Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
96.8%
Resolved
114
Trades
152
lifetime
Volume
$404
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$75
21 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-28 16:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
46% 95% +$4
Crypto
24% 98% +$1
Politics
22% 90% +$20
Sports
5% 100% +$1
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +6 $4 93¢ $5 +$1 10-26 01:41
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-28 13:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-28 15:06
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4 $4 97¢ $4 +$0 10-27 18:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 +$0 10-27 18:45
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 10-27 18:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-27 18:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 10-27 18:43
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-27 18:35
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-27 18:36
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-27 18:29
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-27 18:28
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 $0 10-27 18:40
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4 $4 92¢ $4 $0 10-26 01:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $0 10-27 18:37
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-22 12:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 10-28 15:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +3 $3 84¢ $3 $0 10-27 18:47
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 10-05 16:32
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $0 10-26 01:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +15 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-26 01:39