These-Asymmetry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-17 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$7

Other

12% 75% +$4

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	8	$926	464	464	+0	open	—	01-15 08:52
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$419	210	210	+0	open	—	03-18 04:06
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$390	196	196	+0	open	—	04-25 03:57
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	4	$381	191	191	+0	open	—	04-23 12:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$306	153	153	+0	open	—	05-26 07:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	2	$306	153	153	+0	open	—	05-26 07:41
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	01-13 07:14
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	01-13 07:28
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$230	115	115	+0	open	—	02-07 06:50
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	01-31 06:15
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$227	114	114	+0	open	—	02-13 07:09
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$227	114	114	+0	open	—	02-13 07:33
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$224	113	113	+0	open	—	03-17 12:35
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	02-15 06:15
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	03-24 10:51
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	02-28 09:58
Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 08:46
Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 09:40
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	04-23 12:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	05-27 08:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	05-25 08:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?	1	$151	152	0	+152	open	—	05-23 12:57
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	05-22 06:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	05-21 12:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	05-20 12:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	05-17 11:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	1	$148	148	0	+148	No	+$0	05-13 03:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	05-15 03:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	05-14 07:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$147	148	0	+148	No	+$0	05-11 07:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 07:18:45	will ng reach 3 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xa55a97…
07-17 07:16:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc0fe68…
06-30 11:18:05	will spy reach 780 in june 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xd5cd71…
06-19 13:09:01	will bitcoin dip to 52k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x114bcc…
05-31 04:14:56	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x8493e2…
05-30 08:43:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8eb840…
05-30 08:09:41	Kosice: Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard	Martin Krumich	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe72167…
05-29 10:18:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x3f1fb7…
05-28 06:29:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x5eb461…
05-27 08:11:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0xa8e10f…
05-27 08:07:36	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xf7a64c…
05-26 07:52:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x234a9a…
05-26 07:44:40	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x7cc653…
05-26 07:41:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x20eb5d…
05-26 07:08:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x4fc440…
05-26 07:06:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x98b217…
05-26 06:33:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x1c3bda…
05-25 08:49:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x5ae239…
05-24 07:17:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0xd6683c…
05-24 07:12:56	Joventut vs. Burgos	Joventut	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x195c83…
05-23 12:57:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0xb32645…
05-22 06:05:35	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xd63e9b…
05-21 12:54:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x457a61…
05-20 12:59:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xf2cb99…
05-19 05:40:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x1abbda…
05-19 05:36:55	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x17d8b4…
05-18 06:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xeb6271…
05-18 06:35:07	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x2bfcbf…
05-17 11:51:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xfd8add…
05-15 03:45:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x6d07e9…
05-14 07:21:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x5200ea…
05-13 03:49:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x4a2870…
05-11 07:27:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0x912784…
05-10 11:10:19	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x0eec90…
05-09 10:12:40	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Team Heretics	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x343173…
05-08 06:51:30	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x6fae8c…
05-07 10:35:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x1bff64…
05-07 10:15:36	Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Younes Laaroussi	Younes Laaroussi	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb0cba7…
05-06 10:10:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x7b694d…
05-03 07:42:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x6951be…
05-01 10:01:20	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x74d096…
04-30 06:44:36	Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of April?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0x573934…
04-28 07:33:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd5d5f3…
04-26 07:17:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd079f7…
04-25 04:01:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x128ad2…
04-25 03:57:54	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x9d16c3…
04-25 03:42:22	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x61bcf0…
04-24 03:57:30	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xe6f4a4…
04-23 12:26:12	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x5c16ca…
04-23 12:23:26	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x334b8a…
04-23 12:05:36	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xeaa3b3…
04-23 12:04:38	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x3e9361…
04-23 11:46:58	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x223a5c…
04-22 12:11:16	ethereum above 2200 on april 22	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd14031…
04-21 12:32:32	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x8f6f57…
04-20 04:17:58	ethereum above 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x45a161…
04-19 09:28:50	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xa2d0c3…
04-19 09:27:04	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x5d9040…
04-19 09:05:32	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xb8951b…
04-16 06:54:58	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x56c636…
04-15 12:33:00	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x3a7cd5…
04-14 08:14:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 14	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xfe8454…
04-14 07:20:11	nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14	Blue Jackets	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xf424a1…
04-12 09:42:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 12	No	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0xa768ab…
04-12 09:40:13	Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$99	0xfc512d…
04-12 08:48:23	Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7b8f67…
04-12 08:46:47	Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x42387b…
04-12 08:30:23	Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x21eb6f…
04-12 08:27:53	mlb laa cin 2026 04 12	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x0b3cea…
04-11 06:59:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 11	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xe29ec9…
04-09 03:45:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 9	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xbf04f7…
04-08 09:52:29	ethereum above 2000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x3b5683…
04-07 12:47:15	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x66bf8d…
04-05 10:29:29	solana above 70 on april 5	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0xcad764…
04-05 09:30:15	atp fucsovi tabilo 2026 04 06	Marton Fucsovics	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1bdab6…
04-04 05:58:51	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xf8b39a…
04-04 05:50:23	cs2 ast10 mibr 2026 04 04	MIBR	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8ea986…
04-03 06:33:07	bitcoin above 70k on april 3	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x53fbf1…
04-02 10:34:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xe35a63…
03-31 12:10:51	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x370e11…
03-31 12:06:25	atp altmaie martine 2026 03 30	Pedro Martinez	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xb868a0…
03-30 14:05:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 30	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x955330…
03-29 07:23:28	will bitcoin reach 76k march 23 29	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x6883e6…
03-29 06:33:26	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x1774ee…
03-28 06:22:13	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0xb4b4de…
03-28 05:56:41	mlb pit nym 2026 03 28	New York Mets	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0xbe270e…
03-27 07:21:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x601b7a…
03-26 12:02:09	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe3ce7e…
03-25 12:36:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xaf8528…
03-24 10:55:25	solana above 100 on march 24	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x37a1e6…
03-24 10:51:35	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$104	0xeecaac…
03-24 10:35:17	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x22070b…
03-21 05:17:45	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xfbf1c4…
03-20 07:40:01	ethereum above 2400 on march 20	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x81af93…
03-19 11:06:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 19	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x705deb…
03-18 04:13:35	ethereum above 2000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x21f52f…
03-18 04:06:43	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xdfb315…
03-18 03:45:49	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xc1433e…
03-18 03:40:19	ahl mil man 2026 03 18	Manitoba Moose	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x7e76cf…
03-17 12:41:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 17	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x927546…