Grounded-Softdrink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

2,676

Trades

19,546

lifetime

Volume

$604.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 01:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 48% -$8,757

Other

33% 52% -$4,892

Politics

10% 62% +$822

Sports

10% 59% +$3,248

Tech

1% 64% +$645

Pop-Culture

0% 29% -$106

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 1776 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	69	$20.4K	21,112	15,619	+5,493	No	-$18	05-10 18:05
nba nop hou 2026 03 13	31	$12.2K	14,040	6,000	+8,040	Rockets	-$572	03-14 02:31
lol dnf drx 2026 02 19	7	$11.9K	23,395	0	+23,395	DN Freecs	-$1,081	02-19 01:11
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	8	$10.1K	15,000	5,000	+10,000	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$50	03-22 08:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$9.3K	19,108	5,200	+13,908	No	+$6	03-24 23:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$7.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$0	05-10 06:21
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	7	$6.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	Saint Louis Billikens	-$1,939	03-20 03:17
cbb sanclr uk 2026 03 20	22	$5.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	Kentucky Wildcats	+$100	03-20 15:52
cbb iowa clmsn 2026 03 20	4	$5.3K	5,000	5,000	+0	Iowa Hawkeyes	-$50	03-20 16:23
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	2	$5.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Howard Bison	-$20	03-17 15:59
cbb akron txtech 2026 03 20	10	$5.0K	10,000	17	+9,983	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-$5	03-20 16:28
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	3	$5.0K	10,000	22	+9,978	Connecticut Huskies	+$10	03-27 09:59
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	2	$5.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Illinois Fighting Illini	$0	03-21 06:50
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	10	$5.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Arizona Wildcats	+$0	03-22 13:50
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	43	$5.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Michigan Wolverines	$0	03-21 11:55
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	46	$5.0K	9,983	0	+9,983	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-$12	03-18 04:08
bitcoin up or down on january 5	48	$4.4K	4,605	441	+4,164	Up	+$456	01-05 13:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$4.3K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	-$30	03-24 23:15
bitcoin up or down february 5 10am et	5	$3.7K	3,733	0	+3,733	Down	+$42	02-05 15:54
lol blg nip 2026 02 25	13	$3.6K	4,049	0	+4,049	Bilibili Gaming	+$410	02-25 11:22
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	28	$3.3K	7,043	3,113	+3,930	No	+$61	03-24 15:55
lol al we 2026 02 24	5	$3.3K	3,683	0	+3,683	Anyone's Legend	+$411	02-24 09:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	61	$3.2K	5,280	98	+5,182	No	+$493	01-23 11:25
lol th g2 2026 02 17	34	$3.0K	4,133	0	+4,133	G2 Esports	+$801	02-17 15:28
lol jdg al 2026 02 26	35	$2.9K	5,345	0	+5,345	JD Gaming	-$1,243	02-26 13:33
bitcoin up or down on january 8	63	$2.6K	3,691	0	+3,691	Down	-$42	01-08 16:52
bitcoin above 94k on january 13	21	$2.6K	3,262	0	+3,262	No	+$75	01-13 14:37
bitcoin up or down on february 2	127	$2.6K	3,675	0	+3,675	Up	-$1,017	02-02 16:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	7	$2.5K	3,235	0	+3,235	Yes	+$488	05-14 23:37
bitcoin above 90k on january 5	21	$2.5K	2,641	17	+2,624	Yes	+$116	01-05 09:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 01:41:41	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	74	13¢	$10	0xbe962c…
10-18 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xc9671f…
10-18 12:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x57f24b…
10-18 01:54:29	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	75	11¢	$8	0x03dfb5…
10-17 23:34:45	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0x897c2d…
10-16 01:14:52	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x333d1e…
10-16 01:05:03	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8ccc40…
10-16 00:52:34	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeaa23d…
10-16 00:39:54	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xf8d965…
10-16 00:39:04	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x0a7fcd…
10-16 00:36:13	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x38d478…
10-16 00:32:24	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x56d9c9…
10-16 00:31:52	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	MVK Esports	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x174f04…
10-16 00:30:48	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 4 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5adf46…
10-16 00:25:18	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x7ebf8e…
10-16 00:24:45	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x24d33d…
10-16 00:17:52	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x9f21cc…
10-16 00:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x366472…
10-16 00:13:49	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xd254a8…
10-16 00:09:34	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xe777e7…
10-16 00:04:03	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x3357f2…
10-15 23:47:01	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	FURIA Esports	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6182a3…
10-15 23:46:24	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xe7c07b…
10-15 23:44:21	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x849ce2…
10-15 23:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf31592…
10-15 23:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcfdbc6…
10-15 23:40:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xba5852…
10-15 23:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6fee24…
10-15 23:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe882be…
10-15 23:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x73e517…
10-15 23:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9c3190…
10-15 23:12:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x718dd5…
10-15 22:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0974ac…
10-15 22:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf68434…
10-15 22:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc6c7a1…
10-15 22:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x573c6e…
10-15 22:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5b28a8…
10-15 22:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xde980c…
10-15 22:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x65ec55…
10-15 22:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfb1ca9…
10-15 21:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x64768a…
10-15 21:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb2a47e…
10-15 21:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x092a72…
10-15 21:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe810ba…
10-15 21:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3700f0…
10-15 20:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x223b97…
10-15 20:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x04f21f…
10-15 20:56:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8016c9…
10-15 20:56:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3eb0fb…
10-15 20:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaf71e4…
10-15 20:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x721f85…
10-15 20:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6b0c26…
10-15 20:51:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xbed302…
10-15 20:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x475895…
10-15 20:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3e5160…
10-15 19:59:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd936d4…
10-15 19:57:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x31a73f…
10-15 19:25:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x23c133…
10-15 19:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xec8af0…
10-15 18:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xfcf9f1…
10-15 18:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x924fc0…
10-15 18:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x30a2fd…
10-15 18:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x344979…
10-15 18:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x60022a…
10-15 17:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x34b106…
10-15 17:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x50d02c…
10-15 17:23:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5bedbd…
10-15 17:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd2669a…
10-15 17:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x90bbd2…
10-15 17:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x433af3…
10-15 17:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8ea46c…
10-15 17:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1834e9…
10-15 16:52:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbf27d3…
10-15 16:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0e701e…
10-15 16:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x6d5e6d…
10-15 16:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd973ae…
10-15 16:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5a5a7a…
10-15 16:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xa9abeb…
10-15 16:41:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc90bcf…
10-15 16:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x325578…
10-15 16:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x65f836…
10-15 16:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x936ea1…
10-15 16:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x09b376…
10-15 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe8f60d…
10-15 16:28:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9fd936…
10-15 15:40:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x897fd7…
10-15 15:39:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf68347…
10-15 15:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xff9120…
10-15 15:39:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x79e786…
10-15 15:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd32369…
10-15 15:37:34	Ethereum Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x988113…
10-15 15:37:08	Ethereum Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x64ecdc…
10-15 15:36:13	Ethereum Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1be372…
10-15 15:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x3be917…
10-15 15:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8c4465…
10-15 15:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x89d00d…
10-15 15:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3eaffa…
10-15 15:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1cc89f…
10-15 15:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x28819f…
10-15 15:20:44	Ethereum Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x08fabe…