Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

102 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$287 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-29 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 89% +$1

Other

40% 93% -$48

Politics

12% 78% -$7

Tech

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	10-15 02:18
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+1	$1	85¢	$1	$0	10-07 13:41
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+1	$1	68¢	$1	$0	10-07 13:50
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	+1	$1	76¢	$1	$0	10-07 13:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	7	$60	85	0	+85	Yes	-$50	03-30 03:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-13 09:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:10 UTC	3	$15	12	5	+7	Up	-$5	10-14 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:05 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:40 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-14 02:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	10-07 13:21
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	10-24 05:30
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	3	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	10-15 02:19
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	2	$7	8	0	+8	No	-$7	02-28 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:40 UTC	3	$6	5	3	+2	Down	$0	10-13 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	10-14 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:10 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	10-14 07:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	10-14 02:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:05 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:50 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	10-13 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	10-14 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:25 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:35 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:50 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	10-13 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	10-14 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:05 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	10-13 15:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	10-08 02:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	10-08 02:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	10-08 02:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-29 07:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	10-24 05:31
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	10-24 05:31
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	10-24 05:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:05:34	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce9295…
10-29 07:56:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc5e6e5…
10-24 05:31:42	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x96768b…
10-24 05:31:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x37eaa6…
10-24 05:31:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x359601…
10-24 05:30:47	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x51b7ee…
10-15 02:19:29	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xca3dcc…
10-15 02:19:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5bbcf3…
10-15 02:18:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd0ca49…
10-14 09:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x41ad3c…
10-14 09:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1b177b…
10-14 07:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc1ebd8…
10-14 07:07:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6aa027…
10-14 03:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa9bc85…
10-14 03:13:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x09ac24…
10-14 03:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4ac00b…
10-14 03:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe7f4e6…
10-14 03:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x153aba…
10-14 02:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcee562…
10-14 02:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0c3fa1…
10-14 02:46:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x255be8…
10-14 02:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x841731…
10-14 02:41:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5f6f20…
10-14 02:37:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x12ed53…
10-14 02:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x09e887…
10-14 02:28:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3a4ece…
10-14 02:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe6b7ec…
10-14 02:13:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x375e5a…
10-14 01:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x256a7e…
10-14 01:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xdffef5…
10-14 01:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0dca03…
10-14 01:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc8b13d…
10-13 16:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x65f7ff…
10-13 16:08:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd31a54…
10-13 16:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x76a5dd…
10-13 16:01:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe18490…
10-13 15:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe52dbf…
10-13 15:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x5eceb2…
10-13 15:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd8a885…
10-13 15:43:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3170aa…
10-13 15:43:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xec6e1a…
10-13 15:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x96c22e…
10-13 15:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2e029b…
10-13 15:36:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa92b40…
10-13 15:33:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x178d43…
10-13 15:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd4f858…
10-13 15:28:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf1d3aa…
10-13 15:27:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd58d19…
10-13 15:12:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x05ef4a…
10-13 14:53:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x87bc76…
10-13 14:52:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x846807…
10-13 13:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1255de…
10-13 13:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6656f6…
10-13 13:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e795b…
10-13 12:58:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2a38bb…
10-13 12:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xda4b31…
10-13 12:48:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xab5e2d…
10-13 12:37:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x432d09…
10-13 12:33:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaee1ad…
10-13 12:26:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x44f7b4…
10-13 12:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4c8da2…
10-13 12:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa2e1cc…
10-13 08:26:13	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x94f806…
10-12 13:46:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9d9512…
10-12 13:45:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x59c9ff…
10-11 15:14:13	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xe487a7…
10-10 05:50:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x621901…
10-10 05:50:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf691f3…
10-09 16:05:38	Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa90fd0…
10-09 16:02:53	Will Victor Chernozhukov win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9866b2…
10-09 16:00:27	Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf3d982…
10-08 02:44:59	Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcca67a…
10-08 02:44:37	Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9011d6…
10-08 02:27:26	Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8f171b…
10-08 02:19:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x4f1e59…
10-08 02:17:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xfb2e98…
10-08 02:16:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x861e41…
10-07 15:23:49	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x823986…
10-07 14:00:25	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd69681…
10-07 13:53:22	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x476778…
10-07 13:52:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x99548a…
10-07 13:50:23	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd1fa09…
10-07 13:48:44	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd52ce9…
10-07 13:44:43	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x69cb6f…
10-07 13:41:14	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1e2041…
10-07 13:39:28	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xad289f…
10-07 13:36:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbcc6fa…
10-07 13:28:49	Will Trump nationalize elections?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x66647b…
10-07 13:21:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8721f7…
04-13 09:03:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d00b6…
04-13 09:02:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aecf9…
03-30 03:23:00	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8835dd…
03-12 02:31:01	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb01a3b…
03-11 07:36:43	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x13296d…
03-06 04:01:47	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x543616…
03-05 16:41:29	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xac109e…
03-02 04:07:43	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xea2d8e…
02-28 15:49:25	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x7fe17e…
02-28 15:45:45	will trump meet with jerome powell in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6515f…
02-28 10:07:57	will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x2b7fe5…