Phony-Bracket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$312

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-12 01:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$5

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	06-02 02:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3600 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	open	—	01-18 01:18
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	open	—	01-17 01:02
bitcoin above 102k on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	open	—	01-16 01:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	01-15 00:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	01-14 01:48
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	No	+$3	05-09 01:34
ethereum above 3500 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	01-13 01:19
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-12 01:53
ethereum above 2800 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	01-11 01:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	01-10 01:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-09 04:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	1	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	No	+$2	05-05 02:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	05-04 02:32
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-20 01:56
will googl dip to 215 in january	7	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 03:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 6	1	$7	1,110	0	+1,110	open	—	02-06 01:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 13	1	$4	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	02-13 02:19
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-14 02:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	1	$3	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	02-24 01:41
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-02 02:38
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 08:48
xrp above 1pt1 on march 16	1	$2	1,119	0	+1,119	open	—	03-16 08:29
xrp above 1 on march 30	1	$2	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	03-30 01:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 8	1	$2	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	04-08 00:51
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-06 09:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 17	2	$2	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	04-17 00:24
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 23	1	$2	1,097	0	+1,097	open	—	03-23 01:55
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	1	$2	1,087	0	+1,087	open	—	03-06 01:49
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?	1	$2	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	04-27 02:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 1	1	$2	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	03-01 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 01:37:34	ethereum above 1400 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	1,053	0¢	$2	0xd94aea…
06-02 02:38:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf9e98b…
05-25 05:33:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,053	0¢	$2	0xb3c531…
05-21 08:48:03	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcdf03a…
05-09 01:34:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,075	0x0bfac8…
05-05 02:05:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,065	0xce60ea…
05-04 02:32:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0x1e4ce5…
04-27 02:00:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,079	0¢	$2	0x29a535…
04-17 00:24:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,058	0¢	$2	0x942806…
04-17 00:24:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x1e6292…
04-14 02:31:23	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x320156…
04-08 00:51:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,101	0¢	$2	0x1b3407…
04-06 09:33:23	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa68e4e…
03-30 01:54:22	xrp above 1 on march 30	No	BUY	1,113	0¢	$2	0xbde82a…
03-23 01:55:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 23	Yes	BUY	1,097	0¢	$2	0x09bba3…
03-16 08:29:51	xrp above 1pt1 on march 16	No	BUY	1,119	0¢	$2	0xc1e8a2…
03-10 06:53:53	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$2	0xf65afc…
03-06 01:49:41	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,087	0¢	$2	0x516090…
03-01 07:44:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 1	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$2	0x472402…
02-24 01:41:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$3	0xf7e04c…
02-13 02:19:53	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$4	0xf92a8a…
02-06 01:35:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,110	1¢	$7	0x6e7351…
02-02 03:22:34	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a27b1…
01-30 05:58:00	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x48306e…
01-29 12:03:18	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf5e51e…
01-29 06:08:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 29	Yes	BUY	1,069	0¢	$1	0x9400b7…
01-27 03:51:47	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb9f51b…
01-27 03:51:45	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0ee614…
01-27 03:49:33	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc86e64…
01-27 03:49:31	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9bf352…
01-27 03:49:29	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3683b6…
01-27 03:49:27	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x148c72…
01-26 09:02:53	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x98e4bb…
01-20 01:56:54	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x32eede…
01-19 03:17:28	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x94f816…
01-18 01:18:32	ethereum above 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	1,085	100¢	$1,083	0xa5680e…
01-17 01:02:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,081	0xaaf537…
01-16 01:51:32	bitcoin above 102k on january 16	No	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,080	0x64499e…
01-15 00:30:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0x441271…
01-14 01:48:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,076	0xd67400…
01-13 01:19:39	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,075	0x0e6018…
01-12 01:53:48	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,074	0xb1fbf4…
01-11 01:36:18	ethereum above 2800 on january 11	Yes	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,073	0x99f774…
01-10 01:31:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 10	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,071	0xc0ca70…
01-09 04:02:16	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 9	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0xaf2170…