Quixotic-Crib — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

883

Trades

1,064

lifetime

Volume

$2.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-25 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 95% +$5

Politics

2% 100% +$4

Other

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	04-20 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	05-05 18:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-20 16:00 UTC	2	$31	18	17	+0	Up	+$2	04-20 19:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:05 UTC	3	$25	29	0	+29	Up	+$4	04-20 19:09
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$21	13	13	+0	No	+$1	04-21 22:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	04-14 23:12
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$2	04-23 02:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 19:15 UTC	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	04-20 19:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 22:30 UTC	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	04-20 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	04-30 23:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:45 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	-$10	04-20 18:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-02 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-02 18:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-02 00:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-02 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-03 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	04-30 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-02 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-03 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	04-30 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	04-30 10:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-02 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-02 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 21:42
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	04-27 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-02 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-02 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 22:44:35	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7b836a…
05-08 15:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1d48cf…
05-08 03:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb8d8c0…
05-05 18:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb04204…
05-05 11:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x345661…
05-05 10:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x54522a…
05-05 10:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe84e90…
05-05 09:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x275904…
05-05 08:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc67b27…
05-05 08:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc85575…
05-05 07:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x415dd1…
05-05 07:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x11769b…
05-05 06:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x1b2bcc…
05-05 06:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2cb564…
05-05 05:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x5d471e…
05-05 02:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7f9c5c…
05-05 02:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb83c35…
05-05 01:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa024eb…
05-05 01:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa68b40…
05-05 00:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb4e931…
05-05 00:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe9330d…
05-05 00:16:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2e001b…
05-04 22:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x7700bc…
05-04 22:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x78145d…
05-04 20:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x742eb6…
05-04 20:52:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2d6010…
05-04 19:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb60ece…
05-04 19:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xc38649…
05-04 18:24:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x44bf51…
05-04 16:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x867b6c…
05-04 16:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2184f8…
05-04 15:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x70f844…
05-04 14:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x54e689…
05-04 13:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x386be2…
05-04 13:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xca77d3…
05-04 13:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xb78ecd…
05-04 12:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x20cc3a…
05-04 12:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x03e3cd…
05-04 09:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x709f0c…
05-04 08:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x3aba99…
05-04 08:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xfd4627…
05-04 07:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd6a38a…
05-04 07:52:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xfb6386…
05-04 06:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x468859…
05-04 05:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xef789b…
05-04 04:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe085bd…
05-04 03:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xa2fb84…
05-04 03:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1c825e…
05-04 02:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x71cd9a…
05-04 01:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1e6acb…
05-04 01:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x58193d…
05-04 00:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x603826…
05-04 00:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xa6e045…
05-03 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x619672…
05-03 23:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd5e9bd…
05-03 23:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x010ccd…
05-03 21:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1dc44e…
05-03 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe99fef…
05-03 20:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4fcbcb…
05-03 19:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x2a4658…
05-03 18:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x5f6ad0…
05-03 18:00:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x820005…
05-03 18:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x60c4d5…
05-03 17:54:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xc847a7…
05-03 17:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xbd2766…
05-03 16:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xe186bb…
05-03 16:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf5d111…
05-03 16:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x27ad36…
05-03 16:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x817beb…
05-03 15:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x308f0e…
05-03 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xf94bf6…
05-03 14:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd9168e…
05-03 14:31:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xadf91e…
05-03 14:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x649987…
05-03 13:58:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe2c17b…
05-03 13:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8c587d…
05-03 13:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x91485e…
05-03 13:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2d6f98…
05-03 13:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9b6b8d…
05-03 13:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea5e2b…
05-03 13:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfa6dfe…
05-03 13:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb69166…
05-03 12:57:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb4a423…
05-03 12:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x988530…
05-03 12:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86eb94…
05-03 12:28:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9c18f1…
05-03 12:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0739a…
05-03 12:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd9bc87…
05-03 11:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x426943…
05-03 11:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38d224…
05-03 11:28:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37ca15…
05-03 11:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x737694…
05-03 10:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e305e…
05-03 10:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb525bd…
05-03 10:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xddfb69…
05-03 10:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf5b6cb…
05-03 10:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb9544c…
05-03 09:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x876946…
05-03 09:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b095c…
05-03 09:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7cdd12…