Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 18?
open
Total volume
$647
Trades
40
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$8,393
Latest YES mid
37¢
Latest NO mid
63¢
End date
2026-05-18
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-17 05:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $23 | $7 | +$16 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $98 | $370 | $272 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $2 | $33 | $31 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $98 | $180 | $83 |
| Median | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $32 | $31 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $160 | $160 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| unranked | 5 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +240 | $160 | $160 | 4 | 05-16 13:49 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | +200 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 05-15 13:42 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +113 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-16 04:33 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +42 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-16 13:49 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-17 00:59 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 13:49 |
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 13:49 |
| Alert-Resolve 0x7b36…8cb5 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 23:50 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-16 06:49 |
| Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:02 |
| Firm-Overshoot 0x22a6…11c6 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 09:50 |
| Capital-Bidet 0x75e2…5dd7 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 06:51 |
| Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 17:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 05:12:39 | Tall-Heating 0x1f00…e8db | Yes | SELL | 43 | 34¢ | $15 | 0x4822e7… |
| 05-17 00:59:36 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0xd02e7c… |
| 05-16 23:50:55 | Alert-Resolve 0x7b36…8cb5 | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xb3791d… |
| 05-16 13:49:23 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xdad455… |
| 05-16 13:49:23 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 21 | 66¢ | $14 | 0x27f536… |
| 05-16 13:49:21 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0xaa8218… |
| 05-16 13:49:21 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 100 | 66¢ | $66 | 0x6a6ea5… |
| 05-16 13:49:21 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x0954a3… |
| 05-16 13:49:21 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xfb14ea… |
| 05-16 13:49:21 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 80 | 67¢ | $54 | 0x5d4342… |
| 05-16 13:49:21 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 21 | 66¢ | $14 | 0x9b1095… |
| 05-16 13:49:19 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0x255e0b… |
| 05-16 12:36:35 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x107df5… |
| 05-16 12:35:46 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x58cae4… |
| 05-16 12:30:55 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0xa248af… |
| 05-16 12:26:47 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x3202e8… |
| 05-16 12:21:30 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 30 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x7d2642… |
| 05-16 11:21:07 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x50602f… |
| 05-16 10:25:46 | (anonymous) 0x80a9…26c1 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x349444… |
| 05-16 10:05:28 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 13 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x8dcf7a… |
| 05-16 09:55:28 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 157 | 32¢ | $51 | 0x63abe1… |
| 05-16 09:50:41 | Firm-Overshoot 0x22a6…11c6 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $4 | 0xfd83a4… |
| 05-16 09:31:29 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x880bd1… |
| 05-16 09:25:22 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x4d831a… |
| 05-16 09:21:34 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 51 | 36¢ | $18 | 0xb8b1a1… |
| 05-16 09:20:28 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 33 | 34¢ | $11 | 0xb8daaf… |
| 05-16 07:25:01 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xb46408… |
| 05-16 07:24:59 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 19 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xca957a… |
| 05-16 07:00:57 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xc43de1… |
| 05-16 06:59:56 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 16 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x3790de… |
| 05-16 06:51:20 | Capital-Bidet 0x75e2…5dd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x48f167… |
| 05-16 06:49:51 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x8a4240… |
| 05-16 04:33:21 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 93 | 23¢ | $21 | 0xfca83e… |
| 05-16 03:55:41 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xc4cbc7… |
| 05-15 16:02:09 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x8d5cb8… |
| 05-15 13:42:57 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x8b4430… |
| 05-15 13:42:55 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 200 | 80¢ | $160 | 0x9170d8… |
| 05-15 13:02:05 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb60fcb… |
| 05-15 13:01:26 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4b4c61… |
| 05-14 17:34:39 | Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xf25c3f… |