Elastic-Tomography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.9%

Resolved

212

Trades

420

lifetime

Volume

$717

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 09-26 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

76% 38% -$12

Crypto

22% 32% -$36

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-05-02?	4	$50	62	62	+0	Yes	+$30	05-02 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$22	61	0	+61	Down	-$22	05-10 11:29
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-05-02?	4	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$19	23	22	+0	Down	-$1	04-30 11:52
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-02?	4	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	05-02 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$16	37	0	+37	Down	-$16	04-28 08:22
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?	3	$15	14	8	+6	No	-$5	05-02 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$14	21	16	+5	Down	+$4	05-07 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	6	$13	51	21	+30	Up	+$1	05-07 04:49
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?	2	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$1	05-02 14:19
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5	2	$11	6	6	+0	Over	+$1	05-02 15:30
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5	2	$11	6	6	+0	Over	+$1	05-02 14:46
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-02 15:30
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-02 15:30
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:48
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-02 14:00
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16?	6	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	05-15 18:41
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-03 07:30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	10	$10	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-08 19:45
Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5	2	$10	13	13	+0	Over	$0	05-02 13:13
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-02?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-02 13:15
Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5	2	$10	10	10	+0	Over	$0	05-02 13:07
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5	2	$9	14	14	+0	Under	-$1	05-02 13:15
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs. FK Rubin Kazan: O/U 1.5	2	$8	5	5	+0	Under	-$2	05-02 14:26
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5	2	$8	8	8	+0	Under	-$2	05-02 13:13
Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5	3	$8	8	8	+0	Over	-$2	05-02 13:13
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5	2	$7	8	8	+0	Under	-$3	05-02 12:35
Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5	2	$7	4	4	+0	Over	+$0	05-03 13:33
Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2026-05-02?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	-$3	05-02 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:25 UTC	2	$6	14	0	+14	Up	+$8	04-24 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 19:28:21	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xffe9e3…
09-26 19:27:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x273f42…
09-26 19:27:00	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6c0c3a…
09-26 19:26:39	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x582f7a…
09-26 19:22:03	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb1e103…
09-19 12:12:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.43% in September?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x98af96…
09-19 12:12:17	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xda7ce9…
09-18 19:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xed3e82…
09-18 19:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x450852…
09-18 19:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5d0a00…
09-18 19:35:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x56ec90…
09-18 19:35:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfa8004…
09-18 19:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7d92ac…
05-17 02:07:54	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x812b52…
05-17 02:07:53	Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x70d224…
05-17 00:48:13	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x12ed55…
05-17 00:40:28	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa67b15…
05-17 00:22:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9d82f7…
05-17 00:12:44	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xf9ac43…
05-17 00:08:23	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x33b772…
05-16 23:36:20	Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xdb4dbf…
05-16 23:35:15	Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdb8b97…
05-16 23:05:47	Will Goiás EC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xa009b7…
05-16 23:05:35	Will Goiás EC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xee1610…
05-16 21:03:12	Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8c7fa7…
05-16 19:46:16	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xdd49b7…
05-16 19:46:12	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe20e09…
05-16 19:46:09	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x87fc5f…
05-16 19:45:00	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x32dc28…
05-16 14:34:16	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x680246…
05-16 14:34:05	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x89288b…
05-16 14:34:02	Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x366f57…
05-16 14:33:57	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe1a8eb…
05-16 14:33:57	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6222b4…
05-16 14:31:05	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd29faf…
05-16 14:22:36	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x62dc99…
05-16 13:24:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x69b071…
05-16 13:23:18	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x24b5ea…
05-16 13:19:13	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xce2bf1…
05-16 13:10:11	Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9c310f…
05-16 12:19:41	Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6b866f…
05-16 12:15:42	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x47df20…
05-16 12:11:03	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x149a0e…
05-16 12:06:50	Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-16?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7ae574…
05-16 11:14:48	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x19c161…
05-16 10:44:17	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x90be2b…
05-16 10:44:14	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x20383c…
05-16 09:17:57	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2cf896…
05-16 08:45:28	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-16?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3ea9f0…
05-15 18:41:30	Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x1978e5…
05-15 17:40:43	Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb4ac72…
05-15 17:39:20	Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x384502…
05-15 17:37:58	Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xfa9dbc…
05-15 17:11:40	Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xafb414…
05-15 16:29:26	Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x6d8b2d…
05-15 13:01:53	Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1e6a28…
05-15 12:53:50	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x95d8df…
05-15 12:13:19	Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9414b5…
05-15 11:44:53	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcc72e3…
05-15 10:21:03	Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc55b8a…
05-14 20:17:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf4834f…
05-14 18:30:10	Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd4972d…
05-14 02:51:26	Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0c1aff…
05-14 01:42:52	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf98346…
05-14 01:31:50	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x37db1d…
05-14 01:30:30	Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6ff0e5…
05-14 01:18:06	Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x674f2a…
05-14 01:13:33	Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xac947d…
05-14 01:12:04	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x80b2a6…
05-14 01:06:54	Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfc43d8…
05-14 00:59:05	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2c0c2a…
05-14 00:55:14	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc1cdae…
05-14 00:46:20	Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf3c7b3…
05-14 00:15:46	Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x953cd8…
05-14 00:14:54	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3d12f3…
05-14 00:00:12	Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x62a2b6…
05-13 22:56:33	Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc8f6a0…
05-13 22:34:56	Will Paysandu SC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x091c4d…
05-13 19:45:31	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1b8c02…
05-13 16:03:51	Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xecb111…
05-13 02:13:44	Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x320220…
05-13 02:06:07	Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe48de4…
05-12 17:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xddf040…
05-12 17:01:17	Will FK Mladá Boleslav vs. FK Dukla Praha end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x91cc23…
05-12 16:54:38	Will FK Mladá Boleslav vs. FK Dukla Praha end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x32288d…
05-12 16:42:48	Will 1. FC Slovácko vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x207bb2…
05-12 16:42:42	Will 1. FC Slovácko vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa4fe74…
05-12 15:27:54	Will El Gouna SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x5ce318…
05-12 15:27:22	Will El Gouna SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb47aec…
05-12 12:18:12	Will Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x718b8b…
05-12 12:18:06	Will Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2e8700…
05-12 12:16:37	Will Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x7d6219…
05-12 12:16:32	Will Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8c8f5d…
05-12 11:56:03	Will Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5b3c96…
05-12 11:12:29	Will Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7e47db…
05-11 20:43:10	Will Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xb5cc92…
05-11 20:42:56	Will CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xfcf1dd…
05-11 20:42:53	Will CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3f484e…
05-11 20:42:32	Will Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe5f5d0…
05-11 19:37:17	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x24d0e7…