Grounded-Flame — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$189

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

315

Trades

506

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-05 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 45% +$156

Other

44% 45% +$96

Sports

4% 50% -$63

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal sev mad 2026 04 11 mad	11	$831	892	726	+166	No	-$46	04-11 09:09
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$305	306	202	+104	Yes	+$27	03-30 03:19
uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 swe	3	$266	301	150	+150	Yes	-$89	03-26 09:34
bra2 ath afc 2026 04 05 ath	4	$248	414	0	+414	No	+$165	04-05 08:40
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$244	150	150	+0	No	-$9	03-27 23:05
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 1AM ET	2	$230	244	0	+244	Up	+$13	04-26 05:41
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 5pm et	10	$206	442	83	+359	Down	-$82	04-09 21:39
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season	6	$194	247	0	+247	Dorado Gaming	+$52	04-24 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?	3	$190	204	0	+204	No	+$14	05-01 02:18
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$189	100	100	+0	No	-$1	04-06 10:07
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 8am et	4	$186	341	0	+341	Up	-$16	04-09 12:56
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 8pm et	1	$181	197	0	+197	Down	+$16	04-14 00:50
ethereum up or down april 13 2026 9pm et	1	$177	194	0	+194	Up	+$17	04-14 01:47
ethereum up or down april 4 2026 6am et	4	$172	132	128	+4	Up	+$22	04-04 10:25
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 1pm et	2	$170	126	123	+3	Up	+$6	04-14 17:52
lol hle1 gen 2026 04 18	2	$169	126	125	+2	Hanwha Life Esports	+$19	04-18 09:30
ethereum up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	9	$169	480	18	+462	Down	+$228	04-09 22:50
lol dkc genga 2026 03 31	2	$154	111	110	+1	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$1	03-31 08:38
bnb up or down april 18 2026 8am et	2	$142	256	0	+256	Up	+$114	04-18 12:05
bitcoin above 66k on april 1	2	$137	104	102	+2	Yes	$0	03-31 11:18
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 1pm et	3	$131	203	0	+203	Up	+$71	04-08 17:16
bnb up or down april 12 2026 6pm et	1	$131	174	0	+174	Down	+$44	04-12 22:01
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 9am et	3	$124	129	45	+84	Down	+$29	04-09 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$122	167	0	+167	Down	+$45	04-27 06:36
nhl lak van 2026 04 14	1	$122	202	0	+202	Canucks	-$122	04-14 02:30
bnb up or down april 4 2026 2pm et	1	$121	208	0	+208	Up	+$87	04-04 18:01
nhl tor nyi 2026 04 09	2	$119	95	95	+0	Islanders	+$15	04-09 22:28
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	2	$119	127	0	+127	Down	-$119	04-09 22:21
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	1	$118	122	0	+122	Up	+$4	04-14 13:42
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 5am et	1	$118	122	0	+122	Down	+$4	04-15 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 11:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xb34021…
05-05 10:38:18	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	49	74¢	$36	0xcdc603…
05-05 10:36:52	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	34	25¢	$8	0xd74c14…
05-05 10:00:00	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x44e847…
05-05 09:58:18	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x350e5e…
05-05 09:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x2bf42d…
05-05 08:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x67657f…
05-05 07:37:30	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0xb14758…
05-05 07:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x81cba4…
05-05 07:19:34	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xdea998…
05-05 06:37:18	Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	Grind Back	BUY	54	36¢	$19	0x746450…
05-05 06:10:02	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x19165f…
05-05 04:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xa32051…
05-04 23:56:16	BNB Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	109	29¢	$32	0xc82309…
05-04 20:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x35d09c…
05-04 20:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0xe3c64c…
05-04 20:30:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	143	10¢	$14	0x115673…
05-04 20:27:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	146	13¢	$19	0x5bc031…
05-04 20:23:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x52729e…
05-04 20:10:10	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x47d647…
05-04 20:08:32	LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Shifters	BUY	102	18¢	$18	0xd10844…
05-04 14:15:08	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x2062e3…
05-04 14:09:32	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0x449426…
05-04 13:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x3f2219…
05-04 13:56:30	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x1baa26…
05-04 13:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	85	25¢	$21	0xdede98…
05-04 10:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	91	68¢	$62	0xc70b33…
05-04 10:34:56	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0x53974e…
05-04 10:07:22	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x267630…
05-04 09:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x382fd1…
05-04 08:41:10	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x36e62a…
05-04 08:37:00	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xaf35ec…
05-04 03:37:02	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	63	41¢	$26	0x39b4da…
05-04 01:31:42	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0xbf90df…
05-04 00:59:50	BNB Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0xb8d54e…
05-04 00:59:46	BNB Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xa2105b…
05-04 00:56:24	BNB Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	66	13¢	$9	0xbc6271…
05-04 00:23:20	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xe2eba6…
05-03 22:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x78ed4c…
05-03 22:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xd4e247…
05-03 21:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x30b163…
05-03 08:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x97a577…
05-02 22:09:08	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0x160bca…
05-02 22:09:06	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	83	58¢	$48	0x672def…
05-02 15:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	43¢	$16	0x985b85…
05-02 15:04:18	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	62	46¢	$28	0x1f987c…
05-02 02:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$9	0xbe870a…
05-01 23:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xdcabdd…
05-01 10:59:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x1ed544…
05-01 02:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?	No	BUY	99	93¢	$92	0xbd9bcb…
05-01 02:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x8f9855…
04-30 23:59:52	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x369910…
04-30 23:58:38	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x43d1f4…
04-30 23:57:38	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xd4c0f3…
04-30 23:55:16	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xa918aa…
04-30 19:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	115	27¢	$31	0x2a7270…
04-30 16:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xe5e492…
04-30 16:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?	No	BUY	101	94¢	$94	0x9c0640…
04-30 16:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x7d266e…
04-30 11:45:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x719d53…
04-30 08:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	137	59¢	$81	0x3d9ed2…
04-29 22:56:22	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xba1ff1…
04-29 22:46:56	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	51	25¢	$13	0x32c284…
04-29 18:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	55	61¢	$34	0xef59ff…
04-29 13:45:38	Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs	Zero Tenacity	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0xd61777…
04-29 13:31:36	Will Google reach $355 in April?	Yes	BUY	135	66¢	$89	0xda45f5…
04-29 12:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	157	6¢	$9	0x7fdf3e…
04-29 12:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x229bde…
04-29 09:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	136	5¢	$7	0x712905…
04-29 09:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x3ba296…
04-29 07:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	82	28¢	$23	0x55aec7…
04-29 07:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	120	26¢	$31	0xa5f9ec…
04-29 07:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	140	27¢	$38	0xd1b266…
04-29 07:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	145	28¢	$41	0x542da2…
04-29 05:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	142	26¢	$37	0x65b818…
04-28 18:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7ae3b8…
04-28 16:08:46	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Galions	BUY	95	8¢	$7	0x96c929…
04-28 15:54:06	BNB Up or Down - April 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	56	60¢	$33	0x232e4e…
04-28 14:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xabd17c…
04-28 14:16:28	BNB Up or Down - April 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	46	74¢	$34	0xbeee22…
04-27 22:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb769d6…
04-27 22:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	167	41¢	$68	0xe52764…
04-27 16:45:44	Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage	MOUZ NXT	BUY	165	52¢	$86	0x0c432e…
04-27 13:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x005376…
04-27 07:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xb2bb26…
04-27 07:34:38	BNB Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x8987a8…
04-27 06:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	167	73¢	$122	0x816bff…
04-27 06:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xd43a06…
04-27 06:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	71¢	$26	0xd74e3f…
04-27 05:15:50	BNB Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x95f3cf…
04-27 05:15:50	BNB Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x158d3e…
04-27 04:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x57d155…
04-27 02:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	118	20¢	$24	0xb7329f…
04-27 02:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x18034d…
04-27 02:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x0af4e5…
04-27 02:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xf35918…
04-27 02:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x99f21d…
04-27 02:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd2e70a…
04-27 02:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x043817…
04-27 02:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xae645f…