Mammoth-Contract — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$5.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 05-16 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Sports

16% 0% $-50

Tech

15% — —

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	7	$974	960	946	+14	open	—	04-07 15:14
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	6	$365	200	199	+1	open	—	04-06 14:37
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	2	$292	193	192	+0	open	—	03-17 15:25
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	2	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 13:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$177	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 13:11
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	6	$174	92	92	+0	open	—	04-02 10:56
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 01:28
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	6	$166	110	110	+0	open	—	04-07 01:37
will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	7	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 14:37
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	3	$160	190	50	+140	open	—	03-20 13:01
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	5	$154	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 01:47
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	4	$128	80	80	+0	open	—	05-16 02:36
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	2	$113	100	100	+0	open	—	03-17 12:44
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	1	$106	140	0	+140	open	—	02-26 14:26
nba den lal 2026 03 14	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-15 03:27
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$100	62	62	+0	open	—	03-15 02:49
will googl dip to 260 in march	3	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	03-31 08:53
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	04-23 03:47
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	04-29 04:04
highest temperature in miami on march 22 2026 78 79f	1	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	03-22 10:26
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 08:30
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 13:45
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	10	$78	120	20	+100	open	—	03-31 13:29
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$74	100	100	+0	Cavaliers	$-42	05-14 02:28
nba por sas 2026 04 19	2	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	04-20 03:18
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$67	100	0	+100	open	—	03-02 09:57
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	2	$63	100	0	+100	open	—	03-21 15:04
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	3	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	03-04 02:49
nba lal orl 2026 03 21	1	$53	90	0	+90	open	—	03-21 15:13
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	2	$49	110	0	+110	open	—	03-31 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 02:36:04	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x260575…
05-16 02:31:55	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x56d000…
05-16 02:20:12	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x780123…
05-15 06:36:37	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x50dd11…
05-14 02:28:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x51deaa…
05-14 02:06:03	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x407540…
05-05 08:21:04	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4b02b5…
05-05 01:18:46	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x134504…
05-05 00:16:40	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x5f60cc…
05-03 00:14:16	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x65eb6d…
05-02 13:02:28	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xc934c3…
04-29 04:04:34	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x7c1f33…
04-29 02:01:44	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x630177…
04-28 03:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x681d9e…
04-28 02:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xbc8748…
04-27 15:06:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xa75bbb…
04-27 14:03:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x7c2c14…
04-27 11:38:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xaecad4…
04-25 13:00:22	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x95568a…
04-25 02:25:38	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xe901e0…
04-25 02:25:38	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xb3e2a3…
04-25 02:25:36	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0xd9d88e…
04-25 00:37:40	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0x1c54b5…
04-24 06:36:22	Will Google have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xdab1e9…
04-24 04:40:18	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 24 2026 24c	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x36dde9…
04-24 04:15:52	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 24 2026 24c	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2e2aba…
04-23 14:05:48	Will Google have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x3a7c7d…
04-23 07:24:30	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x6854ff…
04-23 03:47:18	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5b2d8d…
04-23 02:30:02	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x33cae3…
04-22 14:59:12	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbbbdc7…
04-22 06:33:50	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 22 2026 32c	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x254462…
04-22 03:16:58	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xaab614…
04-22 02:24:08	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc0ecdf…
04-22 01:27:18	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 22 2026 32c	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x67fc87…
04-21 02:32:44	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 21 2026 33c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe87078…
04-20 03:18:12	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Spurs	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5215c0…
04-19 08:21:04	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Spurs	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x93ece7…
04-18 03:20:34	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 18 2026 28corbelow	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xfb3dd4…
04-16 01:15:46	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 16 2026 28c	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6ab2e9…
04-16 01:14:30	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 29corbelow	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x79701a…
04-15 07:07:46	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 15 2026 31c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xafc8bf…
04-15 05:59:50	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 15 2026 34c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea875f…
04-07 15:14:33	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	SELL	353	9¢	$32	0x6a4c51…
04-07 06:33:49	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	BUY	360	60¢	$216	0xdae671…
04-07 06:31:41	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	SELL	485	41¢	$199	0x32bf70…
04-07 06:31:39	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x4b37b6…
04-07 01:48:29	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x758e62…
04-07 01:47:53	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	SELL	62	58¢	$36	0x5f61aa…
04-07 01:47:25	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0xdacd93…
04-07 01:43:15	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x49c122…
04-07 01:37:47	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	62¢	$34	0xd30a0a…
04-07 01:36:27	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$12	0xa42ceb…
04-07 01:30:07	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x014c4d…
04-07 01:29:33	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x88d70f…
04-07 01:28:33	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x93fd10…
04-06 14:37:05	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	SELL	132	91¢	$120	0x7d5884…
04-06 14:22:45	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9cb058…
04-06 14:20:21	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2232dc…
04-06 14:19:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x1ee6e0…
04-06 14:17:47	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0xee9c22…
04-06 14:06:07	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x7b0231…
04-06 14:04:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	SELL	98	65¢	$64	0x44d973…
04-06 12:47:55	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xceb204…
04-06 12:40:51	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xf7f044…
04-04 08:39:09	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x730344…
04-04 08:32:53	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xf56959…
04-02 10:56:27	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xd125e1…
04-02 10:56:27	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xc1a292…
04-02 10:56:27	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xb1b8ea…
04-02 10:56:27	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x2a4444…
04-02 10:56:27	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x1e6cb2…
04-02 09:13:07	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	BUY	92	92¢	$85	0x8df762…
04-01 02:30:07	sisyphus mindshare all time high by march 31	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x100543…
04-01 02:10:43	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xed56d1…
03-31 14:37:23	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xdbf9b0…
03-31 13:29:49	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x9aaa76…
03-31 13:29:43	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2bf4fd…
03-31 13:29:41	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x52bb30…
03-31 13:29:31	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x25d6d3…
03-31 13:29:27	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x1197a7…
03-31 13:29:09	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8a5267…
03-31 13:29:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8405fa…
03-31 13:28:19	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xf09920…
03-31 13:28:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	61	55¢	$34	0x3fc3d3…
03-31 11:59:55	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x81e15b…
03-31 11:56:23	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x9af655…
03-31 11:55:19	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x14da7f…
03-31 08:56:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x3022cb…
03-31 08:53:53	will googl dip to 260 in march	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x03ec90…
03-31 08:53:35	will googl dip to 260 in march	No	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x1a2712…
03-31 08:53:33	will googl dip to 260 in march	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd7722b…
03-31 08:52:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x25a8f5…
03-31 08:03:41	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x78d0ad…
03-31 08:03:33	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0a00cf…
03-31 08:02:17	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc18e09…
03-31 02:41:23	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Wizards	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc8379d…
03-31 01:22:05	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x86bede…
03-30 09:50:30	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4fd445…
03-30 04:30:46	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xadc4d6…