Safe-Family — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.26K

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

2,491

Trades

14,463

lifetime

Volume

$1.41M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$354

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Other

84% 71% +$22,920

Politics

13% 68% +$1,889

Crypto

3% 53% +$1,496

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$464

Sports

0% 0% -$1,426

Tech

0% 33% -$141

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes		-4,911	-$1,615	7¢	$-354	+$1,262	06-18 14:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	191	$46.9K	32,411	30,412	+2,000	Yes	-$2,024	04-14 23:35
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	104	$31.0K	16,816	16,853	-36	Yes	+$836	02-17 20:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	127	$26.1K	21,031	15,790	+5,241	No	+$2,132	04-22 09:11
will nvda dip to 192 in march	40	$23.6K	11,255	12,605	-1,350	Yes	+$220	03-02 14:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	34	$20.9K	10,985	11,295	-310	Yes	+$1,389	04-07 22:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	41	$19.5K	10,125	10,125	+0	Yes	+$558	03-02 05:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	41	$19.1K	9,930	10,165	-235	Yes	+$828	04-08 00:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	74	$18.2K	11,749	10,134	+1,615	Yes	+$2,208	04-18 05:00
spx opens up or down on january 28 2026	50	$18.0K	12,573	9,824	+2,749	Up	+$248	01-28 15:09
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	239	$17.3K	17,971	14,537	+3,434	Yes	+$1,500	06-30 16:46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	71	$17.0K	9,850	9,850	+0	Yes	+$161	03-09 19:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	51	$16.6K	14,001	4,709	+9,292	Yes	+$711	04-14 13:40
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	273	$15.7K	24,593	24,593	+0	No	-$1,833	06-30 15:15
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	48	$15.5K	6,924	11,585	-4,661	Down	-$545	02-17 15:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	166	$14.4K	18,560	17,493	+1,067	Yes	-$673	04-17 17:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	118	$14.2K	11,810	11,045	+766	No	-$2,541	04-27 01:24
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	66	$10.9K	5,949	6,330	-381	No	+$812	03-08 21:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	25	$10.8K	5,596	5,596	+0	Yes	+$218	03-01 14:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	30	$10.7K	5,931	6,531	-600	No	+$561	03-31 19:33
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	27	$10.4K	5,737	5,736	+0	Down	+$859	02-02 14:43
spx opens up or down on february 20 2026	19	$10.3K	5,509	5,509	+0	Down	+$267	02-20 19:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	80	$9.7K	6,806	6,906	-100	No	+$168	04-29 19:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?	33	$9.5K	4,985	5,856	-872	Yes	+$776	04-07 23:04
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	117	$9.2K	9,259	8,148	+1,111	No	+$169	03-05 14:47
spx opens up or down on january 27 2026	30	$9.1K	5,175	5,175	+0	Up	+$464	01-27 14:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	94	$8.5K	7,913	6,385	+1,528	No	+$984	03-07 19:27
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	31	$8.4K	5,782	4,671	+1,111	No	-$738	03-04 00:55
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	80	$8.0K	7,269	7,881	-612	Yes	-$1,033	03-08 14:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	50	$7.8K	5,227	4,651	+576	No	-$425	04-28 13:34
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	8	$7.7K	3,985	3,985	+0	Yes	+$218	03-20 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 22:20:24	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa78053…
10-25 23:41:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x320bd0…
10-25 23:29:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x6c4041…
10-25 23:25:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2ee392…
10-25 23:23:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xac4fb1…
10-25 23:23:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x66d6c3…
10-25 23:12:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3cf6c7…
10-25 23:09:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x847f94…
10-25 23:08:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xd3e87c…
10-25 23:05:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xfbef87…
10-25 23:05:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe9ecca…
10-25 23:05:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	70	16¢	$11	0xb4a77c…
10-25 23:05:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x42c901…
10-25 23:05:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x345999…
10-25 23:04:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x669285…
10-25 23:02:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x6593fe…
10-25 23:01:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x6a6789…
10-25 23:01:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x0d0d26…
10-25 22:55:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xd3d885…
10-25 22:54:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0xe439f3…
10-25 22:54:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x5cd390…
10-25 22:54:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	28¢	$41	0xe0f13a…
10-25 22:53:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5f270c…
10-25 22:47:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x8d0ff7…
10-25 22:40:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xbb838f…
10-25 22:40:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xdc247a…
10-25 22:40:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xe3a442…
10-25 22:40:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xa90fd7…
10-25 22:40:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x90809b…
10-25 22:36:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x7f7618…
10-25 22:25:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x03692e…
10-25 22:18:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x0e21c1…
10-25 22:18:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0xf5b3a3…
10-25 22:18:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5eed04…
10-25 22:11:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xcf23fb…
10-25 22:09:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x3d3e22…
10-25 22:08:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd4238e…
10-25 22:08:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x43258b…
10-25 22:08:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x964e09…
10-25 22:07:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4db7bc…
10-25 22:07:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x13b74d…
10-25 22:03:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x54706c…
10-25 22:03:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	88	60¢	$53	0x335780…
10-25 22:03:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x21412c…
10-25 21:58:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x431353…
10-25 21:56:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb938aa…
10-25 21:53:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x69baf2…
10-25 21:51:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x6d846b…
10-25 21:46:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	66¢	$18	0xeaeb53…
10-25 21:46:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$65	0x5c16fd…
10-25 21:46:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x715b5a…
10-25 21:39:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xadecd4…
10-22 14:08:00	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0d66a8…
10-22 13:31:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xfa7529…
10-22 04:10:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x345506…
10-22 04:08:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0xa4e057…
10-21 22:34:39	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x25f682…
10-21 22:22:59	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of October?	No	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0xe68772…
10-21 22:21:57	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xb2cc25…
10-21 22:21:27	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc5e89b…
10-21 22:20:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	124	86¢	$107	0x53ea3c…
10-21 22:20:02	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	108	96¢	$104	0xab078c…
10-20 22:12:38	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xaa62ce…
10-20 20:56:21	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $130 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x9f0741…
10-20 20:03:35	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 in October?	No	BUY	157	93¢	$146	0x5abe93…
10-20 20:03:02	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6b8586…
10-20 20:02:36	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa05f4c…
10-20 20:02:35	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x0b9e91…
10-20 19:31:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbc0284…
10-20 19:28:02	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x448221…
10-20 19:27:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0xc9d45b…
10-20 19:27:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x104628…
10-16 13:07:57	will spcx dip to 145 in october 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	135	91¢	$123	0x8805b8…
10-16 13:03:52	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?	Yes	SELL	61	41¢	$25	0x1d3493…
10-15 18:43:04	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?	Yes	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xefaa3e…
10-15 18:42:22	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?	Yes	SELL	122	40¢	$49	0x573657…
10-15 13:29:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x520fa7…
10-13 13:57:46	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $155 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xd55b8a…
10-10 07:09:19	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in October?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$3	0x6f1ee2…
10-10 02:59:08	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xcfff67…
10-10 01:47:17	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc5cc9a…
10-09 10:45:22	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in October?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$3	0x40caac…
10-09 08:25:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x27453f…
10-09 08:23:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x1f6de5…
10-09 08:23:25	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in October?	Yes	BUY	144	4¢	$6	0xe06d56…
10-07 23:00:55	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xb7447b…
10-07 14:45:49	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x093831…
10-06 13:45:03	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x44a32d…
10-06 07:27:49	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe120ad…
10-06 02:19:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa86912…
10-05 20:07:41	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?	Yes	BUY	99	11¢	$11	0x7cb80f…
10-05 17:40:19	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xa4a2d1…
10-05 14:08:34	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $155 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x470713…
10-05 14:06:07	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xce47ee…
10-05 14:06:05	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb795bc…
10-05 14:05:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in October?	Yes	BUY	199	9¢	$18	0xc16095…
10-05 13:54:55	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x5be57e…
10-05 13:54:47	will tsla dip to 360 in october 2026 from october 2	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x84907d…
10-05 13:49:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x65814d…
10-05 13:49:55	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xee8875…