Thunderous-Platelet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

491

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$52

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-22 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

90% 0% $-30

Other

10% 0% $-1

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No		+41	$37	97¢	$39	+$2	06-02 19:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		+100	$19	12¢	$12	$-6	06-01 14:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will qatar strike iran by march 31	69	$3.9K	4,090	4,508	-418	open	—	03-09 12:27
will iran strike israel on march 5	34	$2.9K	1,481	2,046	-566	open	—	03-05 14:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	15	$2.4K	1,279	1,279	+0	open	—	03-01 13:18
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	40	$2.1K	2,130	1,200	+931	open	—	03-05 05:01
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	15	$1.1K	848	492	+356	open	—	03-08 05:41
will iran strike israel on march 4	14	$1.1K	729	731	-2	open	—	03-04 22:33
will iran strike israel on march 3	9	$719	400	400	+0	open	—	03-05 01:18
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$483	390	390	+0	open	—	03-02 18:21
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	11	$436	789	0	+789	open	—	03-08 14:51
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	4	$427	300	200	+100	open	—	03-08 17:24
will iran strike israel on march 6	11	$400	1,500	113	+1,387	open	—	03-11 01:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	6	$381	200	200	+0	open	—	03-02 20:17
will iran strike nine or more countries in march	10	$342	232	232	+0	open	—	03-05 14:23
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$340	400	0	+400	open	—	06-14 21:19
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	1	$314	331	0	+331	open	—	02-28 06:54
will turkey strike iran by march 31	5	$313	350	0	+350	open	—	03-09 12:13
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$279	100	200	-100	open	—	04-23 18:08
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	11	$271	380	70	+310	open	—	03-03 18:01
will uae strike iran by march 31	13	$252	470	170	+300	open	—	03-08 18:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$248	300	0	+300	open	—	04-20 13:09
us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	6	$233	276	0	+276	open	—	03-03 13:00
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?	1	$200	414	0	+414	open	—	02-27 21:04
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 21:08
Netanyahu out by June 30?	61	$197	0	200	-200	open	—	06-01 16:24
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 18:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	1	$188	200	0	+200	open	—	04-19 20:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$179	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 16:12
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$174	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 21:07
will iran strike jordan in march 375	10	$163	250	0	+250	open	—	03-07 00:12
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	5	$155	378	300	+78	open	—	04-21 21:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 01:34:47	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	110	30¢	$33	0x812cd5…
06-21 20:07:53	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	101	25¢	$25	0xe439b8…
06-14 21:19:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x9f3717…
06-13 12:00:33	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xcced5d…
06-13 11:43:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x640200…
06-13 11:33:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x64acf3…
06-02 19:27:38	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xddb85e…
06-01 18:35:01	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x0c20f9…
06-01 16:24:25	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0bff47…
06-01 16:24:23	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa6378b…
06-01 16:24:23	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3367b4…
06-01 16:24:21	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5e44b9…
06-01 16:24:18	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xecea5c…
06-01 16:24:13	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe371e5…
06-01 16:24:13	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5176bf…
06-01 16:24:11	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x39f6f3…
06-01 16:24:11	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x314714…
06-01 16:24:07	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x79f312…
06-01 16:24:00	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4aadf7…
06-01 16:23:59	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x961f13…
06-01 16:23:59	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x906f50…
06-01 16:23:57	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x62c7a0…
06-01 16:23:55	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6d9903…
06-01 16:23:52	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb17662…
06-01 16:23:52	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x483aa9…
06-01 16:23:52	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2f5f53…
06-01 16:23:48	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x131455…
06-01 16:23:46	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1ece8e…
06-01 16:23:45	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x302392…
06-01 16:23:43	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf83de0…
06-01 16:23:43	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcfd073…
06-01 16:23:39	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x840227…
06-01 16:23:38	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x02d325…
06-01 16:23:36	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x580e88…
06-01 16:23:36	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0df96f…
06-01 16:23:32	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x509d47…
06-01 16:23:31	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x95516f…
06-01 16:23:29	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0616d8…
06-01 16:23:27	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc2e239…
06-01 16:23:25	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc114cc…
06-01 16:23:25	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x832948…
06-01 16:23:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeacf49…
06-01 16:23:20	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce5a07…
06-01 16:23:20	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x63d5b5…
06-01 16:23:18	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2f6118…
06-01 16:23:17	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8019ac…
06-01 16:23:13	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x915db4…
06-01 16:23:10	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd06f02…
06-01 16:23:08	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x217e4a…
06-01 16:23:06	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5e5d1b…
06-01 16:23:04	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe2d2be…
06-01 16:23:04	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb85abd…
06-01 16:23:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x409d8d…
06-01 16:23:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1a701f…
06-01 16:22:59	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2075d3…
06-01 16:22:57	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x816947…
06-01 16:22:56	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x06b833…
06-01 16:22:54	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc0dedd…
06-01 16:22:52	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcfeec7…
06-01 16:22:52	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4d08e1…
06-01 16:22:49	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3041d1…
06-01 16:22:47	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x062937…
06-01 16:22:45	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3701dd…
06-01 16:22:45	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0a40b5…
06-01 16:22:43	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdaf8a6…
06-01 16:16:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf5c0e2…
06-01 16:16:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x90e544…
06-01 16:16:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x0b88bc…
06-01 16:16:20	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xeb4d15…
06-01 14:54:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x78cf88…
05-18 18:03:25	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x2d3fd7…
05-10 16:16:20	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xb308eb…
05-10 12:50:22	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x855ad1…
05-10 11:26:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0c3e76…
05-07 13:32:33	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xf8ed93…
05-07 12:32:14	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0xc6613b…
04-25 16:00:14	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	190	19¢	$36	0xe70cd5…
04-23 20:28:06	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0xfb5eab…
04-23 18:08:06	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x58855c…
04-23 12:06:58	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x8dd61b…
04-23 09:01:26	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0x77cbfc…
04-22 11:48:26	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	77	42¢	$33	0x6cfe2f…
04-22 11:46:24	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcff27e…
04-22 11:46:00	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfa3c61…
04-22 11:45:38	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x867bb4…
04-22 11:45:16	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x62a80e…
04-22 10:40:18	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x3a94cc…
04-22 09:27:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	105	8¢	$8	0x3b0512…
04-22 06:04:16	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc15cec…
04-22 02:41:24	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	BUY	73	12¢	$9	0xe198f6…
04-21 23:00:28	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x71ff5b…
04-21 21:48:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x735847…
04-21 21:32:04	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	7¢	$5	0xedc731…
04-21 21:11:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x39db84…
04-21 21:08:20	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xbcb076…
04-21 21:07:18	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x5ab6a1…
04-21 21:05:16	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfe875a…
04-21 19:42:50	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0xbf557b…
04-21 19:42:48	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xc86474…
04-21 12:45:18	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xa3b5fb…