Insistent-Membrane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

201

Trades

8,341

lifetime

Volume

$49.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-02 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 46% +$1

Other

1% 0% $-6

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down february 11 5am et	44	$307	348	358	-10	open	—	02-11 10:58
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$232	340	340	+0	open	—	03-14 16:17
xrp up or down february 13 1pm et	6	$76	80	40	+40	open	—	02-13 20:09
bitcoin up or down february 11 5am et	9	$76	80	80	+0	open	—	02-11 10:36
sol updown 15m 1770907500	9	$75	100	0	+100	open	—	02-12 14:59
xrp up or down february 13 10am et	7	$74	80	40	+40	open	—	02-13 15:30
btc updown 5m 1772696400	14	$74	80	0	+80	open	—	03-05 07:44
btc updown 5m 1772627100	1	$74	80	0	+80	open	—	03-04 12:29
btc updown 5m 1772629200	7	$73	80	0	+80	open	—	03-04 13:04
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$72	800	800	+0	open	—	03-14 16:17
btc updown 15m 1770900300	14	$72	100	0	+100	open	—	02-12 12:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	10	$72	146	0	+146	open	—	05-03 23:35
btc updown 5m 1772759400	4	$68	70	0	+70	open	—	03-06 01:14
btc updown 5m 1772748600	6	$67	70	0	+70	open	—	03-05 22:14
btc updown 5m 1772668500	1	$66	70	0	+70	open	—	03-04 23:59
btc updown 5m 1772767800	1	$66	70	0	+70	open	—	03-06 03:34
btc updown 5m 1772753100	1	$66	70	0	+70	open	—	03-05 23:29
btc updown 5m 1772658000	1	$66	70	0	+70	open	—	03-04 21:04
xrp up or down february 13 11am et	11	$65	100	40	+60	open	—	02-13 16:15
btc updown 5m 1772752200	1	$65	70	0	+70	open	—	03-05 23:14
btc updown 5m 1772745900	5	$65	70	0	+70	open	—	03-05 21:29
btc updown 5m 1772719200	1	$65	80	0	+80	open	—	03-05 14:04
btc updown 5m 1772671200	1	$65	70	0	+70	open	—	03-05 00:44
btc updown 5m 1772660400	1	$64	70	0	+70	open	—	03-04 21:44
btc updown 5m 1772751600	1	$64	70	0	+70	open	—	03-05 23:04
btc updown 5m 1772657100	1	$64	70	0	+70	open	—	03-04 20:49
btc updown 5m 1772750400	1	$64	70	0	+70	open	—	03-05 22:44
btc updown 5m 1772757900	1	$63	70	0	+70	open	—	03-06 00:49
btc updown 5m 1772768700	1	$63	70	0	+70	open	—	03-06 03:49
btc updown 5m 1772760000	1	$63	70	0	+70	open	—	03-06 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 16:29:43	ethereum above 1930 on june 2 2026 1pm et	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5710c5…
06-02 05:39:16	bitcoin above 70800 on june 2 2026 2am et	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4e4638…
06-02 05:39:16	bitcoin above 70800 on june 2 2026 2am et	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x41f7f8…
06-02 05:29:38	bitcoin above 70800 on june 2 2026 2am et	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x3d2b1d…
06-01 23:15:21	bitcoin above 71400 on june 1 2026 8pm et	No	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x623f54…
06-01 09:36:45	Bitcoin above 74,200 on May 31, 8PM ET?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3cea2a…
06-01 09:36:35	Ethereum above 2,020 on May 31, 8PM ET?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x41898c…
06-01 07:17:57	bitcoin above 73000 on june 1 2026 4am et	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x3a9aa3…
05-31 23:04:06	Bitcoin above 74,200 on May 31, 8PM ET?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xa78801…
05-31 23:03:40	Ethereum above 2,020 on May 31, 8PM ET?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xb7cf6e…
05-31 21:17:54	ethereum above 2010 on may 31 2026 6pm et	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x28de47…
05-31 10:16:07	Bitcoin above 73,800 on May 31, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa758c0…
05-31 06:15:15	bitcoin above 74000 on may 31 2026 3am et	Yes	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xefda2b…
05-31 01:15:27	Ethereum above 2,030 on May 30, 10PM ET?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xd578b0…
05-30 04:08:37	Bitcoin above 73,400 on May 30, 1AM ET?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xeb3efd…
05-29 22:04:58	Bitcoin above 73,400 on May 29, 7PM ET?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5ba2a7…
05-29 19:21:05	ethereum above 2020 on may 29 2026 4pm et	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xc593f5…
05-06 06:32:20	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfd305b…
05-06 06:32:18	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdcfe08…
05-06 06:32:04	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4bf466…
05-06 06:15:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x26476f…
05-06 06:00:28	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x89057a…
05-06 05:48:40	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x66a8d7…
05-06 05:48:26	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xb67f53…
05-06 05:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x738fab…
05-06 05:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x60a53c…
05-06 05:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xc22b2e…
05-06 05:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x126d17…
05-06 05:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbedc45…
05-06 05:02:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0xd5db1e…
05-06 04:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x2a85ae…
05-06 04:06:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xfd4e7f…
05-06 04:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x2c8af2…
05-06 04:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0xc5550a…
05-06 04:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x534efc…
05-06 04:00:34	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xcfa333…
05-06 04:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x996a19…
05-06 04:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x764773…
05-06 04:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x55c8b9…
05-06 04:00:20	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x7d72dd…
05-06 04:00:20	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x3911bf…
05-06 04:00:18	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x333858…
05-06 03:52:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xbf84ea…
05-06 03:45:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x84b99e…
05-06 03:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x511bd5…
05-06 03:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x4dfb74…
05-06 03:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xd5c319…
05-06 03:31:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x87edf0…
05-06 03:31:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x276508…
05-06 03:31:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	48¢	$10	0xdcd194…
05-06 03:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xf7a031…
05-06 03:16:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xab1f54…
05-06 03:16:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x402e35…
05-06 03:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x6e29e2…
05-06 03:00:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xa85eac…
05-06 03:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4ba38e…
05-06 02:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xef1c46…
05-06 01:47:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x96d627…
05-06 01:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5c150a…
05-06 01:46:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x21c385…
05-06 01:46:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5e1064…
05-06 01:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x86f013…
05-06 01:31:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x53e776…
05-06 01:31:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1b4178…
05-06 01:31:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x11ae40…
05-06 01:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x36351c…
05-06 01:16:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xe333a9…
05-06 01:15:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x113893…
05-06 01:15:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdd6553…
05-06 01:15:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xdd0cc7…
05-06 00:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x762636…
05-06 00:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x0f7876…
05-06 00:46:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x49c084…
05-06 00:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x91f7b0…
05-06 00:21:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xf511f9…
05-06 00:21:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x57ad8f…
05-06 00:21:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x22b287…
05-06 00:21:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x78d065…
05-06 00:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xebf822…
05-05 23:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x148c5a…
05-05 23:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xbdb399…
05-05 23:34:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x36133b…
05-05 23:34:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x71e698…
05-05 23:34:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x06ace1…
05-05 23:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x103903…
05-05 23:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x25331e…
05-05 23:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xc32795…
05-05 23:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x9d1578…
05-05 22:46:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x21b937…
05-05 22:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x72508f…
05-05 22:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xe574b9…
05-05 22:19:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe99420…
05-05 22:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x7c4197…
05-05 22:00:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xdd9bfb…
05-05 21:46:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x0ff208…
05-05 21:46:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x94672f…
05-05 21:46:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1edd9c…
05-05 21:46:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x069c6a…
05-05 21:45:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x601d65…
05-05 21:31:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0a2bbd…