Sandy-Material — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$133

Unrealized P&L

-$43

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

570

lifetime

Volume

$49.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

$260

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-18 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

86% 50% $-133

Other

14% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes		+818	$245	26¢	$209	$-37	06-04 17:19
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes		+166	$58	31¢	$51	$-7	06-04 19:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$7.4K	32,830	7,300	+25,530	open	—	06-16 01:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$3.5K	9,032	9,032	+0	open	—	06-18 19:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$3.3K	6,097	6,097	+0	open	—	04-07 23:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	28	$3.3K	2,657	3,000	-343	open	—	06-14 01:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	53	$3.1K	13,113	7,773	+5,340	open	—	05-30 09:24
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	8	$2.5K	4,848	4,230	+618	open	—	04-21 22:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	23	$1.9K	8,839	7,189	+1,649	open	—	04-25 20:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	23	$1.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	06-16 19:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	04-07 23:08
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	8	$1.7K	2,574	2,574	+0	open	—	04-17 17:15
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	11	$1.3K	4,362	1,000	+3,362	open	—	06-16 18:29
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	13	$1.3K	1,354	1,354	+0	open	—	06-01 19:17
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	25	$1.3K	5,907	5,907	+0	open	—	04-16 16:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.1K	2,000	500	+1,500	open	—	05-24 00:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.0K	719	719	+0	open	—	05-29 15:15
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	8	$1.0K	1,056	1,056	+0	open	—	04-17 16:34
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	5	$682	1,038	0	+1,038	open	—	03-17 15:14
Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?	9	$595	2,917	0	+2,917	open	—	05-19 20:13
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	40	$587	2,085	2,085	+0	open	—	04-26 01:07
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	9	$552	1,119	543	+576	open	—	03-21 19:30
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	36	$533	15,623	10,167	+5,456	open	—	03-10 05:00
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	7	$526	715	715	+0	open	—	05-27 14:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	4	$494	663	463	+200	open	—	05-25 23:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	18	$482	14,228	14,228	+0	open	—	05-26 17:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$475	879	0	+879	open	—	04-19 15:47
will leavitt say state of the union during the next white house press briefing	11	$324	723	673	+50	open	—	03-04 19:50
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	7	$321	362	362	+1	open	—	03-23 21:04
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 17 million 669	3	$295	535	534	+1	open	—	02-16 04:48
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$289	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 00:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$250	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-29 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 20:00:44	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	46	20¢	$9	0x446e69…
06-18 19:07:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9,032	15¢	$1,320	0xa9c83d…
06-16 19:05:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,500	39¢	$975	0x105069…
06-16 18:32:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	605	36¢	$218	0x909efe…
06-16 18:29:47	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	51	26¢	$13	0xa7e21b…
06-16 18:09:56	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	949	26¢	$247	0xb7fa33…
06-16 10:21:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x0b8d90…
06-16 10:21:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x234292…
06-16 10:19:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8b7cc3…
06-16 10:17:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x81f0b1…
06-16 10:17:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xf9c5aa…
06-16 10:08:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x96da43…
06-16 10:07:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x4004a2…
06-16 08:39:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x40e7d5…
06-16 08:37:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xbe674c…
06-16 08:37:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x6e3ce7…
06-16 08:37:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x6b38af…
06-16 08:32:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	156	36¢	$56	0x8ec9b4…
06-16 08:29:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x0c847b…
06-16 08:29:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xa16ad9…
06-16 08:29:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x2756c3…
06-16 08:29:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x4f33d3…
06-16 08:29:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0xde597b…
06-16 08:28:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0xc9e15a…
06-16 08:28:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x1581cb…
06-16 08:28:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x0e6eb7…
06-16 08:28:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	875	36¢	$315	0x51876f…
06-16 04:56:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,500	20¢	$500	0xb39c0f…
06-16 01:38:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	2¢	$200	0x84fb1f…
06-16 01:28:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	2¢	$210	0xc05b97…
06-16 01:19:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,845	2¢	$88	0xba6323…
06-15 21:35:52	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,197	22¢	$481	0xae6e47…
06-15 21:26:00	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x00ad7e…
06-15 21:23:55	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x9f82ab…
06-15 21:22:06	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	76	22¢	$17	0x2aa13b…
06-15 20:29:42	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	187	22¢	$41	0xb19513…
06-15 18:47:13	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x10544d…
06-15 18:47:07	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x200525…
06-15 17:21:46	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,391	28¢	$392	0x24fae8…
06-15 17:18:48	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	274	27¢	$74	0xa1c79e…
06-15 16:29:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6,532	25¢	$1,633	0x500212…
06-15 13:32:43	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0xb7bbd3…
06-14 21:56:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	5,054	74¢	$3,729	0xd6b6e3…
06-14 21:27:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2,246	48¢	$1,086	0x89e531…
06-14 16:02:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	800	13¢	$101	0x37b416…
06-14 06:46:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,286	23¢	$530	0x902d16…
06-14 03:07:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,000	24¢	$1,190	0xbfdb7c…
06-14 01:07:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	898	25¢	$220	0xdc6b82…
06-14 01:05:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,000	62¢	$1,875	0x62e4ae…
06-13 18:28:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,233	65¢	$801	0x438cc5…
06-13 18:27:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x2c3d7e…
06-13 18:27:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xfec9f7…
06-13 18:26:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6b8cbc…
06-13 18:23:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xda50e5…
06-13 18:23:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	70	65¢	$45	0xea51a8…
06-13 18:22:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xb9d3f8…
06-13 18:22:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x387ae5…
06-13 18:18:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	88	65¢	$57	0xb8a73d…
06-13 18:09:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xc90197…
06-13 18:06:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x053751…
06-10 14:58:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	1,252	7¢	$88	0xb209d2…
06-04 19:08:01	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x4a88df…
06-04 18:51:09	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xee1777…
06-04 17:19:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	818	30¢	$245	0x1442a3…
06-03 21:08:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xd62643…
06-03 21:07:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5d1726…
06-03 21:06:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x83ca0f…
06-03 21:03:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xb55cf4…
06-03 21:02:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9946c8…
06-03 21:01:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x806bba…
06-03 21:01:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xd303e4…
06-03 20:59:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	171	30¢	$51	0xab3301…
06-03 20:57:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x6f866b…
06-03 20:57:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x30beba…
06-03 20:45:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x16eacd…
06-03 20:45:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	30¢	$43	0x8b2231…
06-03 20:39:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x60fa3c…
06-03 20:36:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc281dc…
06-03 20:33:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x523689…
06-03 20:30:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0xf9a469…
06-03 15:35:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	1,407	2¢	$21	0x7ce385…
06-01 23:47:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	1,015	5¢	$51	0xe7af25…
06-01 19:17:01	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x296cd5…
06-01 19:12:02	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	236	50¢	$118	0x82d018…
06-01 19:11:41	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x89f4fc…
06-01 19:11:39	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	378	50¢	$189	0xb84abe…
06-01 19:06:00	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	548	50¢	$274	0x49ec3f…
06-01 19:02:54	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x58024c…
06-01 19:01:53	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x872bc5…
06-01 19:01:30	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x14d06e…
06-01 19:00:47	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xb281a7…
06-01 19:00:47	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x5469b5…
06-01 19:00:19	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	985	48¢	$473	0x4601f4…
06-01 19:00:10	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x637652…
06-01 19:00:10	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	352	45¢	$158	0x10e76c…
05-30 09:24:23	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	822	2¢	$20	0xd99216…
05-30 03:31:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x2c3d86…
05-30 03:29:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x326a8a…
05-30 03:19:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	2¢	$3	0x08791b…
05-30 03:14:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x5bff32…