Tender-Talk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,635

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-09 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

79% 97% +$1

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	3	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	03-08 22:14
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:46
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:55
Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 18:31
wta masarov osuigwe 2026 02 25 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-21 05:20
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:55
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 12:06
wta krueger mcnally 2026 02 23 first set winner Krueger vs McNally	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 15:42
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Levanga Hokkaido vs. Alvark Tokyo	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 07:28
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 14:26
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 22:00
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 21:01
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 total games 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 09:47
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:46
val rbt flk 2026 01 19	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 20:26
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 16:39
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:17:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0485b…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebf200…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x426f36…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07e1c3…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78b2b0…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc56309…
06-07 20:25:27	Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?	Hamilton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7cda1…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa16428…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe77b09…
06-07 14:50:10	cs2 mibr big5 2026 06 07 game1 round handicap mibr 3pt5	BIG	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b6d74…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1127b7…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b15c9…
06-06 22:08:30	mlb oak hou 2026 06 06 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc33679…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b2efa…
06-06 12:06:01	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb36ee…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f3c41…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9ac07…
06-05 15:45:19	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7d70b…
06-05 01:50:37	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd55dca…
06-04 14:24:33	itf spiteri pace 2026 06 04	Dalila Spiteri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39aac8…
06-04 14:19:12	atp mcdonal hijikat 2026 06 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00ef8a…
06-03 19:23:34	Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Guo/Mladenovic	Aoyama/Liang	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d25a9…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d3a32…
06-03 12:06:09	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Nys/Roger-Vasselin	Granollers/Zeballos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdad3a8…
06-03 11:31:47	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3d1ec…
06-03 06:26:04	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait	Malaysia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf8beb…
06-03 04:48:48	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9204fe…
06-02 22:56:07	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fa3c0…
06-02 15:24:31	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd674d3…
06-01 18:06:51	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7cea7a…
06-01 14:41:31	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ac431…
06-01 02:52:46	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x370797…
06-01 01:16:36	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x586e97…
05-31 21:54:23	New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f7c29…
05-31 20:36:59	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd73a05…
05-31 19:09:25	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b2c9a…
05-31 19:00:09	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6874fb…
05-31 15:36:43	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a89a9…
05-31 15:26:44	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x144cec…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bdbec…
05-31 04:46:02	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x032511…
05-30 22:09:43	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e6eba…
05-30 19:17:17	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d7980…
05-30 16:11:43	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11865b…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fdb34…
05-30 13:13:43	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21698d…
05-30 12:02:23	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8afbce…
05-30 05:55:45	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xacb1d5…
05-30 04:48:45	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x82197f…
05-30 04:48:45	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x27bd05…
05-29 21:05:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c3c56…
05-29 21:01:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1a6eb…
05-29 20:26:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30741d…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff5796…
05-29 17:27:50	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9541ba…
05-29 13:57:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7392b…
05-29 08:52:22	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova	Anna Bazderova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57eaef…
05-29 03:15:59	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2f0ae…
05-28 16:52:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1a952…
05-28 16:30:37	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd8cd0…
05-28 12:33:00	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeefb28…
05-28 11:33:49	ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Eva Vedder vs Kayla Day	Kayla Day	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34a954…
05-28 10:30:09	ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Eva Vedder vs Kayla Day	Kayla Day	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x21bfb0…
05-28 03:39:03	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5f930…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8ec64…
05-28 01:55:49	Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x105d3b…
05-27 18:03:23	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Anadolu Efes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x352913…
05-27 07:24:59	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76daa0…
05-27 02:14:32	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x553e1b…
05-26 20:01:34	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x122b3a…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2976d…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2a3fb…
05-26 09:14:39	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x181a36…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x327571…
05-25 04:48:31	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf82802…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x933722…
05-24 22:36:35	World Championships: Slovakia vs. Canada	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cdf73…
05-24 19:25:18	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x885f8f…
05-24 16:02:45	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe2e9a3…
05-24 15:29:51	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e638d…
05-24 09:09:31	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7f091e…
05-24 08:58:50	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x09e74a…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeafc2c…
05-23 22:55:09	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24df23…
05-23 21:13:21	Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9eba1e…
05-23 21:01:38	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)	Levante UD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc53de8…
05-23 16:16:05	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68f0a6…
05-23 16:09:09	CSKA Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Kuban	CSKA Moscow	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7ed5b…
05-23 02:23:59	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b9962…
05-23 01:24:50	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd41b10…
05-22 20:37:19	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2499c7…
05-22 17:12:39	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x238ae6…
05-22 11:51:14	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9e4d4…
05-21 20:07:42	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2868d7…
05-21 11:20:09	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x108b9e…
05-21 04:29:22	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64b5a9…
05-20 21:43:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3a362…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28ae10…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x919d3f…
05-20 19:13:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe54600…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Troubled-Department 0xf97a…ab4c	738	$7.57K	763	06-08 21:37
Disguised-Senate 0xd692…5ddc	738	$3.81K	771	06-08 21:37
Profitable-Volleyball 0xd01c…9175	726	$18.9K	772	06-08 21:37
Overlooked-Morbidity 0x97ea…dfb8	720	$3.73K	751	06-08 21:37
Humming-Gravity 0x4bc9…d8e9	713	$3.65K	733	06-09 17:17
Tragic-Economics 0x5e9d…6a86	711	$36.9K	786	06-06 23:10
Tall-Earrings 0x4662…03e9	702	$18.4K	743	06-08 21:58
Huge-Cost 0x52df…acb5	693	$7.08K	716	06-08 21:37