Brilliant-Villa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$42

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-24 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

41% 0% $-0

Other

34% — —

Crypto

16% — —

Tech

5% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No		+43	$42	97¢	$42	$-1	06-14 22:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$999	526	526	+0	open	—	04-14 22:31
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	7	$945	506	506	+0	open	—	03-29 12:54
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$722	375	375	+0	No	$-0	04-09 10:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$675	350	350	+0	open	—	03-17 05:18
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$663	339	339	+0	open	—	03-25 02:40
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	4	$659	343	343	+0	open	—	03-23 06:33
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$349	178	178	+0	No	$-0	03-15 03:18
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$343	175	175	+0	open	—	03-12 22:36
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$342	175	175	+0	open	—	03-10 20:45
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$336	172	172	+0	open	—	03-13 04:14
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	3	$336	179	179	+0	open	—	03-18 14:05
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$336	179	179	+0	open	—	03-15 22:31
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$336	172	172	+0	open	—	03-12 15:30
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$334	171	171	+0	open	—	03-13 18:32
will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$333	170	170	+0	open	—	03-16 14:01
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$332	171	171	+0	open	—	03-24 16:48
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$330	171	171	+0	open	—	03-17 20:18
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$325	169	169	+0	open	—	03-16 04:55
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$325	169	169	+0	open	—	03-17 15:35
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$321	167	167	+0	open	—	03-22 23:21
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$320	164	164	+0	open	—	03-20 12:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$302	155	155	+0	open	—	04-24 15:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$300	155	155	+0	open	—	03-29 10:39
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$292	153	153	+0	open	—	03-28 13:44
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$288	148	148	+0	open	—	03-29 19:47
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$279	144	144	+0	open	—	04-27 12:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	5	$276	169	126	+43	open	—	06-14 22:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$228	126	126	+0	open	—	06-18 12:24
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	4	$132	71	71	+0	open	—	06-21 07:48
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$127	66	66	+0	open	—	03-31 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 09:20:49	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xed1934…
07-24 05:18:36	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9e823f…
06-22 01:31:41	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xc77ec3…
06-21 20:29:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x5061aa…
06-21 07:48:32	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x496147…
06-21 03:38:01	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x042ed0…
06-20 05:42:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	SELL	57	84¢	$48	0x37a058…
06-20 00:40:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0xf933b3…
06-20 00:09:28	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	60	82¢	$49	0x93d74c…
06-19 17:06:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x678ec7…
06-19 17:03:08	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x37459f…
06-19 11:56:11	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0xb910b8…
06-19 05:54:41	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0x622911…
06-18 12:24:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	59	90¢	$53	0xfc5ba0…
06-18 04:19:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	59	91¢	$53	0xc720d4…
06-17 17:11:41	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0x32f305…
06-17 11:06:53	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	61	93¢	$56	0x706f02…
06-16 23:45:37	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0xa1ab56…
06-16 18:43:29	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0xf85270…
06-16 10:29:12	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x2c2f0a…
06-16 03:26:33	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xac74a9…
06-16 02:55:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x4f31f0…
06-15 20:49:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$59	0x060c27…
06-14 22:27:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x6a3e5b…
06-14 17:08:48	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0xf85f24…
06-14 09:00:57	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$51	0x9058b6…
06-14 00:44:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x4b6b8f…
06-13 11:53:06	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb66cdc…
06-12 07:33:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	68	90¢	$61	0x4157ed…
06-12 03:31:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	68	91¢	$61	0xd75864…
06-09 14:26:37	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x1c3d35…
06-09 09:21:19	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xd3bba3…
06-07 09:08:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x4faf78…
06-07 02:01:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xdf29d1…
06-06 16:55:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	73	93¢	$68	0xc043a1…
06-06 12:51:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0xd9c385…
06-05 20:52:28	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x2d87fc…
06-05 13:44:37	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xb22cae…
06-05 01:20:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x9d4aea…
06-04 21:16:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x63b65a…
05-22 04:34:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0xa0710e…
04-27 12:03:00	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	144	97¢	$139	0x9c3df8…
04-27 04:56:16	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	144	97¢	$139	0x604c04…
04-24 15:54:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	155	97¢	$151	0x21aac7…
04-24 10:49:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	155	97¢	$151	0xaf38ed…
04-20 19:36:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x662c83…
04-20 10:36:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x4bf41a…
04-14 22:31:38	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x64284a…
04-14 04:06:03	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xd52b93…
04-13 16:42:41	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	49	95¢	$47	0xed4b7f…
04-13 10:28:39	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0xbbb798…
04-13 00:03:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0x3701c6…
04-12 19:00:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x3fd6c4…
04-12 00:54:59	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	63	96¢	$60	0xd4c0c9…
04-11 18:53:09	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0xa6d196…
04-11 17:18:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	63	97¢	$62	0xdeeb3c…
04-11 09:02:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x3ea07a…
04-11 09:02:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x80dbed…
04-11 06:31:53	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0xd8e243…
04-10 22:20:53	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1b783f…
04-10 08:52:35	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0xb5d29f…
04-09 20:00:41	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0xf0c393…
04-09 10:58:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0x9824b3…
04-09 04:55:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x3fa620…
03-31 10:32:59	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0x45ded5…
03-31 03:32:07	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x84a07b…
03-31 03:31:37	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	41	97¢	$39	0xfa7a81…
03-30 21:25:33	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0xe75328…
03-30 11:15:22	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x910918…
03-29 19:47:38	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	148	97¢	$144	0xdf778a…
03-29 14:43:34	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x99457d…
03-29 12:54:52	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	162	96¢	$155	0x9c8f86…
03-29 11:39:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	162	95¢	$154	0x4568b2…
03-29 10:39:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	155	97¢	$150	0x6634df…
03-29 05:06:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x614bf2…
03-28 13:44:23	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	153	95¢	$146	0x047e71…
03-28 07:28:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x5c2dd0…
03-28 07:27:11	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0403ff…
03-28 07:09:53	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0xf1df12…
03-28 07:00:21	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$24	0x728a69…
03-27 23:01:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	155	97¢	$150	0x60d0eb…
03-27 18:27:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x028e1b…
03-27 18:10:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	179	84¢	$151	0xfa6488…
03-27 09:34:41	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	36	93¢	$34	0xbd7d6e…
03-27 09:33:53	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0x864fd6…
03-26 01:54:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	165	97¢	$160	0x5a209b…
03-25 20:35:31	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	165	96¢	$158	0x0f14be…
03-25 02:40:51	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	166	98¢	$162	0xba6a23…
03-24 19:36:45	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	166	98¢	$162	0x563d1f…
03-24 16:48:47	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	171	97¢	$166	0x2ad037…
03-24 08:47:41	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	171	97¢	$166	0x47c757…
03-23 06:33:29	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	172	96¢	$166	0x58ffa4…
03-23 00:09:11	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	172	97¢	$166	0xae36e3…
03-22 23:21:49	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	167	97¢	$162	0x847c68…
03-22 17:10:27	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0x42f758…
03-22 17:10:19	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x15a134…
03-21 18:08:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	171	96¢	$164	0xce66c9…
03-21 13:51:37	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	171	96¢	$164	0x92e170…
03-20 12:30:17	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	164	98¢	$160	0x3a170d…
03-20 06:05:33	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	164	98¢	$160	0x699bd6…