Adventurous-Fourths — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$140

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,384 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.48K

$45.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 11-04 08:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

99% 76% +$612

Crypto

0% 0% -$79

Sports

0% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes		-136	-$4	0¢	$-0	+$4	11-02 21:55
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	—	-0	-$10	0¢	$-0	+$10	11-04 08:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	13	$2.1K	3,055	3,055	+0	Yes	+$118	03-31 10:16
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	23	$989	2,691	2,691	+0	No	-$401	03-31 08:22
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	6	$827	713	713	+0	Yes	+$469	03-27 14:17
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	2	$746	749	0	+749	No	+$2	10-04 12:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	4	$640	443	394	+50	No	+$93	07-25 01:50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	6	$638	614	507	+107	No	+$230	08-03 05:08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	4	$577	381	444	-63	No	+$6	07-26 15:21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	8	$517	261	1,009	-748	Yes	-$387	10-05 15:17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	10	$507	0	919	-919	Yes	-$412	10-10 18:00
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	5	$490	1,097	1,097	+0	No	-$54	03-31 11:25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	5	$469	438	671	-233	No	+$0	09-14 10:21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	7	$406	171	499	-328	Yes	-$208	08-15 10:02
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	4	$406	500	500	+0	No	-$22	03-20 15:18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	8	$405	606	503	+103	No	+$108	08-08 05:20
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	3	$394	199	346	-147	No	$0	07-25 01:47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	3	$381	268	441	-173	No	-$28	09-01 16:18
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	1	$378	379	0	+379	No	+$0	09-26 19:59
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	1	$377	0	378	-378	Yes	$0	10-03 17:29
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	1	$377	378	0	+378	No	+$0	10-01 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	1	$372	372	0	+372	No	+$0	09-23 18:39
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	1	$362	362	0	+362	No	+$0	10-05 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	1	$357	357	0	+357	No	+$0	09-28 21:21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	8	$356	0	518	-518	Yes	-$162	08-05 07:27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	5	$352	212	538	-326	No	+$154	10-30 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	3	$347	178	325	-147	No	+$76	07-24 20:43
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1	$345	345	0	+345	No	+$1	10-08 18:56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	5	$340	336	345	-10	No	+$120	10-09 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	3	$322	245	182	+63	Yes	-$257	07-27 06:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	5	$318	0	499	-499	Yes	-$181	08-08 05:18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	1	$310	315	0	+315	No	+$5	10-29 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:21:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xf3bc6b…
11-04 08:19:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xea507f…
11-04 04:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x45e182…
11-04 03:55:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x862921…
11-04 03:51:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x665eb7…
11-03 15:38:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	10¢	$13	0x58956c…
11-03 15:13:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xa09b5c…
11-03 15:13:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xdc782d…
11-03 15:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xc16c49…
11-03 15:11:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xf86ae5…
11-03 15:09:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xb2f8fd…
11-03 14:57:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x3524b9…
11-03 14:00:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	1¢	$1	0x19213e…
11-03 13:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	14¢	$18	0x9f6342…
11-03 10:16:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	21¢	$29	0x17e5ea…
11-03 01:40:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	14¢	$20	0xc13395…
11-03 00:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	12¢	$16	0x6917ee…
11-03 00:45:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	6¢	$8	0x57f6b7…
11-02 21:55:13	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	3¢	$4	0x9b9f1e…
11-02 21:54:28	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	1¢	$2	0xa7f656…
11-02 19:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x842431…
11-02 09:39:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xe9ea00…
11-02 01:52:09	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x6a7c07…
11-02 01:50:31	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	0¢	$0	0xcd0f9d…
11-02 01:50:19	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	0¢	$0	0x5db96e…
11-02 01:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	43¢	$69	0xf1e07b…
11-02 01:49:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	36¢	$57	0xd189e3…
11-01 22:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	2¢	$3	0xc1a64c…
11-01 22:56:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	7¢	$12	0xe390b5…
11-01 12:15:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	2¢	$3	0x38cea1…
11-01 11:57:49	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x00eb5c…
11-01 11:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	0¢	$0	0x21a2ce…
11-01 11:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	0¢	$0	0x9b98ab…
11-01 11:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	8¢	$14	0x646e94…
11-01 11:55:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	21¢	$40	0x2557a1…
11-01 11:55:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	45¢	$84	0x0b3b68…
11-01 07:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$2	0xfbb9e7…
11-01 07:53:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	3¢	$3	0x4bf752…
10-31 21:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	5¢	$9	0x5a51b8…
10-31 21:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	20¢	$37	0x83f08b…
10-31 20:21:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xb828ca…
10-31 19:48:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x2ae575…
10-31 19:48:03	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	3¢	$5	0x497f93…
10-31 19:37:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	17¢	$25	0x09a936…
10-31 19:37:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	17¢	$6	0x89f18c…
10-31 18:06:22	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	6¢	$11	0x6bcd97…
10-31 06:17:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	188	98¢	$184	0x9832c9…
10-31 03:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$1	0xc293e6…
10-31 03:54:09	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$1	0xa7dea8…
10-31 03:54:01	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	5¢	$10	0x02ebb7…
10-31 03:53:52	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	33¢	$70	0x01ff0b…
10-31 02:05:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	45¢	$96	0x7deabe…
10-31 02:04:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	2¢	$5	0x22bcb0…
10-30 16:02:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x0049f9…
10-30 16:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	188	97¢	$182	0xbfb6d3…
10-30 16:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	28¢	$26	0xe61ad3…
10-30 15:58:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	28¢	$36	0x9f3f7f…
10-30 15:57:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x77edc8…
10-30 15:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$79	0x6c6975…
10-30 15:39:43	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	2¢	$3	0xb32ace…
10-30 14:31:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	10¢	$22	0x5f017d…
10-30 14:09:28	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x791c41…
10-30 14:07:31	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0x71df2a…
10-30 14:07:31	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x4133cf…
10-30 14:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	10¢	$12	0x02590a…
10-30 13:59:25	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	3¢	$6	0xe64513…
10-30 13:42:15	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x752723…
10-30 13:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	40¢	$11	0xd8b932…
10-30 13:39:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	287	40¢	$114	0xb79b9f…
10-30 12:48:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	310	0¢	$1	0x3b9117…
10-30 11:01:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	17¢	$53	0xa2d16e…
10-30 06:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	315	0¢	$1	0x9dd823…
10-30 06:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	315	0¢	$1	0xa817c1…
10-30 05:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	315	11¢	$35	0x9d1497…
10-30 04:48:48	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x33353e…
10-30 04:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	263	0¢	$1	0xfe91cb…
10-30 04:47:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x2889ae…
10-30 04:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	315	1¢	$5	0x8b7e0c…
10-30 04:44:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	263	1¢	$3	0xc1ccd3…
10-29 12:00:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x9b6a13…
10-29 11:57:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xa46d75…
10-29 10:14:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	315	98¢	$310	0xef7dbc…
10-27 18:11:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	1¢	$1	0xc2eed9…
10-27 18:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x90399b…
10-27 17:54:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x72ae13…
10-27 17:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x224ee9…
10-27 14:35:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xa0f6d8…
10-27 12:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	8¢	$19	0xd1c8a0…
10-27 12:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x1fb0e2…
10-27 11:58:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x8c9a41…
10-27 07:19:23	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	301	8¢	$24	0xce14d3…
10-27 04:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0x94fa22…
10-27 04:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0x1f6881…
10-27 04:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x7b0d36…
10-27 04:37:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0b4353…
10-27 04:29:21	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5a93d1…
10-27 04:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3fd19a…
10-27 04:08:23	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdad9a6…
10-27 00:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x3cbd44…
10-26 15:59:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	301	98¢	$296	0x9de59f…