Roasted-Speedboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$412

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

757

Trades

912

lifetime

Volume

$7.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 11-09 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Other

78% 51% -$372

Sports

11% 59% +$1

Politics

6% 30% -$21

Crypto

5% 74% -$9

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?	Yes	+36	$20	56¢	$20	$0	11-09 06:00
Flyers vs. Canucks	Flyers	+21	$12	56¢	$12	$0	11-08 03:20
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs	Avalanche	+15	$9	60¢	$9	$0	11-09 07:20
Islanders vs. Sharks	Islanders	+10	$5	56¢	$6	+$0	11-08 05:20
Predators vs. Kings	Predators	+5	$2	44¢	$2	$0	11-09 09:20
Bills vs. Jets	Bills	+2	$2	80¢	$2	$0	11-08 19:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	3	$124	133	40	+93	Yes	+$27	07-02 19:10
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$115	106	106	+0	Yes	+$4	07-20 06:02
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	2	$81	254	0	+254	No	-$81	07-05 20:03
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?	2	$80	471	471	+0	No	-$5	06-28 11:39
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	2	$80	157	157	+0	No	-$2	06-28 11:37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	3	$50	53	6	+47	No	-$40	07-03 13:30
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	1	$41	145	0	+145	No	-$41	06-27 17:01
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	1	$41	110	0	+110	No	-$41	06-26 14:16
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	1	$41	104	0	+104	No	-$41	07-06 14:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$40	44	44	+0	Yes	-$1	09-07 06:00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	1	$40	99	0	+99	No	-$40	07-03 06:34
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	1	$40	96	0	+96	Yes	+$56	07-01 00:55
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	1	$40	96	0	+96	No	-$40	06-29 19:15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$40	94	0	+94	No	-$40	07-07 14:51
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	1	$40	88	0	+88	Yes	+$47	06-30 09:26
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	1	$40	88	0	+88	No	-$40	07-01 13:28
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	1	$40	78	0	+78	Yes	+$37	07-06 09:01
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	1	$40	78	0	+78	No	-$40	07-18 11:11
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	1	$40	73	0	+73	No	-$40	07-05 11:01
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$40	72	0	+72	Yes	+$32	07-04 11:01
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	1	$40	70	0	+70	Yes	+$29	06-26 14:17
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$40	70	0	+70	Yes	+$29	06-29 07:37
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$40	65	0	+65	Yes	+$25	07-09 11:14
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	1	$40	58	0	+58	Yes	+$18	07-03 18:00
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	1	$40	56	0	+56	Yes	+$16	07-01 19:25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$40	55	0	+55	Yes	+$15	07-07 09:01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	1	$40	55	0	+55	No	-$40	06-29 12:38
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	1	$40	52	0	+52	Yes	+$12	06-30 13:56
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	1	$40	52	0	+52	Yes	+$12	07-01 11:10
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$40	48	0	+48	Yes	+$8	07-04 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 13:20:24	Red Wings vs. Blues	Blues	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x05e5be…
11-09 09:20:31	Predators vs. Kings	Predators	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3149ec…
11-09 07:20:25	Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs	Avalanche	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x99080a…
11-09 06:00:58	Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x489566…
11-08 19:15:34	Bills vs. Jets	Bills	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x83ed60…
11-08 15:01:42	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0xd290ac…
11-08 12:00:09	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x477006…
11-08 05:20:28	Islanders vs. Sharks	Islanders	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x1866fb…
11-08 03:20:27	Flyers vs. Canucks	Flyers	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x221d58…
11-07 21:01:52	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	28	52¢	$14	0x8c98fb…
11-07 08:46:57	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x4ac6ca…
11-07 03:20:19	Lightning vs. Jets	Lightning	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x7819ac…
11-07 01:20:30	Flyers vs. Flames	Flyers	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x91cd50…
11-06 23:20:25	Panthers vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa28dd7…
11-06 18:02:24	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	27	58¢	$16	0x436b7e…
11-06 17:20:34	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x034ead…
11-06 09:20:28	Devils vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xf77a0a…
11-06 09:02:43	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0x767adb…
11-06 05:20:19	Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x052b75…
11-05 21:20:21	Blues vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0ad7c1…
11-05 19:20:27	Panthers vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa78739…
11-05 03:20:18	Ducks vs. Flames	Ducks	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x2d858c…
11-05 01:20:24	Sharks vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x74c574…
11-04 13:20:19	Blackhawks vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x226ecd…
11-04 09:20:27	Stars vs. Blue Jackets	Stars	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xdfb690…
11-04 03:20:25	Utah vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x252378…
11-03 13:15:30	Cardinals vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb651a1…
11-03 05:20:28	Sharks vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xb913e0…
11-03 03:20:28	Flames vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa8b215…
11-02 21:20:24	Ducks vs. Canucks	Ducks	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x73a902…
11-02 18:01:22	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x59caf5…
11-02 11:20:19	Golden Knights vs. Penguins	Golden Knights	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9c048f…
11-02 07:20:18	Hurricanes vs. Predators	Hurricanes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x16b12a…
11-02 06:00:09	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$4	0x838cdc…
11-02 05:20:22	Jets vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc7ba72…
11-02 03:20:18	Avalanche vs. Blue Jackets	Avalanche	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd36cd1…
11-02 01:15:22	Packers vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5b2ec9…
11-01 23:15:21	Raiders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x524e6a…
11-01 19:15:31	Broncos vs. Panthers	Broncos	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1c5676…
11-01 05:52:30	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9e3f1e…
11-01 05:20:21	Avalanche vs. Blackhawks	Avalanche	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x665500…
11-01 01:20:16	Golden Knights vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x1ad8eb…
10-28 07:20:25	Capitals vs. Predators	Capitals	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x6765e1…
10-27 19:15:30	Chargers vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc0f8fb…
10-27 13:20:21	Devils vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x1cca3b…
10-27 01:15:27	Bears vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x25c66c…
10-26 23:20:39	Kings vs. Blackhawks	Kings	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xf00046…
10-26 23:15:44	Raiders vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x99f67c…
10-26 21:20:35	Sabres vs. Sharks	Sabres	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xd4bde3…
10-26 21:15:39	Titans vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd5b7b9…
10-26 19:15:41	Browns vs. Steelers	Steelers	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x15ed06…
10-26 17:20:27	Blue Jackets vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb51230…
10-26 15:20:27	Devils vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x547089…
10-26 15:15:29	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe712be…
10-26 14:00:24	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x4016c3…
10-26 09:20:26	Kings vs. Rangers	Rangers	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x2c9fbf…
10-26 08:00:08	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x812f61…
10-24 10:20:17	Wild vs. Canucks	Wild	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x468584…
10-24 09:01:06	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	32	58¢	$18	0x95eda1…
10-24 06:01:54	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x878712…
10-23 09:02:44	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x90545a…
10-23 06:20:35	Lightning vs. Utah	Lightning	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x11826b…
10-23 00:20:18	Sharks vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x459d9d…
10-22 22:00:39	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xcf4bdf…
10-22 18:21:03	Ducks vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x9bf744…
10-22 18:00:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xd2a23a…
10-22 18:00:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x02b785…
10-21 18:20:50	Jets vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x3bef91…
10-21 18:02:23	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	32	58¢	$19	0xb163df…
10-21 16:49:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x29adca…
10-21 08:20:24	Kings vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xd10736…
10-21 00:20:38	Sharks vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0x559060…
10-20 22:49:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7c2053…
10-20 06:02:32	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0x51fc56…
10-20 00:20:18	Panthers vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xb144a7…
10-20 00:15:53	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x50bd55…
10-19 21:01:36	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0xdb9cd0…
10-19 20:15:59	Buccaneers vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x6769ad…
10-19 18:16:06	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x224b82…
10-19 16:20:41	Wild vs. Oilers	Wild	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xbd81c2…
10-19 14:20:50	Jets vs. Blues	Jets	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x291cb1…
10-19 10:20:29	Hurricanes vs. Canucks	Hurricanes	BUY	17	74¢	$12	0x393b26…
10-19 08:20:26	Sharks vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x3a638e…
10-19 02:20:18	Kings vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x0abc0e…
10-19 00:20:41	Avalanche vs. Devils	Avalanche	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x744d17…
10-18 14:15:30	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x90c560…
10-18 13:00:47	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4bf16e…
10-17 04:20:32	Hurricanes vs. Flames	Hurricanes	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x711903…
10-16 20:20:56	Blues vs. Predators	Blues	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x28bdce…
10-16 16:01:21	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc13fa2…
10-16 14:22:45	Hurricanes vs. Jets	Hurricanes	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x8938e9…
10-16 09:02:28	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	45	57¢	$26	0x5d7da5…
10-16 04:20:43	Sharks vs. Red Wings	Red Wings	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x0a16ee…
10-16 02:20:45	Bruins vs. Kings	Bruins	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xad4716…
10-16 00:20:24	Stars vs. Blackhawks	Stars	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0xc85a4b…
10-15 20:20:41	Canucks vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x565e18…
10-15 18:20:41	Devils vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xbd47e4…
10-15 04:20:41	nhl pit col 2026 10 16	Avalanche	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x878b21…
10-15 02:20:34	nhl bos ana 2026 10 16	Bruins	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x64ec33…
10-14 21:01:36	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x7c5f57…