Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$1,201
$13,948 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-04 20:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-28.2¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $353
vs crowd: 30% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $203 | $588 | $385 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $121 | $164 | $43 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $7 | $346 | $339 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $229 | $370 | $140 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
| Median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $64 | $21 | +$43 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $12 | $2 | +$9 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +676 | $342 | $342 | 3 | 05-04 20:00 |
| Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | +477 | $246 | $246 | 4 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | +368 | $200 | $200 | 3 | 05-04 20:49 |
| Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | +197 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Wee-Playroom 0xf247…5216 | Down | +93 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 05-04 20:00 |
| Natural-Dragonfly 0x00f8…153b | Up | +90 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-04 20:24 |
| Playful-Survivor 0x805b…ee0c | Up | +50 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Courteous-Shampoo 0x4b56…8173 | Up | +47 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| Sorrowful-Software 0x93b1…746e | Down | +40 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9a1…393a | Up | +34 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Composed-Province 0xfacc…4d07 | Down | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Hateful-Tract 0xaa57…8f53 | Up | +25 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2301…61b8 | Up | +22 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-04 20:03 |
| Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Firm-Roller 0x3a89…2d29 | Down | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 20:24 |
| Solid-Noise 0xd871…e4dd | Up | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9a1…393a | Down | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Up | +9 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-04 20:09 |
| Bewitched-Mortal 0xaee7…d492 | Down | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 20:05 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Down | +6 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Sour-Steak 0x2996…fd9d | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Crushing-Fugato 0xe386…4d91 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Wise-Sentencing 0x30a5…da65 | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 20:03 |
| Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Elderly-Loggia 0x6368…eea5 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x74d5…d498 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b2f…d29e | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a5a…f931 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:00 |
| Considerate-Racer 0xe28f…a9b0 | Down | +2 | $2 | $12 | 2 | 05-04 20:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 20:49:48 | Solid-Noise 0xd871…e4dd | Up | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3e9c03… |
| 05-04 20:49:32 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6c21e8… |
| 05-04 20:39:46 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xb360cf… |
| 05-04 20:39:36 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | BUY | 197 | 6¢ | $12 | 0xff3195… |
| 05-04 20:39:34 | Composed-Province 0xfacc…4d07 | Down | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x84767c… |
| 05-04 20:29:30 | Considerate-Racer 0xe28f…a9b0 | Down | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x43128b… |
| 05-04 20:24:34 | Considerate-Racer 0xe28f…a9b0 | Up | SELL | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xda49de… |
| 05-04 20:24:34 | Firm-Roller 0x3a89…2d29 | Down | BUY | 14 | 72¢ | $10 | 0x8a59c7… |
| 05-04 20:24:32 | Natural-Dragonfly 0x00f8…153b | Up | BUY | 90 | 29¢ | $26 | 0x44cc50… |
| 05-04 20:19:48 | Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Down | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xfd9763… |
| 05-04 20:19:48 | Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Down | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xc6a7f0… |
| 05-04 20:19:48 | Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Down | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xff4637… |
| 05-04 20:19:48 | Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Down | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x53346f… |
| 05-04 20:19:46 | Considerate-Racer 0xe28f…a9b0 | Down | SELL | 8 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x1f3d95… |
| 05-04 20:19:42 | Playful-Survivor 0x805b…ee0c | Up | BUY | 25 | 31¢ | $8 | 0xdf932e… |
| 05-04 20:19:40 | Playful-Survivor 0x805b…ee0c | Up | BUY | 25 | 32¢ | $8 | 0x26093e… |
| 05-04 20:19:40 | Severe-Uplift 0x287f…5ec5 | Down | SELL | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xe41726… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | SELL | 118 | 68¢ | $80 | 0xd24116… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x6fc982… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x0573ce… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Sorrowful-Software 0x93b1…746e | Down | BUY | 40 | 69¢ | $27 | 0x372e1a… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | BUY | 101 | 68¢ | $69 | 0xd39c08… |
| 05-04 20:19:30 | Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Down | BUY | 4 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x7c99a6… |
| 05-04 20:19:24 | Sour-Steak 0x2996…fd9d | Up | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x8bd322… |
| 05-04 20:14:38 | (anonymous) 0xe9a1…393a | Up | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xba4c44… |
| 05-04 20:14:32 | (anonymous) 0xe9a1…393a | Down | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x1931f0… |
| 05-04 20:14:30 | (anonymous) 0x74d5…d498 | Down | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xabe61c… |
| 05-04 20:14:30 | (anonymous) 0xe9a1…393a | Up | BUY | 29 | 51¢ | $15 | 0x9ba68c… |
| 05-04 20:14:30 | Crushing-Fugato 0xe386…4d91 | Down | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x28fb94… |
| 05-04 20:14:30 | Severe-Uplift 0x287f…5ec5 | Down | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x1c6334… |
| 05-04 20:14:30 | (anonymous) 0x5b2f…d29e | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x25fa66… |
| 05-04 20:14:28 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 313 | 56¢ | $174 | 0x2ff8b3… |
| 05-04 20:14:28 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 45 | 57¢ | $26 | 0x0cdd66… |
| 05-04 20:14:26 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xc4333d… |
| 05-04 20:09:38 | Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Up | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xff1b39… |
| 05-04 20:09:38 | Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Up | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xebe7ec… |
| 05-04 20:09:38 | Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Up | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xa3cc39… |
| 05-04 20:09:38 | Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c | Up | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xda8b4a… |
| 05-04 20:09:36 | Elderly-Loggia 0x6368…eea5 | Down | BUY | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0xf7de4c… |
| 05-04 20:05:42 | Bewitched-Mortal 0xaee7…d492 | Down | BUY | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0xf7d68a… |
| 05-04 20:03:56 | Wise-Sentencing 0x30a5…da65 | Down | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xcb245b… |
| 05-04 20:03:48 | (anonymous) 0x2301…61b8 | Up | BUY | 22 | 47¢ | $11 | 0x091bc1… |
| 05-04 20:02:24 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | SELL | 20 | 57¢ | $11 | 0x8ffe20… |
| 05-04 20:01:22 | Hateful-Tract 0xaa57…8f53 | Up | BUY | 25 | 43¢ | $11 | 0x768402… |
| 05-04 20:01:04 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | SELL | 42 | 57¢ | $24 | 0x0bded5… |
| 05-04 20:01:02 | Courteous-Shampoo 0x4b56…8173 | Up | BUY | 47 | 43¢ | $20 | 0x46a368… |
| 05-04 20:00:18 | (anonymous) 0x8a5a…f931 | Down | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x5620ac… |
| 05-04 20:00:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x17ef57… |
| 05-04 20:00:12 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 656 | 51¢ | $331 | 0xeb72fa… |
| 05-04 20:00:12 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 15 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xd94c0e… |
| 05-04 20:00:12 | Wee-Playroom 0xf247…5216 | Down | BUY | 52 | 50¢ | $26 | 0xe4d50b… |
| 05-04 20:00:10 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | BUY | 56 | 46¢ | $26 | 0x9b777c… |
| 05-04 20:00:10 | Wee-Playroom 0xf247…5216 | Down | BUY | 41 | 46¢ | $19 | 0xbfc7dc… |
| 05-04 20:00:10 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | BUY | 300 | 46¢ | $138 | 0xbac04b… |