Big-Hearted-Stamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$49

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-02 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 33% $-1

Politics

31% 0% $-1

Other

24% 33% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	04-25 16:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-11 13:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-25 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-26 07:41
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	1	$1	22	+22	open	—	06-02 08:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-11 13:26
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	1	$1	20	+20	open	—	06-02 08:45
Will Trump say "Chair" this week?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-19 06:58
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in June?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	06-02 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-25 18:11
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-19 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-25 18:30
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	$-1	04-25 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	04-26 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$1	33	+33	open	—	04-25 16:43
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?	1	$1	14	+14	open	—	06-02 08:50
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	$-1	05-11 13:03
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by May 31?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-25 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-25 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-25 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-25 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-25 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-25 17:36
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-25 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-26 07:35
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-25 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-25 18:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-25 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-25 18:18
Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" this week?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-19 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 08:50:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x418c38…
06-02 08:50:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x942379…
06-02 08:49:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x5e717b…
06-02 08:48:26	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in June?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x200b57…
06-02 08:45:44	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0c1796…
05-19 06:58:16	Will Trump say "Chair" this week?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x61b937…
05-19 06:58:05	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x448439…
05-19 06:57:39	Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" this week?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3ec75f…
05-19 06:57:27	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5a8e79…
05-19 06:56:31	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x556edd…
05-11 13:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbd2408…
05-11 13:26:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe9a5cc…
05-11 13:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3bfc5c…
05-11 13:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaff413…
05-11 13:09:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x69798c…
05-11 13:03:06	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9bf36a…
05-11 13:02:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x91ccdf…
05-11 12:59:18	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x10715e…
04-26 07:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x535093…
04-26 07:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9e2fe4…
04-26 07:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x66f647…
04-26 07:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbe5efb…
04-25 18:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xed6c11…
04-25 18:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa08182…
04-25 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe46aea…
04-25 18:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x876254…
04-25 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe1ba1a…
04-25 18:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x865425…
04-25 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x498331…
04-25 17:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6292c7…
04-25 17:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6423bc…
04-25 17:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb73f1a…
04-25 17:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xeb2b17…
04-25 17:06:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x86c304…
04-25 16:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xde3bbd…
04-25 16:37:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3576f4…
04-25 16:37:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6577a7…
04-25 16:33:50	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcb7562…
04-25 16:33:04	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc40e31…
04-25 16:32:40	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcb16cf…
04-25 16:31:58	Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by May 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x504dc6…
04-25 16:31:28	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4f5c92…
04-25 16:24:42	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc801dd…
04-25 16:14:42	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9283a2…
04-25 16:06:52	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb2aa64…
04-25 16:05:46	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa676cb…
04-25 16:03:50	Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3941e0…