Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.99K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

140

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-12 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 39% $-2,227

Politics

35% 38% $-1,165

Other

22% 18% $-594

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$2.4K	5,953	5,953	+0	No	+$393	03-05 17:52
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	18	$2.0K	6,279	6,126	+153	No	$-445	01-31 13:47
btc updown 15m 1770004800	5	$912	692	681	+11	Down	+$225	02-02 04:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$827	8,889	7,487	+1,402	No	+$18	02-01 05:29
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	11	$705	16,305	701	+15,604	No	$-550	01-29 21:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$700	1,401	1,401	+0	Yes	$-40	02-28 13:51
btc updown 15m 1770073200	19	$675	1,412	832	+580	Down	$-125	02-02 23:13
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$643	572	572	+0	Yes	+$443	02-28 06:22
bitcoin up or down february 1 6pm et	4	$606	1,143	200	+943	Down	+$469	02-01 23:49
btc updown 5m 1773757500	2	$600	943	0	+943	Up	$-600	03-17 14:26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	6	$590	2,585	411	+2,174	No	$-282	02-10 12:40
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	8	$556	2,252	2,252	+0	No	+$18	01-31 13:50
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	11	$534	529	529	+0	Yes	+$122	03-20 22:54
btc updown 15m 1770080400	1	$421	733	0	+733	Down	+$312	02-03 00:59
xrp updown 15m 1770146100	1	$400	800	0	+800	Up	$-400	02-03 19:12
btc updown 15m 1770079500	1	$400	1,402	0	+1,402	Up	$-400	02-03 00:57
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$394	345	345	+0	Yes	+$294	02-26 13:44
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	3	$368	613	613	+0	Yes	+$28	03-06 13:52
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	5	$354	295	295	+0	No	+$94	02-09 15:28
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$353	242	242	+0	No	+$73	03-08 10:58
btc updown 15m 1771109100	3	$332	516	509	+7	Down	$-60	02-14 22:57
btc updown 5m 1773686700	3	$309	248	197	+51	Down	+$84	03-16 18:49
btc updown 15m 1770072300	1	$300	774	0	+774	Down	$-300	02-02 22:47
btc updown 5m 1772649600	2	$288	192	189	+3	Up	+$91	03-04 18:44
btc updown 15m 1770003900	4	$279	637	9	+629	Up	+$54	02-02 03:52
btc updown 5m 1773759900	2	$270	175	173	+3	Down	+$73	03-17 15:08
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$268	250	250	+0	Yes	+$168	02-28 06:38
eth updown 15m 1770006600	3	$265	494	0	+494	Down	+$229	02-02 04:33
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$264	402	402	+0	No	+$30	01-14 17:44
bitcoin up or down february 2 5pm et	2	$256	585	585	+0	Up	+$56	02-02 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 09:36:10	btc updown 5m 1786527300	Down	BUY	275	35¢	$95	0x657176…
07-25 09:16:00	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x8ef430…
07-25 09:12:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	1,686	3¢	$48	0x9e5cc4…
07-11 23:27:01	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	56	16¢	$9	0x66cbc7…
07-11 23:26:08	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x7448db…
07-11 22:57:52	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xac11b8…
07-11 21:55:32	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x36d115…
07-11 21:53:49	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	127	31¢	$40	0xba7956…
07-07 22:11:47	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	445	55¢	$244	0x703745…
07-05 20:00:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x0dbfdd…
04-04 02:33:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x8fecf1…
03-27 13:50:27	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	2,175	0¢	$7	0xea21a0…
03-27 13:49:55	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	Yes	SELL	194	8¢	$15	0x9b4619…
03-27 13:49:37	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	Yes	SELL	206	10¢	$21	0x847fbb…
03-27 13:49:25	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	412	5¢	$19	0x9446b7…
03-25 02:04:53	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	228	14¢	$32	0x899aa8…
03-24 01:17:47	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	440	7¢	$31	0x1b35f8…
03-22 22:28:31	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	440	11¢	$50	0x732168…
03-22 20:35:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x23bf51…
03-22 01:49:33	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	Yes	BUY	194	26¢	$50	0xaa5720…
03-22 01:48:01	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	Yes	BUY	206	34¢	$70	0xcb511f…
03-22 01:44:37	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xbd6ea6…
03-22 01:39:57	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	412	24¢	$100	0x5e9968…
03-20 22:54:39	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	129	59¢	$76	0x18d8a0…
03-20 17:48:33	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	103	63¢	$65	0x816622…
03-20 17:32:43	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	155	63¢	$98	0x42ff92…
03-20 16:22:05	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0xd73604…
03-20 16:17:09	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	59	63¢	$37	0x4dd5f4…
03-20 16:14:59	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x4577bb…
03-20 16:09:37	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0xc8662c…
03-18 23:45:41	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xf3a980…
03-17 15:28:41	eth updown 5m 1773761100	Up	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0xeb1cad…
03-17 15:08:53	btc updown 5m 1773759900	Down	SELL	173	99¢	$170	0x88d522…
03-17 15:04:59	btc updown 5m 1773759900	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x5501e1…
03-17 14:26:57	btc updown 5m 1773757500	Down	BUY	358	56¢	$200	0xf25e8d…
03-17 14:26:09	btc updown 5m 1773757500	Down	BUY	585	68¢	$400	0x5613e6…
03-17 14:19:17	btc updown 5m 1773756900	Up	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0xb5ee42…
03-17 14:18:13	btc updown 5m 1773756900	Up	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x6dbca0…
03-17 14:10:47	btc updown 5m 1773756600	Down	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0x00ca96…
03-17 14:10:19	btc updown 5m 1773756600	Down	BUY	143	49¢	$70	0xc9cb03…
03-16 19:00:59	btc updown 5m 1773687600	Up	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0xad4c2c…
03-16 18:50:13	btc updown 5m 1773687000	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xa3941b…
03-16 18:49:35	btc updown 5m 1773686700	Down	SELL	197	99¢	$195	0x3f5a97…
03-16 18:46:09	btc updown 5m 1773686700	Up	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0x99f0a5…
03-16 18:44:09	btc updown 5m 1773686700	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xaf43f2…
03-14 00:38:11	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	144	39¢	$57	0x4b843e…
03-14 00:34:15	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0x2fb72d…
03-14 00:26:15	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0x393cfa…
03-14 00:05:43	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	Yes	BUY	932	1¢	$10	0xc00a36…
03-09 10:55:09	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x7cf400…
03-09 10:47:39	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	197	25¢	$50	0x684cf2…
03-08 14:40:03	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	157	28¢	$44	0xfb26e1…
03-08 14:39:45	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x0672d0…
03-08 14:36:41	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x5b59e5…
03-08 10:58:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	242	88¢	$213	0xec0189…
03-07 21:17:41	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x8201b1…
03-07 21:11:19	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	151	46¢	$69	0x277ff1…
03-06 21:31:31	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x66d6cb…
03-06 13:56:39	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9fbe8f…
03-06 13:54:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	242	58¢	$140	0xa84652…
03-06 13:52:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	SELL	613	32¢	$198	0x96feba…
03-05 17:52:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	370	12¢	$46	0x58188e…
03-05 09:01:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	304	23¢	$70	0x543943…
03-05 08:55:15	will iran strike nine or more countries in march	No	SELL	378	8¢	$30	0xfd6e6d…
03-05 02:17:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	370	16¢	$60	0x926c1e…
03-05 02:15:09	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0xf30e78…
03-04 23:43:45	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0xce4e54…
03-04 22:57:49	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	310	32¢	$100	0xac28c8…
03-04 21:54:19	will iran strike eight countries in march	Yes	SELL	240	8¢	$19	0xf18e4d…
03-04 21:53:59	will iran strike eight countries in march	Yes	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0x0866c7…
03-04 18:46:53	btc updown 5m 1772649900	Down	SELL	133	32¢	$43	0x70b763…
03-04 18:45:03	btc updown 5m 1772649900	Down	BUY	135	53¢	$72	0x17d004…
03-04 18:44:15	btc updown 5m 1772649600	Up	SELL	189	99¢	$188	0x62c538…
03-04 18:39:13	btc updown 5m 1772649600	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xe45b23…
03-04 18:36:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	988	16¢	$156	0x15306c…
03-04 16:53:29	will iran strike six countries in march	Yes	BUY	450	1¢	$4	0xfb02be…
03-04 16:37:59	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x36f243…
03-04 16:21:15	btc updown 5m 1772641200	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x941c06…
03-04 16:16:29	btc updown 5m 1772640900	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x995559…
03-04 11:57:07	will iran strike eight countries in march	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x05e980…
03-04 11:36:15	will iran strike eight countries in march	Yes	BUY	106	4¢	$4	0xc2df0a…
03-04 11:21:41	will iran strike eight countries in march	Yes	BUY	94	8¢	$8	0x9636d9…
03-04 11:21:41	will iran strike eight countries in march	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x1cc6b1…
03-03 19:48:57	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	503	6¢	$30	0xabeffa…
03-03 18:28:27	will iran strike three countries in march	Yes	SELL	117	2¢	$2	0x4307fa…
03-03 18:10:01	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x40396e…
03-03 15:58:03	will iran strike three countries in march	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x635145…
03-03 15:16:25	will iran strike three countries in march	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$1	0x2fc39b…
03-03 14:58:57	will iran strike three countries in march	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x19e12e…
03-03 03:27:55	will iran strike eight countries in march	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x9a441b…
03-03 02:39:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	988	17¢	$170	0x4828da…
03-03 01:41:07	will iran strike seven countries in march	Yes	BUY	221	10¢	$22	0x82bc63…
03-03 00:45:51	will iran strike nine or more countries in march	No	BUY	378	26¢	$100	0x3c302d…
03-02 23:13:29	will iran strike four countries in march	Yes	SELL	276	2¢	$6	0x066292…
03-02 23:13:21	will iran strike three countries in march	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x8f4d28…
03-02 00:06:05	btc updown 5m 1772409900	Down	BUY	147	55¢	$80	0xcbe08f…
03-01 23:33:49	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	348	11¢	$40	0x2a082b…
03-01 23:18:31	will iran strike six countries in march	Yes	BUY	316	3¢	$10	0xf35148…
03-01 23:16:51	will iran strike five countries in march	Yes	BUY	274	2¢	$5	0x338d76…
03-01 23:16:33	will iran strike four countries in march	Yes	BUY	276	2¢	$5	0x45d27e…