Tender-Talk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,722

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-30 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

79% 97% +$1

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	06-30 00:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	3	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	03-08 22:14
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 total games 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 09:47
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 14:26
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:55
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
wta masarov osuigwe 2026 02 25 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-21 05:20
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 21:01
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:46
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:46
Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 18:31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 22:00
Levanga Hokkaido vs. Alvark Tokyo	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 07:28
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:55
wta krueger mcnally 2026 02 23 first set winner Krueger vs McNally	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 15:42
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
val rbt flk 2026 01 19	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 20:26
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 12:06
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 16:39
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 01:50:29	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39d3ff…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e3490…
06-29 22:38:17	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe77a6b…
06-29 20:20:32	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bb319…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb72bd4…
06-29 18:55:22	cs2 pre masq 2026 06 29 map handicap away 1pt5	Prestige	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7337fd…
06-29 17:02:26	val jl bar 2026 06 29 game1	Barça eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x395c14…
06-29 16:05:04	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xceea58…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5167dd…
06-28 21:19:04	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x636718…
06-28 20:17:07	mlb ari tb 2026 06 28 spread home 1pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5e3f4…
06-28 12:33:11	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28	Honvéd	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x646c86…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78ee59…
06-28 03:39:53	world cup goal contributions h2h valverde vspt fernandes 20260604014429764	Bruno	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97d680…
06-28 01:55:52	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce4398…
06-27 22:56:44	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf21264…
06-27 22:56:41	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd794a1…
06-27 20:38:35	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33990f…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd21916…
06-27 12:57:02	cs2 mis wbt 2026 06 27 game2	Misa Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c3416…
06-27 12:16:20	kbo lg lot 2026 06 27	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3e43e…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac48f3…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x463fed…
06-25 22:16:16	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac5086…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd5b208…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd18ee1…
06-25 00:07:17	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x714873…
06-25 00:04:49	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64f583…
06-24 20:58:34	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43eff6…
06-24 12:54:02	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01f3f1…
06-24 09:08:34	cs2 mana1 hon1 2026 06 24 game1	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01b99f…
06-24 01:01:16	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x848509…
06-23 22:03:08	Arcium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a0c24…
06-23 21:04:41	wti closes above 73 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba8cbc…
06-23 20:00:55	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3eb2e0…
06-23 18:25:05	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc991cb…
06-23 18:10:41	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcff96…
06-23 12:23:31	itf samardz khramts 2026 06 23	Ayline Samardzic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50da83…
06-23 01:00:32	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a67f7…
06-23 00:54:53	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x909986…
06-22 19:04:08	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64cd74…
06-21 18:13:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa22c5…
06-21 13:51:46	cs2 fokus pha 2026 06 21 game1	FOKUS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c995f…
06-21 02:28:35	ufc kyo man1 2026 06 20 totals 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41b827…
06-20 20:36:25	wttmen kuo qiu 2026 06 20	Qiu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x390cb0…
06-20 20:06:50	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fbff7…
06-20 18:24:02	atp ofner assche 2026 06 20	Luca Van Assche	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33d148…
06-20 05:14:19	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5db9c…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd059f9…
06-19 15:45:29	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d22b8…
06-19 13:20:07	kbo ssg nc 2026 06 19	NC Dinos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x855033…
06-19 00:04:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe49d6b…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebfe87…
06-18 18:10:40	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f64bd…
06-17 19:17:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60f9bd…
06-17 19:04:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x593ff7…
06-17 16:10:02	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae2514…
06-17 16:08:10	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c46db…
06-17 16:06:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98b58a…
06-17 12:13:35	cs2 tdk nem 2026 06 17 game1	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0664ba…
06-17 03:03:51	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95650d…
06-16 14:06:22	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb1cf1…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ae7c7…
06-15 19:57:06	cs2 sparta g2a 2026 06 15 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8841b3…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8ecde…
06-15 16:05:31	lamine yamal 20260609173616772	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55a4ff…
06-15 12:41:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0943b…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x917683…
06-14 19:04:18	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68a881…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabe20f…
06-14 03:29:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 11pt5	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7bff2…
06-13 14:12:04	fin1 int aco 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ae49e…
06-13 11:10:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18a4cd…
06-13 09:23:27	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13 game2	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba4977…
06-13 01:54:58	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d0622…
06-12 21:38:48	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x765b14…
06-12 21:07:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf14dc9…
06-12 20:37:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x501e2b…
06-12 20:26:45	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f3886…
06-12 20:18:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37f9d8…
06-12 20:17:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x330c88…
06-12 13:30:09	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a69d2…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x030ddf…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11734a…
06-11 16:53:27	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc498a6…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb2946…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb0e2d…
06-10 04:32:34	crint tha2 npl3 2026 06 09	Thailand	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b6592…
06-09 17:17:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0485b…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebf200…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x426f36…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07e1c3…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78b2b0…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc56309…
06-07 20:25:27	Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?	Hamilton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7cda1…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa16428…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe77b09…
06-07 14:50:10	cs2 mibr big5 2026 06 07 game1 round handicap mibr 3pt5	BIG	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b6d74…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1127b7…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b15c9…