Uncomfortable-Oatmeal — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$33

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

114

114 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$484

$484 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 57% +$33

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?	No		+11	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	05-05 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?	No		+6	$5	96¢	$6	+$1	05-05 12:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	13	$54	24	30	-6	Up	+$0	05-04 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$51	5	67	-61	Down	+$41	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$38	0	38	-38	open	—	05-05 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	18	$36	37	0	+37	Down	+$1	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$28	6	28	-22	Up	$-4	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$27	7	24	-17	Up	$-2	05-05 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$25	0	29	-29	Down	$-4	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$20	0	20	-20	Up	$-1	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$16	2	15	-13	Down	$-1	05-04 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$16	7	12	-5	Up	$-4	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	7	$14	19	0	+19	Down	+$5	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-05 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	5	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	5	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	5	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	5	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-05 07:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	Down	$-0	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$6	9	0	+9	Up	+$3	05-05 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$6	9	0	+9	Down	+$3	05-05 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	22	0	+22	Up	$-5	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-04 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$4	26	0	+26	Down	$-4	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 08:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 12:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9c2bc4…
05-05 12:50:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x98741a…
05-05 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5835c3…
05-05 12:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8cf0bd…
05-05 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7479ec…
05-05 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x81924b…
05-05 12:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7b45ff…
05-05 12:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe02551…
05-05 12:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa03297…
05-05 12:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf0bc99…
05-05 11:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5a5139…
05-05 11:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb027a5…
05-05 10:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xbbf334…
05-05 09:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfa2f44…
05-05 09:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3b49e4…
05-05 09:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3e92a4…
05-05 09:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd59147…
05-05 09:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xede9dd…
05-05 09:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2ad4e1…
05-05 09:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xab8cb5…
05-05 08:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1b5bc8…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x294e50…
05-05 08:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x572ac3…
05-05 08:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa0d5de…
05-05 08:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xfcde53…
05-05 08:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x003f37…
05-05 08:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7c2f8e…
05-05 08:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x94ca93…
05-05 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x2dfef5…
05-05 08:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x44f390…
05-05 08:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0f1976…
05-05 07:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x975221…
05-05 07:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x27d307…
05-05 07:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x69b336…
05-05 07:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd8db2b…
05-05 07:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x427bc2…
05-05 07:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x85b668…
05-05 07:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x97b484…
05-05 07:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7d8c96…
05-05 07:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x016d38…
05-05 07:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9e7791…
05-05 06:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6a6215…
05-05 04:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaeb2ec…
05-05 04:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb7fa33…
05-05 04:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0b7796…
05-05 04:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc87b64…
05-05 04:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9b20c7…
05-05 04:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd0c921…
05-05 04:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1bd66c…
05-05 04:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb384d8…
05-05 04:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa5ef37…
05-05 04:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x29b50e…
05-05 04:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x85480d…
05-05 04:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfa107d…
05-05 03:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa30d33…
05-05 03:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x6fd89d…
05-05 03:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2ce6ca…
05-05 03:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5b8e19…
05-05 03:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9e35d4…
05-05 03:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xad7f03…
05-05 03:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	24	86¢	$21	0x44159a…
05-05 03:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5ecd94…
05-05 03:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe21fe4…
05-05 03:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8ce436…
05-05 03:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7962cd…
05-05 03:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x723006…
05-05 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa2873b…
05-05 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x475d59…
05-05 02:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x201645…
05-05 01:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd4fe70…
05-05 01:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcbe858…
05-05 01:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3cb1d5…
05-05 00:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x923893…
05-05 00:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	28	81¢	$23	0x8c18a7…
05-05 00:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe9a41b…
05-04 23:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x312d3c…
05-04 23:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0x1d3231…
05-04 23:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x58e95b…
05-04 23:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1969e6…
05-04 23:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3748b3…
05-04 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x88e38e…
05-04 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbff574…
05-04 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc5d4ea…
05-04 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeb94e7…
05-04 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x854687…
05-04 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x23d365…
05-04 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x13125a…
05-04 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9cae9a…
05-04 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf7ffce…
05-04 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xae82f7…
05-04 22:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0xfebf2f…
05-04 22:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3db6a7…
05-04 22:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x27c72f…
05-04 22:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3f6e74…
05-04 22:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x88b9a2…
05-04 22:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x83b0af…
05-04 22:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2bad53…
05-04 22:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd6f848…
05-04 22:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2a963c…
05-04 22:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1f82b3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	36	$6.37K	202	05-05 12:16
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	29	$4.86K	73	05-05 12:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	29	$3.33K	119	05-05 12:16
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	29	$686	88	05-05 12:16
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	28	$1.64K	108	05-05 12:16
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	27	$1.77K	118	05-05 12:16
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	27	$1.52K	126	05-05 12:16
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	27	$1.52K	130	05-05 12:16