Nautical-Nougat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$603

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-21 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 50% $-5

Politics

11% — —

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	04-30 03:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$40	26	26	+0	open	—	06-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$38	39	0	+39	open	—	04-28 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$35	35	9	+26	open	—	04-30 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$32	42	0	+42	open	—	04-28 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$30	54	0	+54	open	—	04-30 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$30	44	0	+44	open	—	04-30 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	04-30 03:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-19 16:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	06-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 02:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-15 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$14	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	05-17 20:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-10 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-17 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	$-10	05-08 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-08 08:18
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-27 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$7	12	3	+9	open	—	04-28 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-16 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-24 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 18:09
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-08 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 12:30:34	btc updown 5m 1782045000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7e5db5…
06-21 12:25:29	btc updown 5m 1782044700	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x09d5a5…
06-10 11:42:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x58ac87…
06-10 11:40:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x70fd79…
06-10 11:38:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x4deed3…
06-08 22:31:01	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xc9494c…
06-08 22:30:54	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x14b5ea…
06-08 21:35:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x935930…
06-08 21:26:31	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7f6d69…
06-08 21:26:19	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc287ce…
06-08 21:23:19	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4ce393…
06-05 02:24:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	75¢	$20	0x040275…
06-05 02:24:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x3202a1…
06-05 02:20:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x8d7e29…
06-03 16:26:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2aa14b…
05-30 16:58:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd1786e…
05-30 16:57:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe17c7e…
05-30 16:45:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb06dc1…
05-25 01:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xf73dd9…
05-24 15:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc7b678…
05-24 15:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbb4be2…
05-19 20:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2b7c4d…
05-19 16:07:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x6cbc39…
05-17 21:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xa44797…
05-17 21:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf11b20…
05-17 21:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1b356b…
05-17 21:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5e3299…
05-17 20:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf20f24…
05-17 20:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,200	1¢	$12	0xe8e98d…
05-17 20:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc21b8b…
05-17 20:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbdb8a4…
05-16 20:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x87870d…
05-16 20:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x77b0d8…
05-16 20:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3c1c8e…
05-16 19:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xefbf84…
05-15 05:46:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xd1c673…
05-08 08:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9c71ec…
05-08 03:38:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa5f84b…
05-08 03:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x89e88a…
05-06 22:58:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x0c8142…
05-05 19:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe271e1…
05-05 18:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xf1169f…
05-04 02:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x0b3c9c…
05-04 02:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd7d1a4…
05-04 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x1abcd2…
05-04 02:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9a7f19…
05-03 19:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x3c1a4f…
05-03 19:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4018fb…
05-03 19:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x52a7ea…
05-03 19:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4cbd08…
05-03 19:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xc43d24…
05-03 19:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xceb5d6…
05-03 18:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xcc3cfb…
05-03 18:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa8f8f7…
05-03 18:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1e49a3…
05-03 18:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfc55e5…
05-03 18:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xea1a28…
05-03 18:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x4823c9…
05-03 18:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0xe1abd8…
05-03 18:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x51fc55…
05-03 18:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1e9f56…
05-03 18:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x113e56…
05-03 18:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd4d29e…
05-03 18:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x5ac119…
05-03 18:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2362ec…
05-03 18:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd4ad6c…
05-03 18:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb20df5…
05-03 18:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2ef272…
05-03 18:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc38c1e…
05-03 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf4d8be…
05-03 17:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x611b2f…
04-30 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e05a8…
04-30 14:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x69a0f1…
04-30 14:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa2f6aa…
04-30 04:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6d1278…
04-30 03:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x487992…
04-30 03:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x254105…
04-30 03:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa845bd…
04-30 03:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x2ea334…
04-30 03:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x692cdd…
04-30 03:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4754ca…
04-30 03:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x341f74…
04-30 03:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3fbaf7…
04-30 03:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xfcd181…
04-30 03:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x8acd3d…
04-30 03:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x3e0534…
04-30 03:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x41261c…
04-30 03:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x78bf24…
04-30 03:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa64298…
04-30 03:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x92b716…
04-28 04:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0x5964d9…
04-28 04:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0f12cd…
04-28 04:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf54869…
04-28 02:37:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xc3b9f7…
04-28 02:36:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x619896…
04-28 02:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd70b1e…
04-28 02:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x8eaf98…
04-28 02:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x726ec7…
04-28 02:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x3f6739…
04-28 02:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc49115…