Decent-Restriction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.97K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

29,918

Trades

119,910

lifetime

Volume

$942.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$431

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-27 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 48% +$16,859

Other

40% 52% -$9,637

Sports

3% 53% -$912

Politics

2% 53% -$329

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 2821 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No		+450	$278	54¢	$245	-$32	10-10 11:31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Under		+150	$82	64¢	$97	+$14	10-10 11:31
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+150	$48	32¢	$47	-$1	10-10 11:31
Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics		+44	$36	82¢	$36	$0	10-27 09:28
Will Newcastle United Jets win on 2026-10-27?	No	—	+5	$4	100¢	$5	+$1	10-26 23:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	26	$11.4K	6,337	6,337	+0	Yes	+$87	02-03 03:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$9.8K	5,037	5,037	+0	Yes	-$43	02-05 03:09
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	12	$4.7K	3,038	3,038	+0	Yes	+$634	02-12 01:26
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	2	$4.0K	2,031	2,031	+0	Yes	+$27	02-03 03:58
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$3.8K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	+$801	07-19 22:49
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 165 189	18	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$328	01-24 17:26
fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	4	$2.8K	6,400	0	+6,400	Over	-$2,780	06-28 01:35
fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	6	$2.8K	12,000	0	+12,000	Over	-$2,765	06-28 01:33
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.7K	4,600	1,771	+2,829	No	+$1,791	07-18 20:27
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	3	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Under	+$1,348	07-04 00:03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	3	$2.6K	4,600	0	+4,600	No	-$2,600	07-03 23:56
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$2.6K	2,700	1,100	+1,600	No	-$369	07-19 22:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:00 UTC	42	$2.6K	2,000	1,995	+5	Down	+$1,300	02-06 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:10 UTC	21	$2.4K	4,100	0	+4,100	Down	-$233	03-17 20:15
fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	3	$2.2K	3,000	0	+3,000	Over	-$2,180	06-27 20:35
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.2K	3,829	1,000	+2,829	Yes	-$1,331	07-17 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 23:40 UTC	38	$2.0K	5,165	0	+5,165	Down	+$3,086	03-11 23:43
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	18	$2.0K	1,496	1,496	+0	Yes	+$210	01-26 06:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:30 UTC	37	$1.8K	1,500	1,497	+3	Down	+$1,198	02-04 04:46
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	4	$1.8K	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	+$1,743	07-03 23:55
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	6	$1.7K	1,265	1,265	+0	Yes	+$679	01-23 17:06
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	12	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$10	02-07 00:19
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	16	$1.6K	1,742	1,742	+0	No	-$635	02-07 19:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 04:45 UTC	16	$1.6K	2,478	0	+2,478	Up	+$446	03-02 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 02:05 UTC	16	$1.5K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	+$292	03-31 02:09
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$1.5K	2,275	0	+2,275	Yes	-$1,462	06-29 03:56
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	6	$1.5K	883	883	+0	Over	+$308	07-18 21:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:40 UTC	11	$1.4K	3,600	0	+3,600	Down	+$2,171	03-17 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 02:35 UTC	24	$1.4K	5,800	0	+5,800	Down	+$2,023	03-31 02:39
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	2	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$688	07-19 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:59:14	Will Jeonbuk FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe0c33b…
10-27 11:57:32	Will Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf8a2c7…
10-27 11:45:35	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x910d80…
10-27 11:42:12	Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x939ed1…
10-27 11:36:45	ADC Juan Pablo II College vs. CS Huancayo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x015dc8…
10-27 11:36:06	Will CD Atlético Paso win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x91db3c…
10-27 11:31:27	Spread: AGS Astéras Trípolis (-1.5)	AE Kifisiás	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1be8c7…
10-27 11:29:20	Spread: Spurs (-27.5)	Kings	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa6df1d…
10-27 11:21:03	Exact Score: Beijing Guoan 2 - 1 Jeonbuk FC?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf1de6c…
10-27 11:16:24	Will Jeonbuk FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbf1823…
10-27 11:15:42	Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC: Beijing Guoan 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd630cf…
10-27 11:14:50	Exact Score: Beijing Guoan 1 - 1 Jeonbuk FC?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x48eece…
10-27 11:10:05	Spread: AGS Astéras Trípolis (-1.5)	AE Kifisiás	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7d326a…
10-27 10:59:26	Will Cesena FC vs. Empoli FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6c9cc6…
10-27 10:54:54	Will Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$0	0x7ba4fc…
10-27 10:53:17	Exact Score: Beijing Guoan 2 - 1 Jeonbuk FC?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdeebc4…
10-27 10:50:26	Will Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x9a30d7…
10-27 10:28:03	Truro City vs. Slough Town: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf2976a…
10-27 10:13:23	Will RKC Waalwijk win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf61e27…
10-27 09:56:33	Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x63ce36…
10-27 09:50:54	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0fa01b…
10-27 09:45:42	Will Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Port FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x60f3e3…
10-27 09:45:08	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7b6f8b…
10-27 09:44:53	Will RSD Alcalá vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x826254…
10-27 09:33:32	Will Cong An Ha Noi FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb40a84…
10-27 09:28:53	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb3a01c…
10-27 09:02:23	Daejeon Citizen FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe0bfba…
10-27 09:02:14	CD Manacor vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x601ca0…
10-27 08:53:23	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x95a2f9…
10-27 08:51:21	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdf2edc…
10-27 08:42:53	Will Sestao River Club win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x785c8f…
10-27 08:24:20	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbd0b97…
10-27 08:23:33	Will GS Níki Vólou win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa85a43…
10-27 08:22:18	Will GS Níki Vólou win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x565bb2…
10-27 08:19:50	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xae58ac…
10-27 08:15:48	Will GS Níki Vólou win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4f5c99…
10-27 08:11:44	Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xc07929…
10-27 08:00:41	Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf9988a…
10-27 07:58:36	Will AL-Khaldiya SC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4f1cdd…
10-27 07:57:05	Spread: AGS Astéras Trípolis (-1.5)	AE Kifisiás	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3ec042…
10-27 07:51:26	Will UD Llanera win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7c91ca…
10-27 07:47:56	PSS Sleman leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x521877…
10-27 07:34:17	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcb536e…
10-27 07:17:50	Will PSS Sleman vs. Borneo Samarinda end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x02b777…
10-27 07:01:30	Spread: AE Kifisiás (-1.5)	AGS Astéras Trípolis	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xea9861…
10-27 07:01:26	Will AE Kifisiás win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd8a997…
10-27 06:35:59	Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Vissel Kobe: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x731701…
10-27 06:20:27	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xab64ea…
10-27 06:14:39	Exact Score: Kyoto Sanga FC 2 - 0 Newcastle United Jets?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa40c34…
10-27 06:09:12	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x266c0e…
10-27 06:07:06	Will Tartu JK Tammeka win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0f0b5b…
10-27 06:05:05	Slask Wroclaw vs. Tofas SK Bursa	Tofas SK Bursa	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x744a26…
10-27 06:04:02	Qingdao Eagles vs. Tianjin Pioneers	Qingdao Eagles	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf5efd2…
10-27 06:03:48	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5a0e9a…
10-27 06:03:14	Will FCI Levadia Tallinn win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x434105…
10-27 06:01:24	Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x648e52…
10-27 05:54:05	Qingdao Eagles vs. Tianjin Pioneers	Qingdao Eagles	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7d15a7…
10-27 05:49:00	UD Pinatar vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5c5ef7…
10-27 05:45:23	Will RSD Alcalá vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x511a82…
10-27 05:36:17	Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa7fd6d…
10-27 05:35:42	Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0xb942bd…
10-27 05:28:24	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sestao River Club	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x37ca06…
10-27 05:24:17	Simal vs. Araz Nakhchivan PFK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb90762…
10-27 05:20:15	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2c83a8…
10-27 05:20:11	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0xe61a2c…
10-27 05:15:32	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x467025…
10-27 05:11:08	Will FC Eindhoven vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc5c6d1…
10-27 05:06:03	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x36106f…
10-27 05:04:02	CD Manacor vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5cc1a3…
10-27 04:59:02	Will FC Eindhoven vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x08d48a…
10-27 04:50:38	Spread: FC Den Bosch (-1.5)	VV Rijnsburgse Boys	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x3ffe4e…
10-27 04:43:21	PSS Sleman vs. Borneo Samarinda: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x21db4a…
10-27 04:35:48	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x04ecf0…
10-27 04:34:30	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x980a35…
10-27 04:23:02	Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xdcf9a8…
10-27 04:01:39	Will Almere City FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4b1a69…
10-27 02:41:27	Will SG Sonnenhof Großaspach win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe36f34…
10-27 00:41:27	BC Aris Thessaloniki vs. KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana	BC Aris Thessaloniki	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x74e475…
10-27 00:40:51	CB Murcia vs. Peristeri	CB Murcia	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4fcb7c…
10-27 00:15:33	Spread: Rockets (-17.5)	Hawks	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb8d395…
10-27 00:08:56	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xf5d61e…
10-26 23:56:57	Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5	Over	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x49af06…
10-26 23:39:03	Spread: Hawks (-6.5)	Rockets	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0b42f8…
10-26 23:35:02	EC Pinheiros SP vs. EC Uniao Corinthians	EC Pinheiros SP	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb713a4…
10-26 23:33:05	Spread: Warriors (-4.5)	Nuggets	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9eec52…
10-26 23:26:51	Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)	Elche CF	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x00706b…
10-26 23:16:56	Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 221.5	Over	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xdfd8ae…
10-26 23:13:00	Will EC Juventude vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xce63ec…
10-26 23:09:26	Will Newcastle United Jets win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9f993d…
10-26 22:58:00	Spread: Celtics (-23.5)	Bulls	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcabb52…
10-26 22:54:24	Exact Score: CR Flamengo 1 - 0 CA Mineiro?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb696de…
10-26 22:50:09	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Yokohama BayStars	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xbf3b09…
10-26 22:46:39	Will VV Rijnsburgse Boys win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xad3fcc…
10-26 22:46:05	Spread: FC Den Bosch (-1.5)	VV Rijnsburgse Boys	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc0e68a…
10-26 22:41:14	Spread: Celtics (-31.5)	Bulls	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe9aaee…
10-26 22:30:14	Spread: CR Flamengo (-3.5)	CA Mineiro	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8efcce…
10-26 22:29:03	Will CD Tudelano vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb01157…
10-26 22:20:50	Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa7ae42…
10-26 22:14:06	Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xba93fc…
10-26 21:58:21	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdcbeab…