Safe-Family — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$925

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

13,213

lifetime

Volume

$1.34M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

83% 46% +$925

Politics

14% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	191	$46.9K	32,411	30,412	+2,000	open	—	04-14 23:35
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	104	$31.0K	16,816	16,853	-36	open	—	02-17 20:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	127	$26.1K	21,031	15,790	+5,241	open	—	04-22 09:11
will nvda dip to 192 in march	40	$23.6K	11,255	12,605	-1,350	open	—	03-02 14:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	34	$20.9K	10,985	11,295	-310	open	—	04-07 22:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	41	$19.5K	10,125	10,125	+0	open	—	03-02 05:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	41	$19.1K	9,930	10,165	-235	open	—	04-08 00:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	74	$18.2K	11,749	10,134	+1,615	open	—	04-18 05:00
spx opens up or down on january 28 2026	50	$18.0K	12,573	9,824	+2,749	open	—	01-28 15:09
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	71	$17.0K	9,850	9,850	+0	open	—	03-09 19:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	51	$16.6K	14,001	4,709	+9,292	open	—	04-14 13:40
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	48	$15.5K	6,924	11,585	-4,661	open	—	02-17 15:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	166	$14.4K	18,560	17,493	+1,067	open	—	04-17 17:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	118	$14.2K	11,810	11,045	+766	open	—	04-27 01:24
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	66	$10.9K	5,949	6,330	-381	open	—	03-08 21:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	25	$10.8K	5,596	5,596	+0	open	—	03-01 14:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	30	$10.7K	5,931	6,531	-600	open	—	03-31 19:33
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	27	$10.4K	5,737	5,736	+0	open	—	02-02 14:43
spx opens up or down on february 20 2026	19	$10.3K	5,509	5,509	+0	open	—	02-20 19:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	80	$9.7K	6,806	6,906	-100	open	—	04-29 19:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?	33	$9.5K	4,985	5,856	-872	open	—	04-07 23:04
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	117	$9.2K	9,259	8,148	+1,111	open	—	03-05 14:47
spx opens up or down on january 27 2026	30	$9.1K	5,175	5,175	+0	open	—	01-27 14:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	94	$8.5K	7,913	6,385	+1,528	open	—	03-07 19:27
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	31	$8.4K	5,782	4,671	+1,111	open	—	03-04 00:55
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	80	$8.0K	7,269	7,881	-612	open	—	03-08 14:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	50	$7.8K	5,227	4,651	+576	open	—	04-28 13:34
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	8	$7.7K	3,985	3,985	+0	open	—	03-20 17:50
spx up or down on april 20 2026	88	$7.6K	5,734	2,920	+2,814	open	—	04-20 19:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	18	$7.5K	7,316	586	+6,730	open	—	03-31 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:06:57	will mu dip to 750 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	136	92¢	$125	0x1602b2…
08-10 13:05:00	will mu dip to 750 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	450	82¢	$369	0x4d26b4…
08-10 13:04:09	will mu dip to 780 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x9eabf2…
08-10 12:29:24	will mu dip to 750 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	105	83¢	$87	0xd9c88d…
08-10 12:01:58	will mu dip to 750 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	127	84¢	$107	0x2e7227…
08-08 15:24:55	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	39	55¢	$22	0xa2f60e…
08-08 13:05:49	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xe2c9f1…
08-08 12:25:25	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x599dd5…
08-08 06:02:16	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x11fbe8…
08-08 05:17:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x744e76…
08-07 21:32:57	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xbfdb4c…
08-07 21:31:55	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x0bb6f2…
08-07 20:15:46	will mu dip to 720 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xa4764d…
08-07 19:39:37	spcx above 130 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xedf9dc…
08-07 14:20:10	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xe78b90…
08-07 13:34:09	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x8224f1…
08-07 13:33:33	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	68	81¢	$55	0x07913c…
08-07 11:49:36	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xfaf795…
08-06 16:59:09	will tsla reach 352 50 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	216	99¢	$214	0xd8492c…
08-06 16:57:47	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	137	83¢	$114	0x29446c…
08-06 16:57:36	will tsla reach 337 50 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x4d91b3…
08-06 16:56:51	will tsla reach 345 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa22c3a…
08-06 13:42:54	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xf13a53…
08-06 09:32:26	will mu reach 930 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0xbe5687…
08-06 09:30:23	will mu reach 1020 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x48339c…
08-06 06:04:18	spcx above 120 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe3a6d3…
08-05 13:33:32	spcx above 90 on august 7 2026	No	SELL	103	13¢	$13	0x91ccbb…
08-05 13:31:21	spcx above 90 on august 7 2026	No	SELL	150	13¢	$20	0xb969ad…
08-05 12:18:27	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0e222a…
08-05 04:49:18	spcx above 90 on august 7 2026	No	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xcecb91…
08-05 04:49:02	spcx above 90 on august 7 2026	No	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xf62172…
08-04 22:46:20	spcx above 90 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x0e89ab…
08-04 22:07:21	will spcx reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x2a954b…
08-04 21:44:09	spcx above 90 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0xe1b349…
08-04 21:43:57	spcx above 90 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x409010…
08-04 21:42:23	will spcx reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xe67438…
08-04 21:41:57	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	No	BUY	62	66¢	$41	0x40a3d3…
08-04 13:37:44	pltr above 118 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6ce92b…
08-04 13:35:03	pltr above 124 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xefa6a6…
08-04 13:31:30	will pltr dip to 105 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	150	100¢	$149	0xc4c594…
08-04 13:30:09	pltr above 127 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbda7c8…
08-04 13:30:08	pltr above 126 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x446ec2…
08-04 13:30:06	pltr above 128 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x448d58…
08-04 13:30:06	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0x223fe7…
08-04 13:25:03	pltr above 129 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xcee5eb…
08-04 12:44:00	pltr above 126 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x24f0ed…
08-04 12:30:51	pltr above 129 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xc9d912…
08-04 12:29:36	pltr above 128 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x353535…
08-04 12:22:20	pltr above 126 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc54d99…
08-04 12:21:06	pltr above 127 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x382498…
08-04 12:21:05	pltr above 127 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	76	88¢	$67	0xffbf90…
08-04 12:21:05	pltr above 127 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x51a9e8…
08-04 12:20:24	pltr above 125 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x03df0c…
08-04 12:20:23	pltr above 125 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0x7c044c…
08-04 12:19:44	pltr above 127 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xd6525a…
08-04 12:19:23	pltr above 128 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x61aeeb…
08-04 12:18:45	pltr above 128 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x8cfe01…
08-04 12:17:03	pltr above 129 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x844cb3…
08-04 12:16:54	pltr above 129 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xf69693…
08-04 11:40:39	pltr above 127 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe3a23f…
08-04 11:39:36	pltr above 127 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3892da…
08-04 11:38:26	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xd297cf…
08-04 11:36:51	will pltr dip to 114 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x84eb99…
08-04 11:36:29	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x8d9506…
08-04 11:35:06	will pltr dip to 111 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	220	95¢	$209	0x35252a…
08-04 11:34:41	will pltr dip to 111 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x402095…
08-04 11:34:24	will pltr dip to 114 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	288	95¢	$274	0x36e1ee…
08-04 11:33:51	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x0c19d8…
08-04 11:33:15	will pltr dip to 105 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x29745f…
08-04 11:32:39	will pltr dip to 117 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xf0633d…
08-04 11:32:26	will pltr dip to 105 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb0ace0…
08-04 11:32:11	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xccac12…
08-04 07:27:54	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	600	93¢	$558	0xffef5b…
08-04 07:15:44	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x5a0776…
08-04 07:11:18	will pltr dip to 117 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0xfb62eb…
08-04 07:08:51	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	370	93¢	$344	0x269d0e…
08-04 07:08:51	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x13d974…
08-04 01:55:26	will mu dip to 690 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	233	89¢	$208	0x655290…
08-04 00:01:33	will mu dip to 690 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x7dd0e5…
08-03 17:35:45	will mu dip to 690 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x53d3a0…
08-03 17:35:41	will mu dip to 690 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x45454f…
08-03 11:39:44	will mu dip to 720 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x5a7f5a…
08-03 11:03:45	will mu dip to 690 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	293	79¢	$232	0x82cc0b…
08-03 11:01:48	will mu dip to 720 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x8a3749…
08-03 05:44:57	will ewy reach 157 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xc76d50…
08-03 05:42:38	will ewy dip to 153 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	254	48¢	$122	0x844f40…
08-03 05:41:39	will ewy dip to 152 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	186	53¢	$99	0x442fe1…
08-03 05:39:27	will ewy reach 158 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	380	97¢	$367	0xe2110d…
08-03 05:37:15	will mu dip to 660 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0x0dd098…
08-03 05:35:26	will mu dip to 630 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xb8b74d…
08-03 05:35:03	will mu dip to 660 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	210	94¢	$197	0x0d148b…
08-03 05:34:33	will mu dip to 720 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	406	81¢	$329	0xd3ab97…
08-03 05:32:42	will amzn dip to 252 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfbac8b…
08-03 05:30:24	will coin dip to 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0x87422f…
08-03 00:15:18	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xd20201…
08-03 00:15:18	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	104	76¢	$79	0x362d02…
08-03 00:15:17	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xfadb46…
08-03 00:15:17	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	163	76¢	$124	0x5a39bb…
08-03 00:15:17	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x3aeb36…
08-02 12:53:48	spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0fede9…