23:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0a27dc…
05-11 23:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x81800c…
05-11 23:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf1f2c7…
05-11 22:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf6abe9…
05-11 22:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbf9087…
05-11 20:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc32b14…
05-11 20:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x82f226…
05-11 20:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf8448e…
05-11 20:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x3c71e1…
05-11 20:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x2dc442…
05-07 19:56:43	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	990	33¢	$327	0x6b9c79…
05-07 19:54:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0xffab48…
05-07 12:49:57	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x009ac8…
05-07 09:23:09	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x11e228…
05-07 08:57:26	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x5aa578…
05-07 08:54:43	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x84a50f…
05-06 21:47:04	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x8d18c9…
05-06 21:35:41	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0c2305…
05-06 21:02:47	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xeba559…
05-06 20:25:48	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xe029e5…
05-06 20:20:42	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x0e0631…
05-06 17:46:09	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0x32ba6e…
05-06 03:18:22	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	314	39¢	$122	0x8b1d46…
05-06 02:56:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xcb0b22…
05-06 01:00:24	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	48	35¢	$17	0x2c5bdb…
05-06 00:58:48	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0cee49…
05-06 00:32:50	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd50720…
05-06 00:11:14	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x237841…
05-05 23:13:06	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xc9b378…
05-05 22:38:50	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	246	35¢	$86	0x32d4bb…
05-05 21:35:34	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x6c9384…
05-05 21:15:10	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	830	33¢	$274	0x3f7d19…
05-05 13:34:18	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	155	40¢	$62	0xeea377…
05-05 13:31:44	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,235	40¢	$494	0x4403e2…
05-02 00:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc378ac…
05-02 00:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x84a21c…
05-02 00:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1e2106…
05-01 23:56:36	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb22671…
05-01 23:47:08	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x09b970…
04-30 22:56:38	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x39cb14…
04-30 19:59:28	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x9a9a0a…
04-30 19:26:22	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	36¢	$18	0xd1625a…
04-30 17:54:10	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	18	36¢	$6	0xeaed3d…
04-30 17:37:22	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xf4da17…
04-30 17:18:04	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x402154…
04-30 17:09:26	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	75	36¢	$27	0x85654a…
04-30 16:49:42	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x2e6fc3…
04-30 16:44:20	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0x8e0535…
04-30 16:43:26	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xda2cb3…
04-30 16:22:20	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x0792dd…
04-30 16:22:14	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	984	36¢	$354	0xbb745a…
04-30 06:24:52	LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Gen.G Global Academy	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc5da04…
04-30 02:35:26	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	319	40¢	$128	0x3c6eb4…
04-30 02:21:32	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xfa6bab…
04-30 02:21:30	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xaf46fa…
04-30 02:21:26	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xb775d1…
04-30 02:21:12	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	40¢	$100	0x029658…
04-30 02:05:20	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x27c21c…
04-30 01:48:28	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	188	40¢	$75	0x9caa0d…