Decent-Restriction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.84K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

30,154

Trades

120,270

lifetime

Volume

$943.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$467

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-28 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 48% +$16,870

Other

40% 52% -$9,780

Sports

3% 53% -$910

Politics

2% 53% -$329

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 2821 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No		+450	$278	55¢	$250	-$28	10-10 11:31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Under		+150	$82	50¢	$76	-$7	10-10 11:31
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+150	$48	29¢	$44	-$4	10-10 11:31
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	No		+33	$24	100¢	$33	+$9	10-28 19:12
Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	—	+31	$28	100¢	$31	+$3	10-28 19:07
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No		+19	$14	100¢	$19	+$5	10-28 18:26
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC		+15	$11	100¢	$15	+$4	10-28 19:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	26	$11.4K	6,337	6,337	+0	Yes	+$87	02-03 03:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$9.8K	5,037	5,037	+0	Yes	-$43	02-05 03:09
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	12	$4.7K	3,038	3,038	+0	Yes	+$634	02-12 01:26
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	2	$4.0K	2,031	2,031	+0	Yes	+$27	02-03 03:58
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$3.8K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	+$801	07-19 22:49
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 165 189	18	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$328	01-24 17:26
fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	4	$2.8K	6,400	0	+6,400	Over	-$2,780	06-28 01:35
fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	6	$2.8K	12,000	0	+12,000	Over	-$2,765	06-28 01:33
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.7K	4,600	1,771	+2,829	No	+$1,791	07-18 20:27
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	3	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Under	+$1,348	07-04 00:03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	3	$2.6K	4,600	0	+4,600	No	-$2,600	07-03 23:56
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$2.6K	2,700	1,100	+1,600	No	-$369	07-19 22:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:00 UTC	42	$2.6K	2,000	1,995	+5	Down	+$1,300	02-06 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:10 UTC	21	$2.4K	4,100	0	+4,100	Down	-$233	03-17 20:15
fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	3	$2.2K	3,000	0	+3,000	Over	-$2,180	06-27 20:35
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.2K	3,829	1,000	+2,829	Yes	-$1,331	07-17 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 23:40 UTC	38	$2.0K	5,165	0	+5,165	Down	+$3,086	03-11 23:43
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	18	$2.0K	1,496	1,496	+0	Yes	+$210	01-26 06:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:30 UTC	37	$1.8K	1,500	1,497	+3	Down	+$1,198	02-04 04:46
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	4	$1.8K	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	+$1,743	07-03 23:55
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	6	$1.7K	1,265	1,265	+0	Yes	+$679	01-23 17:06
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	12	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$10	02-07 00:19
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	16	$1.6K	1,742	1,742	+0	No	-$635	02-07 19:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 04:45 UTC	16	$1.6K	2,478	0	+2,478	Up	+$446	03-02 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 02:05 UTC	16	$1.5K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	+$292	03-31 02:09
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$1.5K	2,275	0	+2,275	Yes	-$1,462	06-29 03:56
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	6	$1.5K	883	883	+0	Over	+$308	07-18 21:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:40 UTC	11	$1.4K	3,600	0	+3,600	Down	+$2,171	03-17 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 02:35 UTC	24	$1.4K	5,800	0	+5,800	Down	+$2,023	03-31 02:39
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	2	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$688	07-19 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:56:38	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa7329c…
10-28 19:56:20	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x3c29c8…
10-28 19:50:58	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfe22a6…
10-28 19:47:10	Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3014ee…
10-28 19:42:29	Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x780e3c…
10-28 19:40:41	AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9af923…
10-28 19:37:07	Genoa CFC vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1de301…
10-28 19:35:02	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5ed31c…
10-28 19:32:02	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 0 - 2 Juventus FC?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x3f8d47…
10-28 19:25:56	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x69185d…
10-28 19:25:50	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd6ab4a…
10-28 19:25:11	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd5ea4f…
10-28 19:20:25	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9e5261…
10-28 19:12:46	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0xb8cd1d…
10-28 19:07:14	Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xa8dd5a…
10-28 19:06:37	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe1a946…
10-28 19:05:32	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe4f8b5…
10-28 19:04:52	Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2c66f3…
10-28 19:03:17	Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x98315d…
10-28 18:41:55	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x328772…
10-28 18:38:55	Will KVV Quick Boys win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0c2030…
10-28 18:36:02	Spread: KVV Quick Boys (-1.5)	KVV Quick Boys	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9cda3b…
10-28 18:33:31	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xb5b130…
10-28 18:26:32	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x618637…
10-28 18:24:13	Olimpija Ljubljana leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x38d0ab…
10-28 17:44:53	Halmstads BK vs. Malmo FF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5373fc…
10-28 17:38:58	Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x67ff91…
10-28 17:37:23	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xeeab79…
10-28 17:25:34	Exact Score: Venezia FC 0 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x43b13b…
10-28 17:21:44	Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x6e2ef7…
10-28 17:20:19	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc7b8dd…
10-28 17:17:53	Spread: PAOK (-1.5)	AEK	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8d8cbf…
10-28 17:06:59	Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2401d9…
10-28 17:06:01	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: Udinese Calcio 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x554e5c…
10-28 17:02:07	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x948bbb…
10-28 16:52:55	Spread: Chelsea FC (-3.5)	AS Roma	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x65c50c…
10-28 16:51:20	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc48023…
10-28 16:50:41	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9d52cf…
10-28 16:49:46	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb502bf…
10-28 16:44:35	Spread: PSV Eindhoven (-1.5)	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb9d7b0…
10-28 16:38:17	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xb62de6…
10-28 16:33:29	Slask Wroclaw vs. Tofas SK Bursa	Tofas SK Bursa	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf72275…
10-28 16:33:29	Spread: PSV Eindhoven (-1.5)	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0513b1…
10-28 16:25:53	BC Siauliai vs. Maxima Roma	Maxima Roma	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf0a62e…
10-28 16:12:10	SG Dynamo Dresden vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x057a63…
10-28 16:04:19	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0x1fe549…
10-28 16:00:35	SG Dynamo Dresden vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9e3dae…
10-28 16:00:34	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x53c1dc…
10-28 15:56:25	FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Partizan Belgrade: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x339fff…
10-28 15:51:02	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x56938a…
10-28 14:58:43	Aluminij Kidricevo leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9464a5…
10-28 12:02:50	Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)	The Cong - Viettel FC	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x997412…
10-28 11:55:29	Will FC Isloch win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x11178d…
10-28 11:53:13	Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)	The Cong - Viettel FC	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x603c8a…
10-28 11:40:43	Will FC Isloch win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa6b16d…
10-28 11:40:19	Will FC Isloch win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8f583f…
10-28 11:40:13	Will FC Isloch win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8e367a…
10-28 11:30:26	Will FC Isloch win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9feb68…
10-28 09:49:26	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers: FC Pohang Steelers 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa79bab…
10-28 09:43:11	Will Buriram United win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x50f591…
10-28 09:33:40	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6d224e…
10-28 09:27:25	Will Buriram United win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1d23f7…
10-28 09:05:20	Will Buriram United win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3f8484…
10-28 08:39:46	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers: Kashima Antlers O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1f7349…
10-28 02:54:30	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8ab66f…
10-28 02:52:06	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5	Over	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x761504…
10-28 01:17:35	Spread: Ducks (-3.5)	Canucks	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa30cd8…
10-28 00:46:06	Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CDPJuniorFC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x32a659…
10-27 22:54:32	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbb7a4d…
10-27 22:22:27	EC Pinheiros SP vs. EC Uniao Corinthians	EC Pinheiros SP	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe179e0…
10-27 21:11:48	Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf0a32b…
10-27 21:11:33	Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x32c578…
10-27 21:07:21	Cúcuta Deportivo FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x74e6d8…
10-27 21:07:18	Cúcuta Deportivo FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$0	0xa8757f…
10-27 19:30:32	Kosner Baskonia vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x2f85a2…
10-27 19:29:29	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x401cf6…
10-27 19:13:27	Hornchurch FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6672bd…
10-27 19:02:15	Torino FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbd10cb…
10-27 19:00:56	Torino FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x787200…
10-27 18:43:45	Will CE Manresa win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1e575b…
10-27 18:37:05	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8236ad…
10-27 18:34:00	Spread: Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC (-1.5)	UC Sampdoria	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xbd0c0e…
10-27 18:32:57	Spread: Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC (-1.5)	UC Sampdoria	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x733da7…
10-27 18:31:20	Will BVV Barendrecht win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa96b0c…
10-27 18:30:45	Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5)	Almere City FC	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa20157…
10-27 18:30:44	Will VV Rijnsburgse Boys win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x08bb7d…
10-27 18:27:26	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7ec72f…
10-27 18:27:23	Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)	Borussia Mönchengladbach	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xc99e92…
10-27 18:26:48	Wealdstone FC vs. Solihull Moors FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdf9f72…
10-27 18:25:02	Exact Score: Fleetwood Town FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x36f4a4…
10-27 18:25:00	Exact Score: Fleetwood Town FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x387527…
10-27 18:24:41	Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x81ef03…
10-27 18:24:24	ADC Juan Pablo II College vs. CS Huancayo: ADC Juan Pablo II College 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0bdef1…
10-27 18:24:12	Sporting de Alcázar CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5337a7…
10-27 18:24:12	Will Sporting de Alcázar CF vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3969eb…
10-27 18:23:39	Exact Score: CD Manacor 1 - 4 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xbc1e2e…
10-27 18:23:39	Exact Score: CD Manacor 0 - 4 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x0a9924…
10-27 18:16:02	Roda JC Kerkrade vs. VBV De Graafschap: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcf0126…
10-27 18:16:00	Roda JC Kerkrade vs. VBV De Graafschap: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xce11e9…
10-27 18:16:00	Roda JC Kerkrade vs. VBV De Graafschap: Roda JC Kerkrade O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x30a158…