Robust-Nut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

274

Trades

838

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-12 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 64% -$33

Other

11% 41% -$30

Politics

1% 40% -$2

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 3	1	$76	83	0	+83	Yes	+$7	03-01 19:07
epl bri ars 2026 03 04 ars	5	$34	21	21	+0	Yes	+$8	03-04 21:45
bitcoin above 62k on march 17	3	$34	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 02:16
bitcoin above 68k on march 11	3	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$25	32	15	+17	Up	+$2	05-06 12:33
epl ast che 2026 03 04 che	3	$24	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	03-01 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 12:42
efl ars mnc 2026 03 22 ars win	3	$20	25	25	+0	No	-$2	03-05 04:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:15 UTC	8	$19	20	19	+0	Down	-$10	03-09 06:19
bitcoin above 70k on march 9	4	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-09 18:03
bitcoin above 70k on march 5	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:15 UTC	1	$17	24	0	+24	Up	-$17	03-13 02:17
spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	6	$16	21	10	+11	Down	-$2	02-26 15:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 04:00 UTC	8	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 04:16
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	4	$14	9	8	+0	Yes	$0	02-26 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:10 UTC	6	$14	14	12	+2	Down	-$2	03-09 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$13	13	6	+7	Up	-$1	05-06 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:55 UTC	8	$13	11	10	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:30 UTC	9	$13	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 03:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:45 UTC	4	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	03-09 03:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 06:55 UTC	7	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	02-24 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:40 UTC	4	$12	8	8	+0	Down	$0	03-09 03:45
epl ast che 2026 03 04 ast	2	$11	32	0	+32	No	-$11	03-01 18:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:45 UTC	8	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 04:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:50 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-09 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:05 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-09 06:09
bitcoin above 66k on march 10	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	03-10 10:06
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$10	8	8	+0	No	+$0	02-24 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 02:05 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-09 02:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 08:00 UTC	8	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 16:37:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x29a50a…
05-21 02:17:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3c86ae…
05-19 08:02:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd243db…
05-18 04:59:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x90e775…
05-06 20:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5f681d…
05-06 19:02:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x97c2e9…
05-06 13:20:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbb2199…
05-06 12:48:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf63b20…
05-06 12:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0626d5…
05-06 12:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaf325d…
05-06 12:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf94a60…
05-06 12:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x280a96…
05-06 12:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	94¢	$14	0x596ff9…
05-06 12:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe05a8f…
05-06 12:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa2e33a…
05-06 12:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xb5dfa2…
05-06 12:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf502ae…
05-06 12:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe58fbb…
05-06 12:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9df1c5…
05-06 12:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x726a8d…
05-06 12:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1d14b3…
05-06 12:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x310fdc…
05-06 12:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$3	0x2d5fdf…
05-06 12:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3dc16d…
03-13 02:17:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0xa57041…
03-13 02:16:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 17	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xaa7d54…
03-12 06:00:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 17	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe11895…
03-12 05:58:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 18	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x3397d0…
03-11 17:20:11	bitcoin above 76k on march 18	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xc32da7…
03-11 17:18:25	bitcoin above 66k on march 12	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x73bd46…
03-11 04:36:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 17	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xa985d3…
03-11 04:35:33	bitcoin above 68k on march 11	Yes	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x4163ce…
03-11 02:38:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xa6a993…
03-11 02:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdbf14d…
03-11 02:34:55	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x8adda1…
03-11 02:06:23	bitcoin above 68k on march 11	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x77d82f…
03-11 01:59:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 11	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x6c220a…
03-11 01:59:05	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x703911…
03-11 01:57:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x9495e8…
03-11 01:57:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe416d3…
03-11 01:56:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x53c206…
03-11 01:56:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2993c4…
03-11 01:55:07	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 160 189	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc817f5…
03-10 14:58:45	bitcoin above 66k on march 12	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xcaae11…
03-10 14:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x06583c…
03-10 14:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd738b2…
03-10 14:54:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa61062…
03-10 14:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0496df…
03-10 14:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf17f82…
03-10 14:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5d4491…
03-10 14:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xadd4bd…
03-10 14:39:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf1fb9b…
03-10 14:32:59	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xb2867a…
03-10 13:30:27	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x581b3d…
03-10 13:29:51	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7f7da4…
03-10 11:05:23	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2ca064…
03-10 10:22:01	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbf4a22…
03-10 10:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x715f36…
03-10 10:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xee32c0…
03-10 10:18:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5942cb…
03-10 10:17:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x465e34…
03-10 10:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x04b7fa…
03-10 10:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x88b34d…
03-10 10:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x785d3c…
03-10 10:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x758fc1…
03-10 10:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf6b925…
03-10 10:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0ed5d3…
03-10 10:12:17	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x5a0db8…
03-10 10:07:37	andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 0 99	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9af45d…
03-10 10:06:53	bitcoin above 66k on march 10	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0ef5dd…
03-10 10:06:49	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0262ca…
03-09 20:10:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc775d8…
03-09 20:10:11	bitcoin above 70k on march 10	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x31cf60…
03-09 18:31:13	bitcoin above 70k on march 10	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfd438d…
03-09 18:30:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7b3278…
03-09 18:28:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x81114d…
03-09 18:27:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x75fa16…
03-09 18:27:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf7c8bd…
03-09 18:27:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xae4680…
03-09 18:26:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4102a7…
03-09 18:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x708bbe…
03-09 18:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf138af…
03-09 18:22:57	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x53ae73…
03-09 18:06:07	bitcoin above 66k on march 10	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfad68a…
03-09 18:03:47	bitcoin above 70k on march 9	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x50e385…
03-09 10:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x65f301…
03-09 10:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x124f98…
03-09 10:36:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x491496…
03-09 10:34:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xf69197…
03-09 10:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x49fcbd…
03-09 10:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x52c819…
03-09 10:32:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe02278…
03-09 10:32:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xc836ed…
03-09 10:31:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x200de6…
03-09 10:31:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x4f6c88…
03-09 10:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe779a7…
03-09 10:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcba054…
03-09 10:29:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc76bd0…
03-09 10:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xd26acc…
03-09 10:27:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc9266d…