Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.62K

Unrealized P&L

-$78

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$63.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$942

Open exposure

$15.7K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-23 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

55% 50% -$5,851

Crypto

32% 96% +$902

Other

13% 86% +$325

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	+16,264	$15,374	94¢	$15.3K	-$86	10-23 12:02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+198	$180	94¢	$187	+$7	10-11 03:25
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	-2,635	-$158	6¢	$-158	$0	10-02 03:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+42	$40	98¢	$41	+$1	09-26 03:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	3	$15.5K	16,264	2,635	+13,629	open	—	10-23 12:02
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$12.5K	10,890	10,890	+0	No	-$6,672	03-26 05:36
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$7.0K	7,331	0	+7,331	No	+$293	05-18 05:44
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$6.2K	7,039	0	+7,039	Yes	+$821	03-26 05:37
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$2.5K	2,695	0	+2,695	No	+$194	02-26 05:11
bitcoin above 70k on march 4	1	$2.1K	2,080	0	+2,080	Yes	+$22	03-04 15:31
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	1	$2.0K	2,044	0	+2,044	No	+$44	03-05 16:22
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	1	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	Yes	+$20	03-03 16:58
bitcoin above 66k on march 7	2	$1.5K	1,591	0	+1,591	Yes	+$53	03-07 13:48
bitcoin above 66k on march 8	2	$1.2K	604	604	+0	Yes	+$11	03-08 15:36
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	Yes	+$18	03-04 15:33
bitcoin above 64k on march 8	2	$1.0K	512	512	+0	Yes	+$12	03-08 15:35
will bitcoin reach 68500 on march 8	1	$1000	1,004	0	+1,004	No	+$4	03-09 03:31
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$908	472	472	+0	Yes	+$30	03-12 23:22
bitcoin above 68k on march 12	1	$738	859	0	+859	Yes	+$120	03-12 05:25
bitcoin above 68k on march 11	1	$646	738	0	+738	Yes	+$92	03-11 04:06
bitcoin above 64k on march 9	1	$615	701	0	+701	Yes	+$86	03-09 02:16
bitcoin above 66k on march 9	1	$600	674	0	+674	Yes	+$74	03-09 10:46
bitcoin above 70k on march 5	1	$598	619	0	+619	Yes	+$20	03-05 14:24
bitcoin above 68k on march 10	1	$588	646	0	+646	Yes	+$58	03-10 03:37
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	1	$501	521	0	+521	No	+$19	02-20 04:05
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	1	$500	538	0	+538	Yes	+$38	03-03 05:24
bitcoin above 68k on march 6	1	$500	538	0	+538	Yes	+$38	03-06 05:11
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	1	$404	413	0	+413	Yes	+$9	03-09 15:03
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	2	$203	103	103	+0	Yes	+$3	03-12 16:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$180	198	0	+198	open	—	10-11 03:25
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$169	180	0	+180	No	+$11	10-02 03:48
Will Xi leave the USA on September 25, 2026?	2	$82	43	43	+0	Yes	+$3	09-26 02:17
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	2	$82	43	43	+0	Yes	+$2	09-22 06:18
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	2	$49	48	48	+0	No	-$38	03-13 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 12:02:45	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	7,765	96¢	$7,442	0xaff98e…
10-11 03:25:38	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	198	91¢	$180	0x2082dd…
10-02 03:48:51	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x235837…
10-02 03:47:50	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xf05e8b…
10-02 03:46:23	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,635	6¢	$158	0x586c9f…
10-02 03:38:32	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	8,499	93¢	$7,932	0x5dc741…
09-26 03:09:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa22727…
09-26 03:09:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x293d55…
09-26 02:17:53	Will Xi leave the USA on September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$42	0xcc90e5…
09-25 04:16:20	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xf42a3a…
09-22 06:36:00	Will Xi leave the USA on September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xc63dfb…
09-22 06:18:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$42	0x78eb20…
07-22 06:16:19	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xe9926f…
05-18 05:44:48	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,331	96¢	$7,038	0x0a870c…
03-26 05:37:55	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,740	89¢	$3,314	0x3f359e…
03-26 05:36:41	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	261	88¢	$229	0x35c819…
03-26 05:36:21	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8,100	3¢	$230	0x2bae0e…
03-26 04:59:03	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,038	88¢	$2,674	0xf73dc1…
03-26 04:57:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	2,790	96¢	$2,672	0xc4816c…
03-22 04:07:51	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	2,790	89¢	$2,478	0xfb8501…
03-16 03:39:15	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa425e7…
03-14 14:12:17	bitcoin above 70k on march 14	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xdbf353…
03-14 02:21:19	bitcoin above 70k on march 14	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc6f991…
03-13 15:56:07	bitcoin above 72k on march 13	Yes	SELL	48	12¢	$6	0x8cf4a7…
03-13 13:31:09	bitcoin above 72k on march 13	Yes	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x8ec19b…
03-13 00:08:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,660	86¢	$1,428	0x42b52d…
03-12 23:22:03	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	472	99¢	$469	0xe32363…
03-12 16:04:23	bitcoin above 70k on march 12	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x845911…
03-12 15:54:11	bitcoin above 70k on march 12	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xfd931e…
03-12 05:25:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 12	Yes	BUY	859	86¢	$738	0x53b769…
03-11 04:06:13	bitcoin above 68k on march 11	Yes	BUY	738	88¢	$646	0x056d18…
03-10 05:05:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,364	88¢	$1,200	0x960380…
03-10 03:37:49	bitcoin above 68k on march 10	Yes	BUY	646	91¢	$588	0x721524…
03-09 15:03:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 9	Yes	BUY	413	98¢	$404	0x059d27…
03-09 10:46:29	bitcoin above 66k on march 9	Yes	BUY	674	89¢	$600	0x824cf2…
03-09 03:45:33	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x50ab74…
03-09 03:31:37	will bitcoin reach 68500 on march 8	No	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x38cb90…
03-09 02:16:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 9	Yes	BUY	701	88¢	$615	0xbcf506…
03-08 15:36:47	bitcoin above 66k on march 8	Yes	SELL	604	100¢	$602	0x2b520a…
03-08 15:35:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 8	Yes	SELL	512	100¢	$512	0x7610eb…
03-08 10:23:21	bitcoin above 66k on march 8	Yes	BUY	604	98¢	$592	0xff4991…
03-07 23:39:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 8	Yes	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x4cbd61…
03-07 13:48:05	bitcoin above 66k on march 7	Yes	BUY	1,033	97¢	$1,000	0x69b1d9…
03-07 03:46:27	bitcoin above 66k on march 7	Yes	BUY	559	96¢	$538	0x7096dd…
03-06 05:25:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	187	87¢	$163	0x045f95…
03-06 05:11:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 6	Yes	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x9319b0…
03-05 16:22:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 5	No	BUY	2,044	98¢	$2,000	0x069a72…
03-05 14:24:25	bitcoin above 70k on march 5	Yes	BUY	619	97¢	$598	0xec5a28…
03-04 15:33:01	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	Yes	SELL	519	100¢	$518	0x424dd8…
03-04 15:31:27	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	Yes	BUY	2,080	99¢	$2,058	0xc282be…
03-04 12:46:03	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	Yes	BUY	519	96¢	$500	0x099711…
03-03 16:58:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 3	Yes	BUY	2,020	99¢	$2,000	0x0a3c21…
03-03 06:00:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	841	85¢	$717	0xa748db…
03-03 05:24:53	bitcoin above 66k on march 3	Yes	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0xe9a8cf…
02-26 05:11:48	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	2,102	95¢	$2,001	0x75891b…
02-20 04:05:28	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	521	96¢	$501	0xd090dd…
02-20 04:04:22	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	592	84¢	$500	0x285e8f…
02-17 15:04:21	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	472	93¢	$439	0xd2ae5f…
02-14 03:12:05	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xd6ac6d…
02-13 04:31:37	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xafd607…
02-12 05:38:45	bitcoin above 64k on february 12	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$17	0x751428…
02-11 05:24:33	bitcoin above 64k on february 11	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x55e0d6…
02-10 04:41:31	bitcoin above 66k on february 10	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xa6166f…
02-09 05:54:19	bitcoin above 68k on february 9	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x045d4e…
01-27 14:46:17	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x3a2ae8…
01-04 06:17:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	670	87¢	$581	0x59d0c1…
01-01 14:06:47	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,231	90¢	$2,000	0x9ac327…