Soggy-End-Atelier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$282

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$7.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 05-25 22:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

70% 42% +$87

Crypto

20% 40% +$175

Politics

10% 55% +$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	14	$954	818	818	+0	Yes	+$71	05-23 21:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	16	$731	539	539	+0	Yes	+$93	05-25 15:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	14	$655	661	661	+0	No	-$11	05-25 22:29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	11	$456	289	289	+0	Yes	+$26	05-20 21:01
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	10	$440	451	451	+0	No	-$20	05-25 22:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	14	$333	572	572	+0	No	-$21	05-25 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$286	359	359	+0	Up	+$150	05-21 21:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$213	132	132	+0	No	+$13	05-20 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	7	$213	170	170	+0	No	+$23	05-22 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$188	136	136	+0	Up	+$10	05-20 19:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?	2	$161	84	84	+0	No	+$1	05-20 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$154	307	125	+182	Up	-$106	05-24 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$131	67	67	+0	Up	-$1	05-21 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$124	66	66	+0	Up	+$7	05-21 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$124	65	65	+0	Down	+$4	05-21 21:14
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	3	$121	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	05-21 20:52
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$120	72	72	+0	No	$0	05-25 22:29
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	5	$111	75	75	+0	Yes	+$11	05-20 17:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$102	77	77	+0	No	-$3	05-22 21:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	4	$101	250	250	+0	Yes	+$2	05-21 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$99	250	250	+0	Down	-$1	05-20 21:22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$94	69	69	+0	No	+$4	05-25 15:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	5	$81	54	54	+0	No	$0	05-25 21:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$73	47	47	+0	No	-$1	05-21 16:16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	11	$66	338	338	+0	No	-$8	05-24 18:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$64	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	05-21 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$64	172	0	+172	Down	-$64	05-24 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$61	268	0	+268	Up	+$207	05-24 11:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 25 2026?	3	$59	41	41	+0	No	-$1	05-25 22:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$59	45	45	+0	No	-$1	05-24 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 22:30:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x35162e…
05-25 22:30:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x776e90…
05-25 22:30:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x021c50…
05-25 22:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xda3331…
05-25 22:29:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x7ce64a…
05-25 22:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0xdc4d37…
05-25 22:29:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x2abac5…
05-25 22:29:29	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	72	83¢	$60	0xef27aa…
05-25 22:29:27	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	180	46¢	$82	0xcce2f3…
05-25 22:29:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	201	55¢	$111	0x372e24…
05-25 21:28:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	34	56¢	$19	0x437b29…
05-25 21:28:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x93bccb…
05-25 21:17:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	76	55¢	$42	0xfafd07…
05-25 21:17:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xb970c9…
05-25 21:16:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xc9b377…
05-25 21:14:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x6464fb…
05-25 20:30:32	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	110	50¢	$55	0xbedf2c…
05-25 20:30:08	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	111	50¢	$55	0xd08dab…
05-25 20:16:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc9458d…
05-25 17:46:43	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0x0f85cc…
05-25 17:45:06	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	94	46¢	$43	0xe2983a…
05-25 17:35:13	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0x02dbaa…
05-25 17:06:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x04f890…
05-25 15:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xe602ac…
05-25 15:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x44956e…
05-25 15:19:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	69	70¢	$49	0x939462…
05-25 14:31:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8b068c…
05-25 14:11:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xbf5711…
05-25 13:36:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x956f14…
05-25 13:25:40	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xdb51b5…
05-25 13:13:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x3f037a…
05-25 12:58:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	69	65¢	$45	0x7c9433…
05-25 12:50:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x729fdd…
05-25 08:33:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	13¢	$7	0xdb9d21…
05-25 08:32:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	348	85¢	$296	0xa0f2ad…
05-24 18:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x1eb57e…
05-24 18:44:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	4¢	$5	0xe023b3…
05-24 18:44:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6453bc…
05-24 18:44:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	5¢	$6	0x73d873…
05-24 18:43:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	60¢	$91	0xe11104…
05-24 18:43:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	33¢	$96	0xf33c8f…
05-24 18:18:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	37¢	$79	0x25a98d…
05-24 18:17:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	56¢	$84	0x1bde0f…
05-24 18:10:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x793122…
05-24 18:10:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0x172e32…
05-24 17:38:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	28¢	$28	0x901619…
05-24 17:38:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	45	63¢	$29	0xc8b193…
05-24 16:44:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	59¢	$54	0x21d8f9…
05-24 16:43:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	26¢	$53	0x7f0396…
05-24 16:35:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0x2abdc9…
05-24 16:34:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	0¢	$1	0x3986b0…
05-24 15:57:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x096f38…
05-24 15:56:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x139d29…
05-24 15:55:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x338226…
05-24 15:53:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8599c2…
05-24 15:53:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc2c9ac…
05-24 15:53:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1a8d2a…
05-24 15:52:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x514a53…
05-24 15:49:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0x1c4753…
05-24 15:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x3d503c…
05-24 15:37:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	58	48¢	$28	0x4b4fdc…
05-24 15:30:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x869b7a…
05-24 15:30:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x427943…
05-24 15:29:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x29dbee…
05-24 15:21:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x554512…
05-24 15:20:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x4541ef…
05-24 15:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x71d43c…
05-24 15:16:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x157d68…
05-24 15:15:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	1¢	$2	0x8822c3…
05-24 15:14:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc321a9…
05-24 15:13:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x160a39…
05-24 15:03:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0xc9eaaf…
05-24 15:02:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	165	12¢	$19	0x04ab01…
05-24 14:25:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa1c75d…
05-24 13:55:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x39c1a7…
05-24 13:51:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	11¢	$15	0x539ebe…
05-24 13:51:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xc385d6…
05-24 13:49:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xf3ced2…
05-24 13:47:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x4e35bb…
05-24 13:47:11	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0xe3de23…
05-24 13:45:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x3539e0…
05-24 13:35:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xae3b99…
05-24 13:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xa929a7…
05-24 13:34:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x60c576…
05-24 13:33:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xae4a88…
05-24 13:09:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xcb8c10…
05-24 11:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	268	23¢	$61	0x60c114…
05-24 11:40:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	259	31¢	$80	0x556c0d…
05-24 11:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	172	37¢	$64	0x8b991c…
05-24 11:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x40da5f…
05-24 11:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	125	19¢	$24	0x6793d8…
05-24 11:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x5655b7…
05-24 11:19:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	239	33¢	$79	0xd26835…
05-24 11:19:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x83f99c…
05-24 10:29:01	Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	6¢	$6	0x29b737…
05-24 10:27:28	Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	29¢	$30	0x216b91…
05-24 08:38:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0xfc2d69…
05-24 04:50:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x90e695…
05-23 23:50:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0xdd2116…
05-23 22:23:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0x73f211…