Adventurous-Fourths — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$690

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

433

Trades

1,293

lifetime

Volume

$43.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-27 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

99% 75% +$746

Crypto

0% 0% -$79

Sports

0% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	13	$2.1K	3,055	3,055	+0	Yes	+$118	03-31 10:16
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	23	$989	2,691	2,691	+0	No	-$401	03-31 08:22
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	6	$827	713	713	+0	Yes	+$469	03-27 14:17
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	2	$746	749	0	+749	No	+$2	10-04 12:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	4	$640	443	394	+50	No	+$93	07-25 01:50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	6	$638	614	507	+107	No	+$230	08-03 05:08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	4	$577	381	444	-63	No	+$6	07-26 15:21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	8	$517	261	1,009	-748	Yes	-$387	10-05 15:17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	10	$507	0	919	-919	Yes	-$412	10-10 18:00
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	5	$490	1,097	1,097	+0	No	-$54	03-31 11:25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	5	$469	438	671	-233	No	+$0	09-14 10:21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	7	$406	171	499	-328	Yes	-$208	08-15 10:02
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	4	$406	500	500	+0	No	-$22	03-20 15:18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	8	$405	606	503	+103	No	+$108	08-08 05:20
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	3	$394	199	346	-147	No	$0	07-25 01:47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	3	$381	268	441	-173	No	-$28	09-01 16:18
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	1	$378	379	0	+379	No	+$0	09-26 19:59
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	1	$377	0	378	-378	Yes	$0	10-03 17:29
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	1	$377	378	0	+378	No	+$0	10-01 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	1	$372	372	0	+372	No	+$0	09-23 18:39
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	1	$362	362	0	+362	No	+$0	10-05 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	1	$357	357	0	+357	No	+$0	09-28 21:21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	8	$356	0	518	-518	Yes	-$162	08-05 07:27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	3	$347	178	325	-147	No	+$76	07-24 20:43
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1	$345	345	0	+345	No	+$1	10-08 18:56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	5	$340	336	345	-10	No	+$120	10-09 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	3	$322	245	182	+63	Yes	-$257	07-27 06:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	5	$318	0	499	-499	Yes	-$181	08-08 05:18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	9	$298	272	754	-482	Yes	-$285	10-14 06:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	1	$296	301	0	+301	open	—	10-26 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0x94fa22…
10-27 04:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0x1f6881…
10-27 04:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x7b0d36…
10-27 04:37:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0b4353…
10-27 04:29:21	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5a93d1…
10-27 04:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3fd19a…
10-27 04:08:23	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdad9a6…
10-27 00:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x3cbd44…
10-26 15:59:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	301	98¢	$296	0x9de59f…
10-26 15:58:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0x8d573d…
10-25 14:41:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	261	2¢	$5	0x613a8f…
10-25 10:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x89bfa2…
10-25 09:43:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xa7cc0b…
10-25 09:43:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$14	0x53c51c…
10-25 09:42:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x24d7d4…
10-25 09:42:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	9¢	$10	0xfb9ae0…
10-25 09:36:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	9¢	$11	0xd1dd04…
10-25 06:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	10¢	$12	0xbf91ea…
10-25 06:33:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	10¢	$14	0x67b8ac…
10-25 06:29:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	8¢	$19	0x8cbd1f…
10-25 06:27:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x148394…
10-25 06:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xd9e53f…
10-25 04:06:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	24¢	$36	0x6e4b22…
10-25 04:02:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	19¢	$23	0xcad118…
10-25 02:26:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x2f7a93…
10-25 02:26:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xaff679…
10-25 02:25:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xde4bb9…
10-25 02:24:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xc54ff5…
10-25 02:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x86d9fa…
10-25 02:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x836e34…
10-25 02:23:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x87a899…
10-25 02:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x6eb058…
10-25 02:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	28¢	$28	0x9ea581…
10-25 01:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8d4c97…
10-25 01:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x55114a…
10-25 01:07:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x755550…
10-25 01:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0c4f9b…
10-25 01:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x343e33…
10-25 01:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xde56d8…
10-25 01:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xd4ffd1…
10-25 01:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xb8936f…
10-25 01:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xa6bb70…
10-25 01:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x476b8a…
10-25 01:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0xa77b6d…
10-25 00:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xa29efc…
10-25 00:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xce2f82…
10-24 23:45:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x495836…
10-24 23:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xbca6ef…
10-24 23:38:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x3ef85d…
10-24 21:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	0¢	$1	0x8cc80d…
10-24 21:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	1¢	$2	0x38384f…
10-24 21:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	14¢	$36	0x1b6c3f…
10-24 21:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	4¢	$10	0x2d7760…
10-24 07:56:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	141	96¢	$136	0xd472ec…
10-24 07:27:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0x5cf785…
10-23 16:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	51¢	$131	0x768ffb…
10-23 16:16:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	10¢	$26	0x6871f1…
10-23 14:47:47	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	1¢	$3	0x2d39e1…
10-23 13:45:05	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	1¢	$3	0x13b220…
10-23 13:08:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	24¢	$22	0x5c94ab…
10-23 12:15:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0x9038b4…
10-23 12:06:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x5b562b…
10-23 11:58:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xbfccbf…
10-23 11:53:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	24¢	$30	0x36a196…
10-23 05:45:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	6¢	$15	0xefa4b0…
10-23 04:03:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0xe2a933…
10-23 04:02:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	19¢	$35	0xac621b…
10-23 03:47:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x07ff2d…
10-23 03:18:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5d643c…
10-23 03:15:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xd3fa5f…
10-23 03:14:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x168e97…
10-23 03:06:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xafc4ae…
10-23 02:40:23	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x88c285…
10-23 02:38:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x22795f…
10-23 02:38:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x19a0c9…
10-23 02:36:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa1e41c…
10-23 02:36:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x5af5d2…
10-22 21:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	20¢	$51	0x816936…
10-22 21:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	6¢	$16	0xb8d370…
10-22 21:43:32	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	0¢	$1	0xd45266…
10-22 21:43:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	1¢	$3	0x5fcb01…
10-22 09:46:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	256	97¢	$248	0xf4420b…
10-21 04:44:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	1¢	$2	0xf12844…
10-20 14:11:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	6¢	$8	0x320286…
10-20 13:39:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xc38bfa…
10-20 13:26:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x45e15b…
10-20 08:07:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	6¢	$14	0x2236d1…
10-20 05:28:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	2¢	$4	0xfacac7…
10-20 05:18:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	0¢	$1	0xbe7ce5…
10-19 22:26:05	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xeaf230…
10-19 16:04:56	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0xb070ec…
10-19 16:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0x5fed88…
10-18 21:11:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x75ebb5…
10-18 21:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	65¢	$136	0xb2e5c6…
10-18 04:13:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	22¢	$34	0xb578b5…
10-18 04:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	22¢	$13	0xebb6e7…
10-17 21:58:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	16¢	$33	0x1ee88f…
10-17 21:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	5¢	$10	0x46af5d…
10-17 21:57:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$3	0x17b160…
10-17 21:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	0¢	$1	0x7adf85…