Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$649

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$111

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 07-09 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$1

Politics

28% — —

Crypto

24% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		+66	$63	92¢	$61	$-1	06-28 12:26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No		+53	$50	94¢	$50	+$0	07-09 02:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	3	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	06-27 10:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	3	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	05-29 13:41
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$63	66	0	+66	open	—	06-28 12:26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	07-09 02:57
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	3	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	03-26 11:49
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	1	$46	0	47	-47	open	—	06-01 08:38
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	1	$46	0	47	-47	open	—	05-29 18:33
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 11:16
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	03-26 11:52
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$1	04-30 14:34
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	02-20 14:13
highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 3c	3	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-17 09:45
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-15 12:26
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-15 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 02:57:49	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xebb552…
06-28 12:26:11	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0xfb087a…
06-27 10:39:34	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x66984e…
06-20 12:49:04	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0xbbd0a6…
06-16 14:28:26	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xd9ecc0…
06-01 08:38:18	Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x172fe3…
05-29 18:33:38	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x78f0af…
05-29 13:41:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x95aff3…
05-29 13:39:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb276ba…
05-26 15:14:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x6d0f1c…
04-30 14:34:08	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x79d5ce…
04-15 23:13:52	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x87b909…
04-15 14:18:04	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa44ba3…
04-15 12:26:10	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x831847…
03-26 11:52:51	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x2244b1…
03-26 11:49:17	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xcea353…
03-26 11:16:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x8a232e…
03-26 11:16:03	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa89d87…
03-17 09:45:27	highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 3c	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x7aaac0…
03-17 09:31:39	highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 3c	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5a2f6f…
03-17 09:30:11	highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 3c	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb97abb…
03-17 09:04:03	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xb07279…
03-17 08:55:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x2aec35…
03-05 14:39:45	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0xd771ca…
03-05 14:33:05	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x120825…
02-20 14:13:06	will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xc4726c…