Selfish-Threshold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$56.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$770

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-24 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$9,570

Politics

3% 0% -$1,500

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	49	$32.0K	19,315	19,315	+0	No	+$6,218	04-27 04:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$22.4K	15,386	15,386	+0	No	+$3,352	03-04 18:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,000,000	0	+1,000,000	Yes	-$1,000	05-09 08:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$500	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	-$500	05-09 07:59
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$244	174	174	+0	open	—	07-24 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 13:54:43	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	85¢	$148	0x8e02ed…
05-09 08:33:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500,000	0¢	$500	0x220968…
05-09 08:10:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500,000	0¢	$500	0xbde7a8…
05-09 07:59:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50,000	1¢	$500	0xb86a2e…
05-07 18:49:17	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	55¢	$41	0x68c57c…
05-07 18:34:47	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x950b67…
04-27 04:08:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	14,723	99¢	$14,575	0x4ca2ce…
04-27 02:59:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	4,592	99¢	$4,546	0xe9a43f…
03-23 11:16:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	12,871	69¢	$8,881	0x722c7d…
03-23 10:59:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xdf1348…
03-23 10:59:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x7a303b…
03-23 10:58:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xb8aa21…
03-23 10:58:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xe7fa9b…
03-23 10:56:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	103	62¢	$64	0x560de2…
03-23 10:55:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x87f446…
03-23 10:55:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xe0e962…
03-23 10:52:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xdeb458…
03-23 10:51:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xdf35ee…
03-23 10:51:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x7d17b7…
03-23 10:51:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x122d1b…
03-23 10:51:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xa53cce…
03-23 10:45:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xdd9531…
03-23 10:45:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xb56840…
03-23 10:36:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x78bb0f…
03-23 10:36:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x6e6e33…
03-23 10:34:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x8d5424…
03-23 10:34:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x000c26…
03-23 10:31:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	76	62¢	$47	0xe54672…
03-23 10:27:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x534284…
03-23 10:25:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xe7a787…
03-23 10:24:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	419	62¢	$260	0xa83861…
03-23 10:22:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc700a9…
03-23 10:22:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x429457…
03-23 10:22:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xc5c844…
03-23 10:13:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xab9a98…
03-23 10:13:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x523f82…
03-23 10:05:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7f0134…
03-23 10:04:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xd86c92…
03-23 10:00:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x00ee6f…
03-23 09:51:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7e8a57…
03-23 09:43:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xe0c0ea…
03-23 09:43:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xcb87bc…
03-23 09:43:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x70462b…
03-23 09:38:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xe7515c…
03-23 09:37:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	2,632	62¢	$1,632	0xd16e7f…
03-23 09:37:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x140b58…
03-23 09:37:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x702eb2…
03-23 09:37:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	470	63¢	$296	0x65d415…
03-23 09:33:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	263	62¢	$163	0xac49bc…
03-23 09:30:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x8fc4fb…
03-23 09:26:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x114a1a…
03-23 09:26:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x03838a…
03-23 09:23:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x8565c8…
03-23 09:19:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	2,283	63¢	$1,438	0x34d717…
03-23 09:19:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x254026…
03-04 18:02:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	15,386	84¢	$12,892	0x2a3063…
02-28 20:32:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6,561	62¢	$4,068	0x1b632d…
02-28 20:32:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	80	62¢	$49	0x590b66…
02-28 20:32:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	263	62¢	$163	0x7f1298…
02-28 20:32:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2231fb…
02-28 20:32:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x739f75…
02-28 20:32:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x921eed…
02-28 20:31:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe72be5…
02-28 20:31:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0xcc660d…
02-28 20:31:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0xdd8aa1…
02-28 20:31:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,018	62¢	$631	0x4398bb…
02-28 20:31:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0x4fc54b…
02-28 20:31:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,988	62¢	$1,232	0xcb7302…
02-28 20:31:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	263	62¢	$163	0x88639d…
02-28 20:31:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	86	62¢	$54	0x04957c…
02-28 20:31:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,959	62¢	$1,214	0xf671ba…
02-28 20:30:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,023	62¢	$634	0x1d4804…
02-28 20:30:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x162005…