Each-Inlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

111

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$952

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-20 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

57% 95% +$1

Politics

23% 89% -$24

Crypto

17% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	4	$102	69	34	+35	No	+$1	09-07 15:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-14 05:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$46	25	25	+0	No	+$0	08-26 13:37
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	1	$36	38	0	+38	No	+$2	10-03 16:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$0	09-14 18:56
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	09-01 06:52
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$34	35	0	+35	Yes	+$1	09-10 00:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	09-30 22:42
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	09-28 16:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	08-08 01:56
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$31	38	0	+38	No	-$31	10-15 10:14
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$27	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	06-26 17:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$0	08-15 08:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-14 06:05
will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-01 00:34
will ethereum reach 2800 in august 2026	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	09-01 02:42
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-04 19:31
aapl above 270 on march 31 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	03-31 08:44
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	08-22 00:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	09-01 02:43
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-28 18:07
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	08-18 04:23
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	07-31 15:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-31 16:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-28 11:57
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	2	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-10 14:33
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-28 21:56
will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-25 12:26
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	08-27 14:41
will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-19 08:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 21:56:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf6c6b7…
10-15 10:14:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	38	82¢	$31	0x887af5…
10-11 19:45:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x86c319…
10-03 16:43:02	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x99d3e8…
09-30 22:42:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfa7234…
09-28 16:01:21	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb858bd…
09-26 08:15:48	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x314cd9…
09-14 18:56:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0x305b01…
09-10 19:26:45	LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa32606…
09-10 00:41:25	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xb8fa9b…
09-07 15:55:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x649b37…
09-07 14:03:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x459b84…
09-07 08:15:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xbc7dcf…
09-04 14:15:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0x581f39…
09-01 06:52:58	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x694409…
09-01 02:43:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb5a4a4…
09-01 02:42:18	will ethereum reach 2800 in august 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb88baa…
08-31 23:07:48	will ethereum reach 2800 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x201b89…
08-28 11:57:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4f7d96…
08-27 14:41:52	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb0bc7a…
08-26 16:42:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe35df7…
08-26 13:37:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x9e8211…
08-25 08:28:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xc39842…
08-24 07:14:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ba2c2…
08-23 20:59:42	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xc71afe…
08-22 00:14:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3b1f58…
08-21 22:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x16a9a1…
08-21 06:09:27	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5a4d5…
08-20 09:22:12	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe24c95…
08-18 08:24:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xd5e954…
08-18 04:23:40	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xec9ce1…
08-15 08:32:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0xc35a40…
08-14 06:05:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x60880c…
08-14 05:21:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x92bfb3…
08-11 23:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x6ceda7…
08-11 22:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc8b276…
08-11 22:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcd251f…
08-11 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb9b845…
08-11 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb31cd6…
08-11 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x972228…
08-11 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1ba082…
08-11 21:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb4f1b0…
08-11 18:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdf636d…
08-11 18:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x21e95f…
08-11 16:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x62c594…
08-10 19:15:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdfe999…
08-09 13:24:39	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0dd96…
08-08 22:57:12	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x32130c…
08-08 12:18:48	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x50ebf9…
08-08 01:56:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf1cfba…
08-07 14:48:45	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7eb50…
08-07 10:15:16	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84d697…
08-04 19:31:05	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x4cd7d4…
07-31 15:25:26	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x93b922…
07-30 12:52:54	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1293b4…
07-30 12:25:14	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xaa1c69…
07-30 10:01:47	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x37c6a9…
07-28 20:03:07	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62a75a…
07-28 05:29:09	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f1c79…
07-28 04:53:15	will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x678c0c…
07-26 02:48:58	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x65798a…
07-25 11:32:55	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x385c20…
07-25 00:02:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ba65c…
07-23 18:03:16	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e4aca…
07-23 05:26:30	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15ecfd…
07-21 22:07:40	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68e8c3…
07-01 00:34:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3f0487…
06-30 13:18:20	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x760081…
06-29 05:12:32	Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xa49a51…
06-28 21:56:50	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb18b3d…
06-28 18:07:14	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdd856c…
06-26 17:18:47	Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x66633d…
06-06 14:35:12	Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x318a19…
05-31 16:29:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfc9a14…
05-11 08:46:45	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23577b…
05-10 14:33:52	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6466a…
05-10 14:12:12	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb65593…
05-08 18:50:27	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc5667b…
05-08 15:11:33	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x12e017…
05-08 13:55:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1a515b…
05-07 09:32:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbab9ef…
05-05 15:49:10	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3f3874…
05-05 14:41:04	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6f066d…
05-05 14:26:14	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x046404…
05-05 11:18:04	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5a6d2a…
05-05 06:21:28	Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa0cce0…
04-28 22:06:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8cc062…
04-23 01:26:40	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1f200e…
04-21 12:06:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x858f55…
04-19 19:38:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x18cdc1…
04-19 13:07:14	Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7a32a6…
04-19 00:48:40	Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb52637…
04-17 10:08:54	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcf2011…
04-16 21:14:44	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $230 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9f2275…
04-16 19:04:30	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1cb719…
04-15 12:43:10	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb072d8…
04-14 11:04:31	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x08805e…
04-13 23:34:49	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xef91f6…
03-31 08:44:15	aapl above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc2939b…
03-30 22:16:35	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x367caf…