Downright-Swell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

1,607

Trades

4,030

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-27 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 78% -$19

Other

32% 55% -$29

Sports

4% 54% -$6

Politics

0% 71% +$5

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	4	$81	59	59	+0	Shopify Rebellion	+$1	09-25 23:40
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner	4	$66	87	64	+23	Cloud9	+$24	09-19 20:44
lol su vdn 2026 09 23	3	$47	46	31	+15	SU Esports	+$1	09-23 18:59
lol koia ktc 2026 09 20	8	$44	52	51	+1	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	+$13	09-20 13:37
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs	3	$43	63	63	+0	T1 Academy	+$9	10-02 11:41
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	2	$42	62	31	+31	Natus Vincere	+$34	09-18 15:58
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	3	$42	44	42	+2	Shopify Rebellion	+$5	09-25 21:40
lol png1 red 2026 09 20 game3	2	$41	30	25	+5	RED Canids	+$6	09-20 18:25
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner	2	$39	29	21	+7	FlyQuest	+$6	09-25 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$38	26	26	+1	Down	+$2	10-15 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$37	41	41	+0	Down	+$25	10-23 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:20 UTC	4	$36	27	27	+1	Down	+$4	10-14 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	6	$35	33	32	+1	Down	$0	10-15 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$35	55	54	+0	Down	+$23	10-25 11:23
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	2	$35	41	41	+0	G2 Esports	-$5	09-20 15:24
lol flk kwk 2026 09 25 game1	3	$31	32	23	+8	FALKE Esports	-$5	09-25 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$30	26	25	+1	Down	+$6	10-24 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$30	23	22	+1	Down	+$6	10-24 11:17
lol flk kwk 2026 09 25	11	$29	49	11	+38	Kawaii Kiwis	-$17	09-25 19:07
lol fec tos 2026 09 30	2	$29	18	18	+0	Frites Esports Club	-$1	09-30 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$29	23	23	+0	Up	+$5	10-25 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:55 UTC	3	$28	40	22	+18	Up	+$12	10-14 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	4	$28	28	28	+1	Down	+$4	10-14 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC	2	$28	19	19	+0	Down	+$4	10-14 18:41
lol aqua ckz 2026 09 21	5	$27	60	56	+4	CITA Kaizen	+$7	09-21 19:10
UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	3	$27	22	22	+0	Jai Herbert	+$9	10-11 01:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	3	$27	30	28	+2	Down	+$11	10-16 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	2	$27	29	29	+0	Down	+$3	10-14 19:00
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	4	$26	62	27	+35	MVK Esports	-$7	10-16 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	10-15 11:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x493cd0…
10-27 21:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xe4a630…
10-27 21:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3b17e1…
10-27 21:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$2	0x714822…
10-27 21:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xde8028…
10-27 21:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x41696c…
10-27 21:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x66f92a…
10-27 20:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e616c…
10-27 20:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x24329b…
10-27 20:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x49aff4…
10-27 20:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa5c4b9…
10-27 20:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbaa32b…
10-27 20:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x552d1f…
10-27 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x7413ec…
10-27 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x4e919a…
10-27 20:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x10dcac…
10-27 18:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xb47608…
10-27 18:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xb08158…
10-27 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf685fe…
10-27 18:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x74d680…
10-27 18:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd864b0…
10-27 18:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x152043…
10-27 18:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xeb3a47…
10-27 18:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xed6f77…
10-27 18:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3125d7…
10-27 18:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xeeb17f…
10-27 18:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x48c672…
10-27 17:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x8c93b7…
10-27 16:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x4644fb…
10-27 16:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3bb487…
10-27 16:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x1329bc…
10-27 16:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x83cb97…
10-27 16:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x81d0ed…
10-27 16:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xf3fd97…
10-27 16:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x76e1e2…
10-27 16:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa14c7b…
10-27 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x906edf…
10-27 14:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x51d786…
10-27 12:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x515626…
10-27 12:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	31	28¢	$9	0x88d98a…
10-27 12:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xcda453…
10-27 12:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x197666…
10-27 12:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xd0b201…
10-27 12:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe346e0…
10-27 12:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x3c5e55…
10-27 12:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xc2ad91…
10-27 12:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd669c8…
10-27 12:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xa43805…
10-27 12:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x380b4d…
10-27 12:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x307711…
10-27 12:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7da9d9…
10-27 12:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xdd854f…
10-27 12:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x652117…
10-27 12:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xdf6810…
10-27 12:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x08a829…
10-27 11:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfff370…
10-27 11:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x0d0692…
10-27 10:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0xaceaec…
10-27 10:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x68f2bb…
10-26 19:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x5ad9f4…
10-26 19:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xefdce4…
10-26 19:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x04ab44…
10-26 19:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x336283…
10-26 19:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x52ea9a…
10-26 18:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x209adb…
10-26 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5703b7…
10-26 18:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x932490…
10-26 17:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$4	0x869a0b…
10-26 17:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3c59c7…
10-26 17:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3ff941…
10-26 17:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0x9d1005…
10-26 17:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x274c60…
10-26 17:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x64b670…
10-26 17:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc41504…
10-26 17:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x7a1a38…
10-26 17:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3292d2…
10-26 17:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xb061a0…
10-26 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x88b41a…
10-26 15:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x803817…
10-26 15:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x4ee983…
10-26 15:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x2d637a…
10-26 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x9fe0d9…
10-26 15:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x27205f…
10-26 14:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xe2b956…
10-26 14:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x9e917f…
10-26 14:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0xaae140…
10-26 14:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xeea6f3…
10-26 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x42d902…
10-26 14:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x7c0988…
10-26 14:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x1fbc2d…
10-26 14:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xeb0009…
10-26 14:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xae4492…
10-26 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x8f860e…
10-26 13:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xfae842…
10-26 13:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xa472f4…
10-26 12:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x59719b…
10-26 12:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xecf23a…
10-26 12:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x13fb73…
10-26 12:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xd01d16…
10-26 12:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd0f2a7…