Murky-Flu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$77

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$148.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$693

Open exposure

$1.95K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 03:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

46% 45% -$8,385

Sports

28% 31% -$1,900

Politics

26% 41% -$6,333

Crypto

0% 0% -$116

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes		+1,951	$1,846	99¢	$1.9K	+$91	10-25 03:34
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+138	$26	8¢	$12	-$14	05-03 01:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mem lal 2026 01 02	2	$38.7K	19,733	19,733	+0	Lakers	+$775	01-03 06:39
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	17	$28.2K	26,803	26,803	+0	Yes	-$9,245	01-03 09:22
lol ig1 lng 2026 01 02	2	$18.0K	18,792	0	+18,792	Invictus Gaming	+$780	01-01 11:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$9.0K	9,190	0	+9,190	Yes	+$183	02-02 03:54
will eight die in stranger things season 5 g59m aapk	2	$5.0K	5,081	1,227	+3,855	Yes	+$97	01-01 01:18
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	3	$4.8K	7,990	0	+7,990	No	+$3,153	01-11 19:09
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	8	$4.3K	5,650	5,650	+0	No	-$3,576	11-04 01:28
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$4.0K	7,327	7,327	+0	No	-$986	01-07 06:42
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	2	$3.4K	12,823	12,823	+0	Yes	-$2,634	01-03 09:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	26	$3.1K	5,699	5,699	+0	No	-$508	04-03 05:58
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$2.6K	5,952	5,952	+0	No	-$2,373	03-14 07:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$2.5K	2,676	2,676	+0	Yes	+$75	01-30 01:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	8	$2.0K	0	7,500	-7,500	No	+$2,025	10-27 10:43
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	3	$1.8K	1,951	0	+1,951	open	—	10-25 03:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$1.8K	990	990	+0	No	+$173	01-29 20:30
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$1.7K	1,745	0	+1,745	Yes	+$45	05-05 20:09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$1.4K	2,947	0	+2,947	No	+$1,562	04-01 17:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.2K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	-$1,250	06-03 17:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	No	+$1,081	05-10 14:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	1	$1.2K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	-$1,200	06-06 03:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1.2K	1,622	0	+1,622	No	+$422	05-04 15:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$1.2K	1,384	0	+1,384	No	+$221	03-24 18:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$1.1K	1,620	0	+1,620	No	+$470	05-10 13:51
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	31	$1.1K	7,133	0	+7,133	No	-$1,115	03-21 16:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$1.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$100	03-23 06:08
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$1000	1,235	0	+1,235	Sean Strickland	-$1,000	05-10 01:09
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	13	$830	1,820	0	+1,820	No	-$830	04-05 17:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	2	$729	1,671	0	+1,671	Yes	-$729	06-03 17:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	1	$600	1,176	0	+1,176	Yes	-$600	06-07 16:45
nfl sea sf 2026 01 04	1	$500	1,136	0	+1,136	Seahawks	-$500	01-03 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 03:29:01	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	254	8¢	$21	0x9d3945…
11-04 01:28:39	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,650	6¢	$351	0x4e56fb…
11-03 18:33:10	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,800	69¢	$1,932	0xd4b8eb…
11-03 18:31:37	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	70¢	$93	0xed73be…
11-03 18:31:37	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0xd82cd3…
11-03 18:31:37	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	347	70¢	$243	0xd43982…
11-03 18:31:37	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,248	70¢	$873	0x6ebc0f…
11-03 18:31:37	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0x5e9563…
11-03 18:31:37	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	70¢	$44	0x47394e…
11-03 16:15:12	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	254	65¢	$165	0x43fa46…
11-03 16:12:54	Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	421	59¢	$250	0x027d25…
10-27 10:43:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	353	27¢	$95	0xbdb058…
10-27 09:57:38	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	185	27¢	$50	0x717af5…
10-27 08:53:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x205b03…
10-27 08:40:51	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	346	27¢	$93	0x766050…
10-27 08:33:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	692	27¢	$187	0x7675c2…
10-27 07:38:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xb0b4a4…
10-27 07:31:11	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	148	27¢	$40	0xbd7d81…
10-27 07:23:05	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	5,751	27¢	$1,553	0x804de6…
10-25 03:34:15	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0x62e087…
10-25 00:53:18	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0xbe2b51…
10-25 00:52:51	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	850	90¢	$765	0xdd6fed…
10-20 06:13:56	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x1b2c4e…
10-20 05:18:18	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xbf6ae1…
10-19 17:28:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0xc38d4a…
10-14 20:38:33	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xced47c…
06-07 16:46:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	127	41¢	$52	0x06a91b…
06-07 16:45:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	1,176	51¢	$600	0x810478…
06-06 03:36:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	1,500	80¢	$1,200	0x421992…
06-03 17:22:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	50¢	$1,250	0x56e7a3…
06-03 17:13:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0xc3454f…
06-03 17:10:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	671	43¢	$289	0xf2e65a…
06-03 17:09:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	No	BUY	392	26¢	$102	0xd82ed0…
05-10 14:02:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	172	53¢	$91	0xc2a476…
05-10 14:01:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,128	53¢	$1,128	0xdf43a2…
05-10 13:51:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,620	71¢	$1,150	0x63974c…
05-10 01:09:50	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	1,235	81¢	$1,000	0x506b37…
05-08 16:03:51	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	141	26¢	$37	0xd73c47…
05-08 16:03:49	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xd4726a…
05-08 16:03:49	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xb3b59f…
05-08 16:03:49	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x6ccd48…
05-07 04:49:45	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xb4669e…
05-06 19:00:49	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x6c3681…
05-06 16:44:40	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9efb17…
05-06 03:01:34	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x812f19…
05-05 22:08:32	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x4de795…
05-05 20:12:18	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0x9b1736…
05-05 20:09:56	Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1,745	97¢	$1,700	0x0871d8…
05-05 20:07:32	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xd5be08…
05-04 15:46:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1,622	74¢	$1,200	0xc4a3b8…
05-03 19:25:56	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	903	6¢	$52	0x35b254…
05-03 19:25:54	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	225	4¢	$9	0xd1f115…
05-03 01:15:20	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0xd58731…
05-03 01:13:50	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	18¢	$14	0x86e015…
05-01 18:05:30	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	274	7¢	$19	0x437e0d…
04-07 22:44:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	137	20¢	$27	0xe79eaf…
04-07 22:43:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	288	35¢	$101	0x86c243…
04-06 16:45:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	288	97¢	$280	0x3779f2…
04-06 07:18:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xaf41b7…
04-05 17:21:49	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	623	33¢	$206	0x87d983…
04-05 17:17:37	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	223	33¢	$74	0x0cc786…
04-05 17:17:13	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xa2cb67…
04-05 17:17:07	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xfe01e5…
04-05 17:17:07	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xedef08…
04-05 17:17:07	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xdcd0ec…
04-05 17:17:07	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xa772b7…
04-05 17:17:07	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5fed8f…
04-05 17:17:05	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0xcca888…
04-05 17:17:05	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0x9a2d8b…
04-05 17:17:05	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x76dd34…
04-05 17:17:05	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x393617…
04-03 05:58:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	699	100¢	$699	0xc3906a…
04-01 17:58:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	2,947	47¢	$1,385	0x2ad3d2…
03-29 21:16:32	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	699	87¢	$607	0xdf411a…
03-28 21:29:14	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	5,000	12¢	$600	0xa4399c…
03-24 18:01:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,384	84¢	$1,163	0x7e1e04…
03-24 00:42:43	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x2417b5…
03-23 06:08:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	5,000	12¢	$600	0xaad28e…
03-21 16:54:31	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	6,600	16¢	$1,056	0xa16ee7…
03-20 19:45:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	5,000	10¢	$500	0x4edef6…
03-17 07:13:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	133	24¢	$32	0xe6d4be…
03-17 07:11:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	78	24¢	$19	0x952968…
03-17 07:06:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xeb94c2…
03-17 07:06:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x9684b3…
03-17 07:05:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	67	24¢	$16	0xfb64b6…
03-17 07:05:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	71	24¢	$17	0x90adb7…
03-17 07:05:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x238343…
03-17 07:05:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x8d22c9…
03-17 07:00:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,800	24¢	$432	0x414b84…
03-17 06:57:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xffec2e…
03-17 06:56:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,974	24¢	$474	0xefeb2d…
03-17 06:55:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0x44ab43…
03-17 06:54:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb1750f…
03-17 06:53:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x366b68…
03-17 06:53:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x94fdd5…
03-17 06:52:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xc2d784…
03-17 06:52:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	238	24¢	$57	0x2b96f9…
03-17 06:50:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x20b7ec…
03-17 06:49:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa8e1f0…
03-17 06:48:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x7442ef…