Apprehensive-Ranch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$145

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

243

Trades

541

lifetime

Volume

$4.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 10-31 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 39% -$128

Sports

12% 43% -$24

Other

3% 29% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$284	462	395	+67	Up	-$116	05-21 08:14
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	12	$275	1,272	169	+1,103	Knicks	+$3	05-22 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$160	112	112	+0	Up	+$60	05-21 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$141	117	117	+0	Down	+$41	05-21 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	6	$135	111	111	+0	Up	-$15	05-21 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	6	$134	200	64	+136	Down	-$26	05-22 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$125	85	85	+0	Up	+$25	05-21 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	13	$103	61	61	+0	Down	+$3	05-22 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$99	72	72	+0	Down	-$1	05-22 05:34
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-20?	2	$93	53	53	+0	Yes	+$13	05-21 04:03
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	2	$86	342	342	+0	Yes	-$44	05-18 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$80	71	52	+19	Up	+$20	05-21 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$77	55	55	+0	Down	+$17	05-21 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	5	$70	42	42	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 05:15
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$69	41	41	+0	Thunder	+$13	05-21 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$69	46	46	+0	Down	+$19	05-22 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$65	44	44	+0	Up	+$15	05-21 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$61	36	36	+0	Up	+$11	05-22 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$60	49	30	+19	Up	$0	05-21 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	3	$60	33	33	+0	Down	$0	05-22 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$57	36	36	+0	Up	+$7	05-21 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$56	35	35	+0	Up	+$6	05-21 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$55	31	31	+0	Up	+$5	05-22 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:35 UTC	5	$51	35	35	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	7	$51	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$50	30	30	+0	Up	+$10	05-22 06:04
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$49	29	29	+0	Knicks	+$9	05-20 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	5	$45	25	25	+0	Up	+$5	05-22 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$44	30	30	+0	Up	+$4	05-21 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	5	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-22 05:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 06:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x003d81…
10-31 01:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x23f45d…
10-31 01:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x662626…
10-31 01:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x931460…
10-31 01:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6a3b81…
10-30 09:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x12eaac…
10-30 08:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xbf792a…
10-30 08:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4ec4e2…
10-26 03:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x97856d…
10-26 03:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf40995…
10-26 02:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc3aa4e…
10-26 00:59:21	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Raptors	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0xb2b641…
10-25 08:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8b2724…
10-25 08:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x92d962…
10-25 08:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc8c57a…
10-25 08:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x51e587…
10-25 07:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x06279e…
10-25 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3e5596…
10-25 06:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1d1e25…
10-25 02:22:29	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1e89ca…
10-24 05:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	253	0¢	$1	0x9909ca…
10-24 04:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb2d69c…
10-24 04:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x32f92b…
10-24 04:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4c040e…
10-24 02:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3f2b09…
10-24 02:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8474e9…
10-24 01:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x351965…
10-24 01:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x13b6f2…
10-23 22:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfcdcec…
10-23 22:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xbc983a…
10-23 22:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x09b550…
10-23 22:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x7202ac…
10-23 22:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe718fc…
10-23 21:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x43d78e…
10-23 21:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x888ee2…
10-23 21:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9c63be…
10-23 10:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x98686a…
10-23 10:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x83538b…
10-23 10:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb6ecdc…
10-23 10:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfc9e8c…
10-23 09:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x1f97bd…
10-23 09:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1dc1a5…
10-23 09:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x060c76…
10-23 09:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x69c45c…
10-23 08:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x556b39…
10-23 08:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf08381…
10-23 08:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xd6f5ec…
10-23 08:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaf7d24…
10-23 08:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x25d933…
10-23 07:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x22415e…
10-23 07:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x16b492…
10-23 07:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1c6feb…
10-23 07:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x3095b3…
10-23 07:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x237cf6…
10-23 07:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x77ba82…
10-23 06:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x54000d…
10-23 06:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1f19e0…
10-23 06:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x4121d4…
10-23 06:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x405951…
10-23 06:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xd84422…
10-23 06:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x00f1bf…
10-23 06:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xa8c125…
10-23 06:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc72a6e…
10-23 06:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7118f8…
10-23 06:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0xde2afe…
10-23 06:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6f8330…
10-23 05:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	342	0¢	$0	0x3e4eff…
10-23 05:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	342	0¢	$1	0x7bc358…
10-23 05:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe64d95…
10-23 01:45:48	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x491cb2…
10-18 15:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x70396b…
10-18 15:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x6f5df5…
10-18 15:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xffb404…
10-18 15:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xde857d…
10-18 15:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1fc292…
10-18 15:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x4f4140…
10-18 15:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6242d6…
10-18 15:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xc2f8e5…
10-18 15:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3272f3…
10-18 14:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd745c0…
10-18 14:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4ec353…
10-18 14:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbd6795…
10-18 14:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcc6490…
10-18 13:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdb8178…
10-18 13:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x2e73fc…
10-18 13:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x625723…
10-18 13:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd9dcd6…
10-18 11:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe02bb9…
10-18 11:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeffccc…
10-18 11:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x90e0ff…
10-18 11:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x22d52c…
10-18 11:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x94ab19…
10-18 11:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0e299e…
10-18 11:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x0cab4b…
10-18 11:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf0c19c…
10-18 08:57:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x74e7b4…
10-18 08:56:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x01189c…
10-18 08:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x85247d…
10-18 08:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	164	1¢	$1	0xe0e4be…
10-18 08:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x705163…