Willing-Stick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 08-16 02:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 69% +$21

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?	3	$79	49	49	+0	open	—	05-21 15:48
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	2	$69	40	40	+0	No	+$9	05-11 01:25
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$59	42	42	+0	open	—	05-29 17:01
Ethereum Up or Down on May 29?	2	$55	39	39	+0	open	—	05-29 14:12
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 25?	2	$55	43	43	+0	open	—	05-25 17:26
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 27?	2	$46	29	29	+0	open	—	05-27 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	3	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	06-01 13:41
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 23?	3	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	05-23 07:59
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 26?	2	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	05-26 15:46
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 31?	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	05-31 10:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 22?	2	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	05-22 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 07:46
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	1	$23	0	26	-26	open	—	05-31 15:52
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 09:13
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	05-16 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-24 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 14:33
Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?	1	$20	28	0	+28	Down	+$8	05-11 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	05-15 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	1	$20	26	0	+26	Up	+$6	05-10 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	Up	+$6	05-10 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	3	$20	17	7	+11	Up	+$0	05-08 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4AM ET	5	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	05-17 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	2	$19	11	11	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 04:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 02:45:07	btc updown 4h 1786838400	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xbf671b…
08-16 02:39:03	btc updown 15m 1786847400	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x949dd4…
08-16 02:34:52	btc updown 15m 1786847400	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdf8638…
08-16 02:34:45	btc updown 15m 1786847400	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4328bb…
08-16 01:40:55	btc updown 4h 1786838400	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xff2333…
08-16 01:40:46	btc updown 4h 1786838400	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x77ebe4…
08-16 01:40:30	btc updown 4h 1786838400	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb5f6f2…
08-16 01:40:25	btc updown 4h 1786838400	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x196423…
08-15 13:14:43	bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xec2575…
08-15 12:25:00	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5f1bc2…
08-15 12:24:51	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc0ad26…
08-15 09:06:55	btc updown 4h 1786780800	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x27f15c…
08-15 09:06:54	btc updown 4h 1786780800	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xff5354…
08-15 09:06:54	btc updown 4h 1786780800	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x93cff2…
08-15 09:06:52	btc updown 4h 1786780800	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9db33b…
08-15 09:06:52	btc updown 4h 1786780800	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x924793…
08-15 06:51:40	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xe95d5f…
08-15 06:42:58	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x064b40…
08-15 06:42:54	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x346628…
08-15 05:47:13	btc updown 4h 1786766400	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x93e8bd…
08-15 05:30:24	btc updown 4h 1786766400	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc04dbf…
08-15 05:30:22	btc updown 4h 1786766400	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7a5e2e…
08-15 02:59:07	btc updown 4h 1786752000	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x936b73…
06-11 03:17:22	ethereum up or down june 10 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3b2372…
06-11 03:01:16	eth updown 5m 1781146800	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x250f49…
06-11 02:48:30	eth updown 5m 1781145900	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x494309…
06-11 02:16:13	eth updown 5m 1781144100	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xe635b7…
06-11 02:15:51	eth updown 5m 1781144100	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa09755…
06-07 01:18:28	ethereum up or down on june 7 2026	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x497c6f…
06-07 01:17:07	eth updown 5m 1780794900	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x06da51…
06-07 01:15:43	eth updown 5m 1780794900	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7beebd…
06-07 01:06:28	eth updown 5m 1780794300	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x428432…
06-07 01:05:45	eth updown 5m 1780794300	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8da763…
06-05 04:17:33	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x134a6f…
06-02 14:11:07	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x5eb69b…
06-02 10:55:38	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x26b0f9…
06-02 06:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0x79bd3b…
06-02 06:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3ce852…
06-02 06:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x50c625…
06-02 05:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x2716dc…
06-02 05:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x26cfdd…
06-02 05:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x28e996…
06-02 02:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xdc5903…
06-02 02:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0f8e3f…
06-02 02:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	34	24¢	$8	0xc3f7b8…
06-01 13:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x3843da…
06-01 13:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2b30c7…
06-01 13:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x678bf0…
06-01 03:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x200fa9…
06-01 03:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x189e70…
05-31 15:52:59	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0x154d97…
05-31 10:58:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 31?	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x74e248…
05-29 17:01:58	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Gujarat Titans	SELL	42	82¢	$34	0x2577a8…
05-29 14:16:56	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Gujarat Titans	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x2e0bfb…
05-29 14:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0xa69451…
05-29 01:22:02	Ethereum Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x61c6ab…
05-27 18:08:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 27?	No	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0xeb1f5a…
05-27 14:13:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 27?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xd263d3…
05-27 11:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x5223ac…
05-27 01:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x67ab25…
05-26 15:46:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 26?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0xd881d0…
05-26 12:52:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 26?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9f3bcc…
05-25 17:26:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 25?	No	SELL	43	57¢	$25	0x7ae2d0…
05-25 09:42:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 25?	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x5f63d3…
05-25 07:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Down	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x6e632d…
05-25 06:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xb7f02f…
05-25 05:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xcdcaa1…
05-25 05:05:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf986d3…
05-25 05:04:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x150123…
05-25 05:03:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x330eb0…
05-25 05:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4dce37…
05-25 04:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6d42b6…
05-25 04:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xfd99d5…
05-25 04:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd0b337…
05-25 04:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x407144…
05-25 04:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x39b008…
05-25 04:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xaa7015…
05-25 04:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3dfc2f…
05-25 04:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x79bee5…
05-25 03:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc73904…
05-25 03:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xac944d…
05-25 03:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x650c50…
05-25 02:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa56e95…
05-25 02:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7b5702…
05-24 13:10:45	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x9d183a…
05-24 12:45:42	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd93891…
05-24 07:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x031a57…
05-24 07:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc308b5…
05-24 03:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x723031…
05-24 03:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xaba36f…
05-24 03:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6dde40…
05-24 02:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc740de…
05-24 02:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8b3b75…
05-24 02:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9f8c29…
05-24 01:42:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x11a766…
05-23 15:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xca17b8…
05-23 15:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x421dc8…
05-23 11:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xc35e83…
05-23 11:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x16db6e…
05-23 07:59:26	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 23?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x5cc4b2…