Quarrelsome-Calm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.40K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

842

Trades

6,135

lifetime

Volume

$82.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$151

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-27 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

78% 58% +$4,463

Crypto

18% 76% -$888

Politics

3% 79% -$124

Tech

0% 100% +$13

Sports

0% 0% -$69

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		-152	-$136	99¢	$-151	-$15	05-03 00:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$2.3K	1,615	1,615	+0	No	+$39	06-01 12:09
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	4	$1.3K	687	687	+0	No	+$68	01-02 07:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	7	$1.3K	1,919	1,919	+0	Yes	+$27	06-01 00:56
highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 21c	19	$812	1,021	263	+758	Yes	+$373	04-01 08:21
highest temperature in chongqing on april 12 2026 23c	54	$642	515	490	+25	No	-$35	04-12 08:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 28c	40	$592	556	532	+24	Yes	+$439	03-25 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	32	$554	449	516	-67	No	$0	04-28 06:07
highest temperature in ankara on march 25 2026 11c	22	$512	353	353	+0	Yes	+$21	03-25 11:44
highest temperature in lagos on april 24 2026 35c	21	$498	332	325	+7	Yes	+$151	04-24 15:33
jang dong hyeok out as people power party leader by march 31 2026	2	$482	274	274	+0	No	-$24	01-31 03:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 03:30 UTC	5	$481	470	231	+240	Down	-$286	01-15 03:44
highest temperature in chengdu on april 2 2026 21c	8	$473	296	291	+5	Yes	+$85	04-02 07:51
highest temperature in chongqing on march 28 2026 16c	8	$455	274	274	+0	Yes	+$76	03-28 09:09
highest temperature in lagos on april 23 2026 29c	38	$454	449	444	+6	Yes	+$438	04-24 00:52
highest temperature in singapore on april 7 2026 31c	16	$444	263	259	+3	Yes	+$75	04-07 09:03
highest temperature in wuhan on april 12 2026 23c	13	$425	385	372	+13	Yes	+$68	04-12 08:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$400	415	0	+415	No	+$15	01-01 15:31
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 28c	23	$399	406	398	+8	Yes	-$5	04-23 04:48
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	2	$390	210	210	+0	Yes	-$10	01-11 06:23
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 600 619	2	$383	215	215	+0	No	-$17	01-17 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 04:30 UTC	5	$382	372	370	+2	Down	-$218	01-15 04:45
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 27c	18	$374	248	243	+5	No	+$39	04-08 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 25?	40	$367	358	237	+122	No	-$71	04-25 09:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$360	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$60	05-23 03:32
bitcoin up or down january 26 9am et	5	$359	257	257	+0	Up	-$41	01-26 14:51
highest temperature in taipei on april 1 2026 22c	17	$348	229	222	+7	Yes	+$100	04-02 06:18
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 25c	16	$324	529	529	+0	Yes	+$266	03-27 14:16
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 18 2026 30c	17	$316	381	373	+8	Yes	+$20	04-18 06:10
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	3	$314	405	0	+405	Yes	-$314	01-31 16:22
will the liberal democratic party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	2	$300	340	0	+340	Yes	+$40	02-07 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 08:53:38	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	319	22¢	$69	0xa78da7…
06-11 14:02:19	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0x913ef1…
06-11 14:00:25	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 2pt5	South Africa	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0x27f476…
06-01 12:09:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	329	25¢	$84	0x510537…
06-01 00:56:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	661	23¢	$152	0xdea77e…
05-31 13:19:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x91ee0a…
05-31 13:19:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x4a0f4a…
05-30 03:40:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	77¢	$115	0xa4b4cb…
05-30 03:39:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0x96e5c3…
05-30 03:39:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0x137d1c…
05-30 03:39:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x28a4dc…
05-29 10:45:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	609	85¢	$516	0xb2b9f3…
05-29 10:18:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	627	85¢	$532	0x7dde12…
05-29 02:56:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	993	41¢	$403	0xa7c60b…
05-29 02:55:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0xfb9d7d…
05-29 02:55:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x6ba659…
05-29 02:55:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	217	41¢	$89	0x818b16…
05-29 02:54:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x020759…
05-27 11:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xc29e66…
05-27 08:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x02315b…
05-27 08:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0xf2f586…
05-27 08:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xabf100…
05-27 08:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x655f2e…
05-27 07:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0xee88d9…
05-27 07:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x5d3fe1…
05-27 07:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0xb7f99a…
05-27 07:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xfa9bc2…
05-27 07:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x7b134a…
05-27 07:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0xd7969a…
05-27 07:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x2af492…
05-27 05:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xdb380f…
05-27 05:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x482f93…
05-27 05:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x1c91fd…
05-27 05:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x192720…
05-27 05:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x05b24b…
05-27 05:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xce8db8…
05-27 05:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x13fe3f…
05-25 08:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd2b3e6…
05-25 05:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x388eec…
05-25 05:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x4cbca6…
05-25 05:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x7c3d59…
05-25 05:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x5998c1…
05-25 05:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0x5b9fac…
05-25 05:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x4e9670…
05-25 05:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	23	80¢	$18	0xef6a37…
05-24 13:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0xaafedd…
05-24 12:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xadfdbb…
05-24 12:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd1f7ed…
05-24 11:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc8f4ad…
05-24 10:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa5a190…
05-24 09:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 25?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x6fa175…
05-23 07:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0xfd5071…
05-23 07:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xe3951d…
05-23 07:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe8f1fe…
05-23 07:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x929a64…
05-23 05:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x91f519…
05-23 05:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x657744…
05-23 05:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x034404…
05-23 05:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0x1c6869…
05-23 05:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x42c5ce…
05-23 05:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb44c09…
05-23 04:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x48c1bd…
05-23 04:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0xc8ba58…
05-23 03:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x3e24fc…
05-23 03:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x312cde…
05-23 03:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xd27603…
05-23 03:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x72988b…
05-23 03:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xf71d36…
05-23 03:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xfec86a…
05-23 03:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x20c93a…
05-23 03:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xaaf33d…
05-23 03:32:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	21¢	$210	0x80e69e…
05-22 13:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x475e50…
05-22 13:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	73	35¢	$26	0xe5bbf8…
05-22 13:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x65e6d3…
05-21 14:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xdbffdd…
05-21 14:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc27e2b…
05-21 14:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1f4c7d…
05-21 14:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x65a603…
05-21 14:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe33c45…
05-21 14:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x7fa60b…
05-21 14:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xae7f05…
05-21 14:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbf0a3e…
05-21 14:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x2c9d02…
05-21 13:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc547c7…
05-16 06:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xeeeb3e…
05-16 06:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x696613…
05-16 06:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x4d4dde…
05-16 06:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0x403411…
05-16 06:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x1dd7bd…
05-16 06:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x2e4c9e…
05-16 06:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2fd60e…
05-16 06:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0xe9ccac…
05-16 06:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xb97aa1…
05-16 05:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xdc142c…
05-16 05:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x1f0fc6…
05-11 04:46:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	919	33¢	$305	0x350cde…
05-11 04:45:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0xf31a4f…
05-11 04:44:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	33¢	$332	0x5e2c60…
05-11 04:39:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	686	69¢	$473	0x3b1d1d…