Downright-Swell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,734

lifetime

Volume

$5.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-10 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

76% — —

Other

19% — —

Sports

4% 50% $-19

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		-9	$-7	84¢	$-7	$-0	06-09 21:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$24	15	11	+4	open	—	05-27 17:59
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils	6	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-25 22:03
Kosice: Taro Daniel vs Oleg Prihodko	5	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	05-25 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	7	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-27 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-29 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	6	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-02 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-29 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-02 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-26 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	8	$20	13	8	+4	open	—	06-02 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$18	11	9	+3	open	—	06-01 13:49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 19:06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	4	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	05-25 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	5	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-29 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	06-02 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-26 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	06-01 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	5	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-26 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	06-02 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-27 13:27
Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-16 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-26 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	5	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-26 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-25 22:31
Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kessler	4	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	05-25 20:51
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 17:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	5	$14	9	6	+2	open	—	05-28 15:09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-15 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	6	$14	11	4	+7	open	—	05-25 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:54:34	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x612022…
06-10 03:24:36	btc updown 5m 1781061600	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb3bf4b…
06-10 03:14:40	btc updown 5m 1781061000	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb143f1…
06-10 02:39:40	btc updown 5m 1781058900	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe22bab…
06-10 02:39:40	btc updown 5m 1781058900	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7138e9…
06-10 02:29:37	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb5c562…
06-10 02:29:36	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc2a3b1…
06-10 02:24:43	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x338919…
06-10 02:24:42	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x96aaab…
06-10 01:37:09	btc updown 5m 1781055300	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1da049…
06-10 01:36:51	btc updown 5m 1781055300	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3bbcf1…
06-10 01:36:49	btc updown 5m 1781055300	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb6d84c…
06-10 01:36:48	btc updown 5m 1781055300	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x057f25…
06-10 00:54:36	btc updown 5m 1781052600	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4505e3…
06-10 00:24:37	btc updown 5m 1781050800	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6aa41e…
06-10 00:24:36	btc updown 5m 1781050800	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9d50f3…
06-09 23:49:48	btc updown 5m 1781048700	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb19563…
06-09 23:49:48	btc updown 5m 1781048700	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5a84c1…
06-09 23:04:40	btc updown 5m 1781046000	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0ed3b4…
06-09 22:44:42	btc updown 5m 1781044800	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x63ff3d…
06-09 22:44:42	btc updown 5m 1781044800	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x08edf8…
06-09 22:19:45	btc updown 5m 1781043300	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x63a1e5…
06-09 22:19:45	btc updown 5m 1781043300	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1b3e2b…
06-09 22:19:43	btc updown 5m 1781043300	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4b8180…
06-09 21:20:18	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xe7f735…
06-09 21:20:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x572ca5…
06-03 22:45:55	wta kawa joint 2026 06 03	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xcdaa80…
06-03 22:34:34	btc updown 5m 1780525800	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x834fe1…
06-03 22:22:43	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x29bd17…
06-03 22:21:31	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe87df1…
06-03 21:53:18	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa730fa…
06-03 21:52:34	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8373ea…
06-03 21:41:43	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x78df04…
06-03 21:13:21	btc updown 5m 1780521000	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x47f89a…
06-03 21:11:54	btc updown 5m 1780521000	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x123a55…
06-03 21:11:49	btc updown 5m 1780521000	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x43e652…
06-03 21:02:34	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0392e7…
06-03 21:02:30	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb198ad…
06-03 20:59:37	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdc6715…
06-03 20:58:28	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xe070d9…
06-03 20:56:57	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe4e589…
06-03 20:54:36	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc4caed…
06-03 20:46:09	atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x178172…
06-03 19:10:19	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x38c9ba…
06-03 19:09:27	Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic	Mia Ristic	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x7665e7…
06-03 13:17:56	Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic	Mia Ristic	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x7f31f2…
06-03 11:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x11a146…
06-03 10:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc6a980…
06-03 08:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x202f3e…
06-03 08:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x0ecf5f…
06-03 08:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x376ba6…
06-03 08:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x39cf6e…
06-03 07:17:15	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x654d45…
06-03 07:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8ba2e6…
06-03 05:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xad3e33…
06-03 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb3c169…
06-03 05:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x8f6b82…
06-03 05:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0c29b6…
06-03 05:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf5cb5a…
06-03 05:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdb13d6…
06-03 05:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe9bbdf…
06-03 05:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x24eb60…
06-03 04:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x5ce9fd…
06-03 04:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4d0894…
06-03 04:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8dabb6…
06-03 00:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xdfb89b…
06-03 00:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfbe929…
06-03 00:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9ecd08…
06-02 23:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x71b57e…
06-02 23:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcd8ab5…
06-02 22:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x55385c…
06-02 22:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xac0b6a…
06-02 22:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcbaf84…
06-02 22:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1f9aed…
06-02 21:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x36b82b…
06-02 21:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe4b0ac…
06-02 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x53969c…
06-02 21:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3c1808…
06-02 21:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc908ed…
06-02 21:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdefb80…
06-02 21:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xddc883…
06-02 20:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x810111…
06-02 20:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb17305…
06-02 20:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x803d71…
06-02 20:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcbef80…
06-02 19:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xf91c8e…
06-02 19:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x90099d…
06-02 19:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5ad937…
06-02 19:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x0fc58b…
06-02 19:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe1b595…
06-02 19:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2ab7ee…
06-02 19:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x27dc58…
06-02 19:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x594cec…
06-02 19:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x2cc3c8…
06-02 19:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd61051…
06-02 19:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb45b64…
06-02 19:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf133c9…
06-02 18:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x4177c3…
06-02 18:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x366f8b…
06-02 18:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x799504…