Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-26

last 10-30 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 57% -$51

Politics

17% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+17	$5	29¢	$5	$0	10-30 10:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+17	$3	28¢	$5	+$1	10-30 20:41
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$3	56¢	$3	$0	10-30 10:56
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+6	$2	30¢	$2	$0	10-30 20:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$73	48	48	+0	open	—	10-28 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$70	45	45	+0	Up	+$20	10-28 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$63	38	38	+0	Up	+$13	10-28 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$62	39	39	+0	Up	+$13	10-28 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$57	34	34	+0	Up	+$7	10-28 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	10-28 21:54
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	10-28 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$54	45	45	+0	Up	+$34	10-27 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$51	32	32	+0	Up	+$11	10-27 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$50	69	0	+69	Up	-$50	10-28 22:12
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	10-28 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$40	77	77	+0	Up	-$10	10-28 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	10-27 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$27	18	18	+0	Up	+$7	10-27 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	Down	-$25	10-29 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$25	32	0	+32	Up	-$25	10-28 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	10-27 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	10-29 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	10-28 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$23	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	10-27 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	10-27 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$21	19	11	+8	Down	+$1	10-28 20:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	2	$19	111	111	+0	open	—	10-29 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$18	2,152	250	+1,902	Up	-$12	10-27 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	10-27 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$15	12	5	+7	Up	-$5	10-27 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$15	51	0	+51	Down	-$15	10-27 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$15	36	0	+36	Down	-$15	10-28 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$15	22	22	+0	Down	+$5	10-29 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	10-27 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 20:43:43	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x153ba0…
10-30 20:41:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xa75b06…
10-30 10:56:10	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xae36ca…
10-30 10:55:28	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0xe8c400…
10-30 10:54:31	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x46efa1…
10-30 10:39:15	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	SELL	158	0¢	$0	0x7bf2b8…
10-30 10:39:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0x9ada2c…
10-30 10:24:04	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	158	3¢	$4	0xe84ce8…
10-30 10:11:48	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0x07beb2…
10-30 10:00:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xab1d1a…
10-29 13:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x37e07a…
10-29 13:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5e2a93…
10-29 13:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9bc106…
10-29 13:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7e610d…
10-29 12:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x89a772…
10-29 12:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x99e4e8…
10-29 12:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc208ed…
10-29 12:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1f06b2…
10-29 12:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf45b9b…
10-29 12:46:08	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x3535ad…
10-29 12:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x6dbde3…
10-29 12:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdeb2d6…
10-29 12:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xace3e1…
10-29 11:01:41	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xa4125d…
10-29 10:23:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf8ec7d…
10-29 10:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x08690f…
10-29 10:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x462130…
10-29 10:07:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	111	8¢	$9	0x72b943…
10-29 10:06:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x96689d…
10-29 09:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe3e4b9…
10-29 09:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9e6da2…
10-29 09:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x304a4c…
10-29 09:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfd2803…
10-29 09:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xabd344…
10-29 09:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7c9d7b…
10-28 22:32:49	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xe4a173…
10-28 22:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xc4a275…
10-28 22:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x1a305c…
10-28 22:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xb54da0…
10-28 22:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x34206d…
10-28 21:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	77	20¢	$15	0xae3702…
10-28 21:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0x3cdc19…
10-28 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xb892c4…
10-28 21:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x7b0a50…
10-28 21:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x4974a8…
10-28 21:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x67e208…
10-28 21:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x628935…
10-28 20:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xdc00c0…
10-28 20:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x76f0c8…
10-28 20:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xbd5e55…
10-28 20:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xb59ec7…
10-28 20:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2efe8b…
10-28 20:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x965e05…
10-28 20:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x933773…
10-28 20:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x40b4df…
10-28 20:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5b0a0a…
10-28 20:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x80b347…
10-28 20:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfa5b41…
10-28 20:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0bec88…
10-28 20:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc14b16…
10-28 20:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x171eda…
10-28 20:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1a2284…
10-28 20:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xef71dd…
10-28 20:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3b3961…
10-28 20:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x62d059…
10-28 16:54:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x15b135…
10-28 16:52:43	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x67852d…
10-28 16:52:13	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x5048e2…
10-28 14:45:41	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0c34ef…
10-28 09:05:07	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x38fb1b…
10-28 08:56:29	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xb6fe64…
10-28 07:44:25	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x725903…
10-27 20:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc070c9…
10-27 20:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcc7db6…
10-27 20:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf8983c…
10-27 20:16:45	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x622c14…
10-27 20:15:41	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x9958c3…
10-27 20:00:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6fd4ea…
10-27 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x913fc6…
10-27 18:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xceb3e0…
10-27 18:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x556e95…
10-27 18:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x376a84…
10-27 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc38c57…
10-27 18:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1fa370…
10-27 18:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe4aa85…
10-27 18:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xac5e64…
10-27 18:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa536f0…
10-27 17:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x01ff87…
10-27 17:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa6bbdb…
10-27 17:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xbe029f…
10-27 17:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xdf7e4a…
10-27 17:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x756256…
10-27 17:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x35a453…
10-27 17:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd4cdd4…
10-27 17:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7ea02b…
10-27 17:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x25219f…
10-27 17:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x77be1e…
10-27 12:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9ac2f4…
10-27 12:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2e9eff…
10-27 12:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x155211…