Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

288

Trades

645

lifetime

Volume

$4.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-17 12:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

49% 42% +$86

Politics

39% 51% -$43

Crypto

7% 41% -$14

Tech

3% 29% -$21

Sports

1% 33% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	8	$90	161	161	+0	Yes	+$14	05-27 14:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	8	$77	227	227	+0	No	-$29	07-13 11:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$68	70	70	+0	Yes	-$2	05-27 00:53
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	8	$67	381	237	+144	No	+$17	07-06 13:39
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	6	$66	68	64	+4	Yes	+$29	07-14 17:43
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	3	$66	48	48	+0	Yes	-$12	07-20 13:58
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$64	40	40	+0	Yes	+$7	05-15 02:54
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	11	$63	154	154	+1	No	+$7	06-25 23:00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	7	$62	222	222	+1	Yes	+$17	07-07 14:41
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	6	$56	143	143	+0	No	+$21	06-03 14:37
iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	5	$56	78	77	+1	Yes	-$5	07-25 17:47
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$54	30	30	+0	Yes	+$6	04-15 13:51
will wti reach 80 by july 13 2026	3	$53	57	57	+0	Yes	+$33	07-14 00:24
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	5	$53	105	105	+0	No	+$8	07-29 10:27
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	6	$53	60	44	+16	Yes	+$20	07-10 12:09
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$52	43	43	+0	No	-$7	05-27 00:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$52	78	78	+0	Yes	-$6	06-13 23:43
Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?	4	$51	61	61	+0	No	+$4	06-06 12:32
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	6	$51	76	22	+53	Yes	-$29	07-23 02:29
iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	4	$50	98	50	+48	No	-$7	07-25 10:31
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$50	102	101	+1	No	-$7	06-21 23:09
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	4	$49	127	127	+0	Yes	-$8	07-08 03:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$49	50	50	+0	No	+$19	07-21 06:15
will tisza win at least 130 seats	1	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	04-12 21:49
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	7	$47	180	153	+27	No	+$20	07-08 14:47
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?	3	$47	32	32	+0	No	+$14	07-20 13:45
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$45	333	333	+0	No	+$33	04-12 20:36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	4	$44	76	76	+0	No	+$17	07-08 20:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	5	$43	43	43	+0	No	+$4	06-19 17:45
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	5	$42	52	50	+2	Yes	+$17	07-22 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 12:34:10	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 19?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x2b287c…
09-17 12:34:09	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x8a0a9a…
09-17 12:33:52	Will CDU win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xae50b7…
09-17 12:33:49	Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x3aa6fe…
09-17 12:33:46	Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x00c775…
09-17 12:33:43	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x551531…
09-17 12:33:22	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x30def3…
09-17 12:33:19	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0xbffd3b…
09-17 12:33:16	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	53¢	$16	0x70d27a…
09-17 08:12:57	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 19?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x151513…
09-17 07:25:51	Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x04fcc5…
09-17 06:48:57	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xb27e3a…
09-17 06:48:45	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x4aeed5…
09-17 06:48:30	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xc66870…
09-17 05:17:16	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	SELL	14	38¢	$6	0x4059c8…
09-16 22:50:27	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x0d0918…
09-16 19:26:58	Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xd20e3b…
09-16 18:28:18	Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x8b7f77…
09-16 18:28:16	Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x1ad3f9…
09-16 18:28:13	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xefb330…
09-16 18:26:57	Will CDU win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x93608e…
09-16 18:14:25	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x839931…
09-16 01:11:55	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x844fc8…
09-15 19:50:57	Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x69ce7d…
09-15 12:45:09	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xdc4fdb…
09-15 12:45:06	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xda6c17…
09-15 12:45:04	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xc7c573…
09-15 12:37:28	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xbf7b43…
09-15 12:14:55	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x5bdd32…
09-15 12:08:46	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x1720b7…
09-14 14:55:52	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x137db7…
09-14 14:33:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x908b78…
09-14 14:16:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9bec6e…
09-14 11:37:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x2602c1…
09-14 10:16:40	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x641c39…
09-14 10:16:27	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x8516b8…
09-14 00:23:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8340ff…
09-14 00:23:21	will bitcoin dip to 76k on september 13 2026	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x9979de…
09-12 05:56:19	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0xe83689…
09-11 14:57:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xfb6289…
09-11 09:27:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x190aff…
09-11 09:00:21	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x08cb9a…
09-10 14:10:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x941c53…
09-10 14:10:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xf95f7e…
09-10 02:52:39	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x8e234f…
09-10 00:37:54	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xb861b0…
09-09 17:52:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x79ce36…
09-09 17:23:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0265d1…
09-09 16:09:34	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x0bb22d…
09-09 15:55:25	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x8db3a1…
09-06 23:27:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7425fd…
09-05 12:35:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x4b0702…
09-04 17:05:13	will russia target kyiv on september 6 2026	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x416354…
09-04 16:02:24	will russia target kyiv on september 6 2026	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x6b3fd4…
09-03 14:52:57	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x64288b…
09-03 13:51:25	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x50e02f…
09-02 12:39:45	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x00b146…
09-02 11:25:18	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x0d260b…
09-02 10:02:36	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x0a1dc4…
09-02 09:39:22	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x86ffe6…
09-02 09:27:25	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x5c4016…
09-02 07:39:40	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xa36ae0…
09-02 06:06:22	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x534e2c…
09-02 05:46:52	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xff48ab…
09-02 04:56:58	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x97842b…
09-01 16:41:43	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x0770eb…
09-01 16:36:33	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x597729…
09-01 12:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x4cfb10…
09-01 11:24:19	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x242980…
09-01 09:59:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x53e943…
09-01 05:26:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc9396d…
08-30 22:51:01	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 9 2026	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x5d4b67…
08-30 22:37:13	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0xf82a06…
08-30 22:25:34	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xe3ab83…
08-30 21:36:07	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xbecf62…
08-30 21:07:25	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 9 2026	Yes	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0x31a3f4…
08-30 20:23:36	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x0c19c0…
08-30 20:23:33	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xe31b27…
08-30 20:23:28	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x275e7a…
08-30 13:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x9147ca…
08-30 13:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0xd5deb8…
08-30 13:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0xa24dfd…
08-30 13:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x6f52aa…
08-30 13:10:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x381831…
08-30 13:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x67cb92…
08-30 13:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0xb5a331…
08-30 13:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x8272a6…
08-30 12:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	32	8¢	$2	0x4f3159…
08-30 12:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0x58d518…
08-29 23:36:01	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	27	38¢	$10	0x3f5115…
08-29 22:21:48	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	27	31¢	$8	0x43932b…
08-29 21:40:25	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x30bf95…
08-29 05:52:04	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x42fff9…
08-29 05:06:15	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x51a6e5…
08-29 04:03:09	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x114b6f…
08-28 22:21:16	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x8716a7…
08-28 22:03:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	9¢	$3	0xe17702…
08-28 16:43:57	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xfd334b…
08-28 16:43:54	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x6b95dc…
08-28 16:43:52	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x2f2a9b…