Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$249

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 09-19 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

47% 50% +$15

Crypto

42% 43% -$15

Other

12% 8% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-46	-$2	2¢	$-1	+$1	09-19 11:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	02-28 08:03
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	02-28 08:03
will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	2	$11	8	8	+0	No	+$5	02-25 07:02
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	1	$10	26	0	+26	Yes	-$10	03-07 21:05
bitcoin up or down on january 23	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	01-23 17:09
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	03-21 15:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:00 UTC	3	$6	23	9	+14	Down	-$2	03-01 13:04
will trump say slave or slavery during the black history month reception	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$4	02-18 21:09
bitcoin above 90k on january 22	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	01-22 17:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:05 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	03-01 18:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:55 UTC	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	03-01 12:59
will trump say kennedy or autism during the 2026 state of the union address 214	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$2	02-25 07:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:50 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	03-01 11:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:10 UTC	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	-$1	03-01 13:11
bitcoin above 88k on january 22	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	01-22 09:39
will trump say tariff during the black history month reception	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	02-18 21:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$3	81	0	+81	No	-$3	03-01 16:47
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	1	$3	12	0	+12	No	-$3	02-22 10:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$3	12	0	+12	Yes	-$3	01-25 10:36
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	1	$3	20	0	+20	No	-$3	02-28 09:47
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	125	0	+125	Yes	-$3	02-22 09:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$3	11	0	+11	Yes	-$3	02-28 14:27
will russia capture all of drobysheve by march 31	1	$3	73	0	+73	No	-$3	03-01 16:54
will trump say biden during the black history month reception	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	02-18 21:10
will trump say beautiful 5 times during the black history month reception	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	02-18 21:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:15 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-01 13:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:50 UTC	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	03-01 12:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:50 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	02-26 19:55
will trump say smart or high iq during the black history month reception	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-18 21:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 17:55 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	03-01 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 11:16:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0x65c0e9…
04-18 17:35:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xec6eb6…
03-28 07:20:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcd1da5…
03-27 11:15:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9c97df…
03-26 15:28:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3012f6…
03-26 13:01:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x7224b9…
03-26 13:00:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xee0457…
03-26 12:55:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x76c15f…
03-26 12:44:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x71a8e5…
03-21 15:05:59	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9f39b5…
03-07 21:05:45	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfa25bf…
03-02 19:30:13	will trump say waste this week march 1	No	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0x50b30d…
03-01 18:20:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x96755a…
03-01 18:10:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc62982…
03-01 18:07:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x864477…
03-01 18:05:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc09a59…
03-01 18:00:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 17:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x08a181…
03-01 17:57:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x29e2fc…
03-01 17:06:17	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb17b9d…
03-01 17:04:41	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc41454…
03-01 16:54:49	will russia capture all of drobysheve by march 31	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x01fa14…
03-01 16:47:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x3d417a…
03-01 16:30:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9eb147…
03-01 13:20:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x76a874…
03-01 13:19:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x042a20…
03-01 13:15:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1d12da…
03-01 13:11:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x28e939…
03-01 13:10:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x37edd0…
03-01 13:05:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3220db…
03-01 13:04:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x61740c…
03-01 13:04:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xfdd33b…
03-01 13:01:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd19a44…
03-01 12:59:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xe6dfd2…
03-01 12:57:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x00b695…
03-01 12:57:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x98d3d3…
03-01 12:56:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf5f0c4…
03-01 12:54:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x175951…
03-01 12:53:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb5b91f…
03-01 12:40:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x083595…
03-01 12:26:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xce5885…
03-01 12:00:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x428187…
03-01 11:56:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x62f628…
03-01 11:53:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x965f69…
03-01 11:51:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x130de5…
03-01 11:49:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf7c76a…
03-01 11:44:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf34a5c…
03-01 11:41:37	will ultra wide be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4168e2…
02-28 14:27:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xcd3e77…
02-28 14:04:29	will opinion launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4131c8…
02-28 11:07:43	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x9bbcbc…
02-28 10:30:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5a43bf…
02-28 10:06:03	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xda45be…
02-28 09:47:47	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x5142f6…
02-28 09:47:43	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x15eada…
02-28 09:42:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x67a60a…
02-28 08:03:59	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x913459…
02-28 08:03:47	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x11e115…
02-27 16:11:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4efb32…
02-27 15:56:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1d0979…
02-27 15:43:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x279d59…
02-27 13:03:39	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe5c4ad…
02-26 19:58:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3f274a…
02-26 19:55:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x46b7b9…
02-26 19:54:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x33aa77…
02-26 19:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x680ced…
02-26 19:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x843e3f…
02-26 19:19:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcc9bf9…
02-25 16:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcec208…
02-25 07:03:28	will trump say kennedy or autism during the 2026 state of the union address 214	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc4764e…
02-25 07:02:20	will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x3b838a…
02-24 22:23:46	will trump say cookie during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5b24c0…
02-24 22:22:04	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc06a30…
02-23 15:34:18	will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x5c6818…
02-23 15:32:00	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x9500fc…
02-23 15:31:34	will trump say iq during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x845c5f…
02-23 15:31:24	will trump say nobel or peace prize during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xccaaa9…
02-23 15:30:36	will trump say black or hispanic during the 2026 state of the union address 716	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x431141…
02-23 15:29:44	will trump say kennedy or autism during the 2026 state of the union address 214	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe275c5…
02-22 14:46:10	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x759102…
02-22 12:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x23cf4e…
02-22 10:26:38	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x294a10…
02-22 09:40:52	Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	2¢	$3	0x5a2b75…
02-20 15:14:46	us strike on somalia by february 28 399	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf17b83…
02-19 12:42:22	will trump say no no no in rome ga on february 19 314	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x78bd31…
02-19 12:39:24	will trump say national guard in rome ga on february 19 857	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x14a4b0…
02-19 12:38:50	will trump say traitor in rome ga on february 19 362	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3f6902…
02-19 12:37:24	will trump say china 5 times in rome ga on february 19	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x776ad0…
02-19 12:34:14	will trump say america first in rome ga on february 19 157	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x200609…
02-18 21:39:36	will trump say smart or high iq during the black history month reception	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xe9b090…
02-18 21:23:02	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x4c5670…
02-18 21:10:50	will trump say biden during the black history month reception	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa85ab9…
02-18 21:10:42	will trump say tariff during the black history month reception	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe5a302…
02-18 21:09:42	will trump say beautiful 5 times during the black history month reception	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9d473f…
02-18 21:09:26	will trump say slave or slavery during the black history month reception	No	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0xc629c2…
02-18 16:45:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x687062…
02-18 16:38:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x8800a2…
02-18 16:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x67ea05…
02-18 16:33:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe1332c…
02-18 16:11:34	bitcoin above 68k on february 18	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x144c54…
02-18 16:06:16	will trump say tariff during the black history month reception	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc9ffdf…