Suburban-Wool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

28,664

Trades

220,778

lifetime

Volume

$637.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$591

18 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 08-25 20:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 58% +$9,205

Other

6% 59% +$592

Politics

4% 26% -$737

Sports

0% 49% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+269	$109	63¢	$169	+$60	07-10 16:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+269	$160	37¢	$100	-$59	07-09 21:27
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+100	$81	99¢	$99	+$18	07-08 21:23
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	+50	$37	90¢	$45	+$8	06-29 10:22
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+40	$26	98¢	$39	+$14	07-10 16:31
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+50	$27	74¢	$37	+$9	07-10 16:30
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+20	$19	100¢	$20	+$1	07-10 16:31
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes	+20	$18	96¢	$19	+$1	06-18 23:57
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	+20	$14	90¢	$18	+$5	07-08 17:43
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+22	$10	74¢	$16	+$6	07-10 16:30
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+50	$26	26¢	$13	-$13	06-30 04:02
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+22	$11	26¢	$6	-$5	07-06 10:43
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	+50	$22	10¢	$5	-$17	06-29 10:08
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	+20	$6	10¢	$2	-$4	07-10 16:31
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	No	+20	$6	4¢	$1	-$5	06-24 18:16
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+100	$28	1¢	$1	-$28	07-07 12:34
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+40	$12	2¢	$1	-$11	07-04 13:39
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+20	$8	0¢	$0	-$8	07-04 07:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	78	$1.9K	3,632	20	+3,612	No	-$77	07-10 16:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	56	$1.2K	2,482	11	+2,471	No	+$10	07-10 16:31
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	48	$1.1K	2,427	0	+2,427	Yes	+$52	06-16 00:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?	100	$1.1K	2,411	0	+2,411	No	-$172	06-19 19:23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	48	$1.1K	2,019	58	+1,961	No	+$0	07-10 16:31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	38	$1.1K	2,024	193	+1,831	Yes	+$150	06-20 13:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?	62	$838	1,558	0	+1,558	No	-$59	06-16 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:40 UTC	28	$810	1,629	0	+1,629	Down	+$4	04-20 19:45
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	39	$761	1,512	0	+1,512	No	-$4	06-18 23:52
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	34	$671	1,400	100	+1,300	Yes	-$30	07-02 17:42
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	30	$641	1,302	0	+1,302	Yes	+$7	07-01 01:04
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	37	$633	1,393	0	+1,393	No	-$27	06-18 06:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	62	$614	1,212	0	+1,212	No	-$27	06-18 09:54
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	26	$610	1,246	59	+1,187	Yes	-$14	06-30 20:40
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	32	$606	1,117	40	+1,077	No	-$13	07-10 16:30
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	20	$585	915	169	+745	No	+$17	07-01 01:16
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	22	$561	1,035	70	+965	No	-$9	07-10 16:30
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	32	$509	1,198	0	+1,198	Yes	+$26	06-18 00:07
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	22	$494	906	100	+806	No	-$12	07-08 07:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	45	$478	855	0	+855	No	+$2	06-15 23:29
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	34	$461	944	0	+944	Yes	-$10	06-18 07:52
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	26	$451	825	52	+773	No	-$24	07-10 16:31
will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	18	$408	821	3	+817	No	+$1	06-28 14:28
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	20	$398	795	25	+770	No	-$5	07-01 01:19
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	23	$394	948	8	+940	No	+$77	07-01 23:00
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	21	$383	771	0	+771	Yes	-$8	06-15 15:38
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?	20	$372	769	0	+769	Yes	-$21	06-14 20:11
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	17	$371	747	47	+700	No	-$1	07-01 01:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?	35	$355	731	0	+731	No	-$10	06-18 00:58
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	37	$353	681	30	+651	No	-$46	06-28 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 20:17:49	Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x994210…
07-23 23:40:22	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x054bb6…
07-21 23:32:55	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x625c10…
07-21 05:39:27	Will Hélène Laporte be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xbeef35…
07-19 08:42:25	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe0e488…
07-12 23:30:31	Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb704ba…
07-11 02:36:23	Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xdc6378…
07-10 19:42:34	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x978cf0…
07-10 19:42:32	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd8e584…
07-10 19:42:32	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xc2cdbd…
07-10 19:42:31	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xd166fe…
07-10 16:31:16	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x705b6c…
07-10 16:31:14	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe9d2d9…
07-10 16:31:14	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe8a7a4…
07-10 16:31:14	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd12c28…
07-10 16:31:13	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x95b888…
07-10 16:31:13	Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x4f7456…
07-10 16:31:11	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xc1c524…
07-10 16:31:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x80ccc0…
07-10 16:31:11	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x4ac14f…
07-10 16:31:10	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xa1ab36…
07-10 16:31:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x8b0635…
07-10 16:31:10	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x5d0049…
07-10 16:31:08	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xa7f5a6…
07-10 16:31:08	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0x69d2f5…
07-10 16:31:07	Will Brent Hennrich earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb896d2…
07-10 16:31:07	Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x690c73…
07-10 16:31:05	Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x83154a…
07-10 16:31:05	california high earner permanent tax proposition	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x45d668…
07-10 16:31:05	will pete hegseth attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044259	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x45a526…
07-10 16:31:04	Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xf8153c…
07-10 16:31:04	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0xb95a0b…
07-10 16:31:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 11 2026 20260630182730889	Yes	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x84823c…
07-10 16:31:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xd99163…
07-10 16:31:02	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xd85348…
07-10 16:31:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x5b4ece…
07-10 16:31:01	Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?	Yes	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x2d1af6…
07-10 16:30:59	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xeae5fd…
07-10 16:30:59	will argentina dollarize by december 31 2026 20260628214554778	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x862239…
07-10 16:30:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x447d22…
07-10 16:30:59	Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x3f7fc5…
07-10 16:30:58	Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x9252d9…
07-10 16:30:58	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x4db183…
07-10 16:30:56	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x8c0ccd…
07-10 16:30:55	Will Alexander Kolodin be the Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xfdccd4…
07-10 16:30:55	graham platner divorce by october 31 20260706220148808	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xed55ea…
07-10 16:30:55	Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xbc516e…
07-10 16:30:55	Will Savo Manojlović win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8e0071…
07-10 16:30:49	Will Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x65e5c4…
07-10 16:30:49	will trump praise weijia jiang by july 31 20260626214328045	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x532ce3…
07-10 16:30:47	Will Jack Bergman be the MI-01 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe54a1e…
07-10 16:30:47	Will the Republican Party win the FL-20 House seat?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x6378df…
07-10 16:30:46	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xfbac54…
07-10 16:30:46	will vucic officially leave office by july 31 20260629165804201	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x34b3dd…
07-10 16:30:44	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709152510180	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xb38dc1…
07-10 16:30:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 12 2026 20260630182730890	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x6088e1…
07-10 16:30:44	Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0e1e3d…
07-10 16:30:43	Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x1ab38d…
07-10 16:30:43	Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x066650…
07-10 16:30:41	Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xad7d6d…
07-10 16:30:41	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x92144f…
07-10 16:30:40	Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xd2f83b…
07-10 16:30:40	Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x1d6000…
07-10 16:30:38	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xd9fb5e…
07-10 16:30:38	Will 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x25a3b1…
07-10 16:30:37	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xb0aadf…
07-10 16:30:37	Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x51c626…
07-10 16:30:37	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 22 2026 20260630182730900	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x3c3fea…
07-10 16:30:35	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xb6b38e…
07-10 16:30:35	Will Rashida Tlaib be the MI-12 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x289f69…
07-10 16:30:34	will trump praise elon musk by july 31 20260626214328040	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x8cbf68…
07-10 16:30:34	jerome powell federally charged by december 31 2026 20260628211336464	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x798636…
07-10 16:30:34	Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x491473…
07-10 16:30:32	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xff2be3…
07-10 16:30:32	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x742aa5…
07-10 16:30:31	Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x871726…
07-10 16:30:31	usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x15d419…
07-10 16:30:29	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x92379e…
07-10 16:30:29	Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x8b78ab…
07-10 16:30:29	Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x461364…
07-10 16:30:28	Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x7ca7cb…
07-10 16:30:28	no confidence vote against spain pm sanchez by july 31 20260626194611633	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7c5a2e…
07-10 16:30:26	Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xcc46e4…
07-10 16:30:26	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0x6dcd27…
07-10 16:30:25	Will Robert Mitchell win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0xb274c6…
07-10 16:30:25	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	No	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x96f1f3…
07-10 16:30:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	28	44¢	$12	0xb95559…
07-10 16:30:23	spain snap election called by august 31 2026 20260624205647682	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x81ea84…
07-10 16:30:23	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x5138c3…
07-10 16:30:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xa59263…
07-10 16:30:22	will trump say fish in july 20260702143051766	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x40cd19…
07-10 16:30:20	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0xdd02e6…
07-10 16:30:20	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32	61¢	$20	0x746f11…
07-10 16:30:20	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$2	0x05ba91…
07-10 16:30:19	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xde6339…
07-10 16:30:19	Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	No	SELL	36	82¢	$30	0x80bf72…
07-10 16:30:19	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0x5bed45…
07-10 16:30:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0x6183dd…
07-10 16:30:17	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x1e1119…
07-10 16:30:16	Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xdfbcca…