Determined-Waistband — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$757

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-25 05:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$10

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	06-25 05:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	1	$2.1K	2,075	0	+2,075	No	+$4	05-07 02:32
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 6?	1	$2.1K	2,072	0	+2,072	No	+$4	05-06 08:24
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?	1	$2.1K	2,069	0	+2,069	No	+$4	05-06 02:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	1	$2.1K	2,065	0	+2,065	Yes	+$4	05-05 07:47
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	1	$2.1K	2,061	0	+2,061	No	+$4	05-05 02:27
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 6	1	$1.1K	1,106	0	+1,106	open	—	02-06 02:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 5	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	02-05 01:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	02-04 01:58
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	1	$1.1K	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	02-03 08:33
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	02-02 01:09
ethereum above 3100 on february 1	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	02-01 00:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 31	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	01-31 01:56
xrp above 2pt3 on january 30	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-30 02:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 29	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-29 00:39
ethereum above 2700 on january 28	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-28 02:09
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-27 01:22
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	open	—	01-26 02:05
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-25 01:36
ethereum above 3200 on january 24	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	01-24 03:08
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	01-23 06:13
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	03-30 07:20
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	1	$6	2,162	0	+2,162	open	—	03-11 02:16
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	1	$6	2,142	0	+2,142	open	—	03-06 06:54
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	06-25 05:04
nflx above 200 on june 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 10:42
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	01-23 05:53
xrp above 1pt8 on february 13	1	$5	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	02-13 01:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	1	$4	1,119	0	+1,119	open	—	02-09 02:07
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	1	$4	1,833	0	+1,833	No	$-4	05-12 11:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$4	1,813	0	+1,813	Yes	$-4	05-11 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 05:04:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8ded87…
06-17 10:42:19	nflx above 200 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d9b1e…
05-20 07:35:30	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5f3d1c…
05-12 11:56:23	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,833	0¢	$4	0x649299…
05-11 07:33:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,813	0¢	$4	0x2110fe…
05-08 01:44:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,811	0¢	$4	0x521faa…
05-07 02:32:41	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,075	100¢	$2,071	0x5f4685…
05-06 08:24:40	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,072	100¢	$2,068	0x65f581…
05-06 02:58:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?	No	BUY	2,069	100¢	$2,065	0x1252e9…
05-05 07:47:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2,065	100¢	$2,061	0xb8cdd3…
05-05 02:27:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	No	BUY	2,061	100¢	$2,057	0x367f99…
04-13 09:37:03	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1cb0d1…
03-30 07:20:52	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x65e472…
03-11 02:16:57	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	2,162	0¢	$6	0x57c8e1…
03-06 06:54:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	2,142	0¢	$6	0x60b44e…
03-02 01:39:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	1,108	0¢	$3	0xf895fc…
02-13 01:15:23	xrp above 1pt8 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,143	0¢	$5	0x0b6745…
02-09 02:07:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	Yes	BUY	1,119	0¢	$4	0x9bcb4b…
02-06 02:19:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 6	No	BUY	1,106	100¢	$1,103	0xb3b250…
02-05 01:39:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 5	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,098	0xf989ee…
02-04 01:58:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	1,101	99¢	$1,088	0xc18a66…
02-03 08:33:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	1,088	99¢	$1,076	0xc92563…
02-02 01:09:48	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,075	0x541cdb…
02-01 00:49:52	ethereum above 3100 on february 1	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0xf370f0…
01-31 01:56:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 31	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,071	0xf69478…
01-30 02:26:10	xrp above 2pt3 on january 30	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0x7c6364…
01-29 07:41:38	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc46490…
01-29 00:39:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 29	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0xa05d16…
01-28 02:09:01	ethereum above 2700 on january 28	Yes	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0xfe87ed…
01-27 01:22:51	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,066	0xefd2f6…
01-26 02:05:38	ethereum above 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,064	0x4e7360…
01-25 01:36:24	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,062	0x7c752f…
01-24 03:08:20	ethereum above 3200 on january 24	No	BUY	1,062	100¢	$1,060	0xae6173…
01-23 06:13:34	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	No	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,059	0xda34f2…
01-23 05:53:26	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbfe783…