Nimble-Consumer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-28 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% 100% +$1

Crypto

29% 100% +$3

Politics

15% — —

Sports

9% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$159	160	+160	open	—	06-26 04:16
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$139	145	+145	open	—	05-21 21:49
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$136	137	+137	open	—	06-27 05:29
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$133	142	+142	open	—	05-16 21:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$130	133	+133	open	—	05-15 06:49
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$130	131	+131	Yes	+$1	05-09 15:45
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$129	130	+130	open	—	05-14 19:10
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$88	91	+91	No	+$3	04-14 02:26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$84	90	+90	open	—	04-26 04:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-23 18:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$67	81	+81	open	—	04-21 07:49
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$63	64	+64	open	—	03-02 18:19
will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	1	$31	31	+31	open	—	06-28 15:52
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	06-28 15:14
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$24	24	+24	open	—	01-15 17:14
amzn above 290 on january 30 2026	2	$21	21	+21	open	—	01-17 14:01
meta above 760 on january 30 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	01-24 01:03
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	06-28 16:41
will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	2	$17	17	+17	open	—	02-20 16:39
si above 40 jan 2026	2	$17	17	+17	open	—	01-19 13:41
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$13	13	+13	open	—	02-23 11:10
tsla above 430 on march 31 2026	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	03-31 01:32
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	01-08 05:18
will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	06-28 22:48
will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$10	10	+10	open	—	03-24 23:27
will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	03-26 00:34
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-13 11:14
tsla above 480 on february 27 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	02-24 21:29
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	02-21 02:50
pltr above 160 on february 27 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	02-21 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 22:48:43	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa28b53…
06-28 16:41:35	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x662320…
06-28 15:52:28	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc6bf79…
06-28 15:14:29	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1804fc…
06-27 05:29:01	Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x29610d…
06-26 09:22:08	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xf76695…
06-26 04:16:19	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x9ee3b2…
05-28 22:09:58	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x167ed5…
05-26 18:16:02	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x219838…
05-21 21:49:13	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	145	96¢	$139	0xe08d88…
05-17 09:55:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7cfae2…
05-16 21:57:43	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	94¢	$133	0xb7036f…
05-15 06:49:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x91781e…
05-14 19:10:42	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x4772d9…
05-09 15:56:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe8b489…
05-09 15:45:15	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x00a097…
05-06 16:39:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa65bf5…
05-06 15:47:47	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3e127f…
05-06 11:35:26	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x68dfcd…
04-26 04:38:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	93¢	$84	0x54f1f8…
04-23 18:25:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5cd9aa…
04-22 17:11:46	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x07e752…
04-22 12:06:16	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd16329…
04-21 07:49:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	81	83¢	$67	0x142ac8…
04-19 14:47:06	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xff9a17…
04-19 12:58:26	Will BNB dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9360ff…
04-18 17:30:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc1592f…
04-18 13:04:58	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4b59c0…
04-18 00:33:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x680be8…
04-18 00:16:10	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x1c4b59…
04-17 10:29:06	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $180 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f445c…
04-16 18:08:02	Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7eaa7f…
04-15 19:12:12	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0aae8…
04-15 15:01:16	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd9e1b5…
04-14 02:26:07	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0x89a4cb…
04-13 15:07:59	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x17a8b2…
04-13 11:42:55	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5944a4…
04-13 08:48:21	Will Meta (META) close above $420 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b32a8…
04-12 02:27:53	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $270 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2d57ba…
04-11 22:06:51	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x759434…
04-11 21:45:19	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd801b0…
04-11 10:35:23	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x48fed2…
04-11 10:20:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3afdc5…
04-07 00:06:31	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x45eefb…
04-06 04:46:33	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa260dc…
04-05 17:24:31	will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the april decision	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf8ce44…
04-05 11:30:51	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3ec974…
03-31 01:32:39	tsla above 430 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfb82df…
03-30 16:19:31	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x0069bf…
03-30 11:14:58	nvda above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3a58f1…
03-28 18:58:06	will xrp reach 2 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x05e347…
03-27 19:54:15	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7facfb…
03-27 10:56:37	will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0d73c7…
03-27 10:01:21	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x190f8e…
03-27 08:17:39	aapl above 310 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0x3d645e…
03-26 00:34:31	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8102bd…
03-25 11:23:41	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x13ac04…
03-24 23:27:43	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x32aeff…
03-24 00:37:29	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa89f93…
03-23 20:23:27	will ethena reach 0pt24 in march	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0599a6…
03-23 10:21:03	will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe2f21e…
03-23 03:06:43	aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3384cf…
03-22 01:15:03	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4e1d0c…
03-21 08:56:35	nvda above 140 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b74a3…
03-12 09:50:39	amzn above 250 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8d639d…
03-12 08:12:37	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x36368a…
03-10 23:14:25	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc286c1…
03-08 09:14:11	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0129b7…
03-08 06:57:13	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xfddc4e…
03-07 22:44:15	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb35d0a…
03-07 14:12:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x9e6571…
03-07 13:35:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x71ab38…
03-07 09:11:51	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x995962…
03-07 03:17:35	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x00d08e…
03-07 02:04:33	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcc55a8…
03-07 00:18:11	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74fc72…
03-06 06:21:43	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5f4603…
03-05 16:04:43	amzn above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x154fb6…
03-05 14:15:43	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc58f4a…
03-04 16:37:05	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf417d2…
03-04 13:29:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x648d82…
03-04 12:48:37	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xf01697…
03-04 11:15:57	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8819af…
03-04 04:06:37	will zai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4232f…
03-04 00:27:19	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x069116…
03-04 00:12:43	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x997a35…
03-03 22:21:49	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf44cad…
03-03 20:11:11	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x783250…
03-02 21:46:15	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8c390…
03-02 18:19:47	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x97d55e…
02-24 21:29:08	tsla above 480 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc94078…
02-24 08:16:02	aapl above 290 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9006ff…
02-23 11:10:58	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7b5bc…
02-23 06:55:30	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x860106…
02-22 00:08:38	will silver si hit high 140 by end of february 384 774 953 735 356	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x666754…
02-21 05:08:16	pltr above 160 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe2a29d…
02-21 02:50:40	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3d688e…
02-20 16:48:24	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e3d3d…
02-20 16:39:08	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x26da14…
02-06 13:32:09	nvda above 230 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xae4057…