Strident-Sweatshirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved (90d)

5,577

Trades (90d)

13,771

29,041 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$14.3K

$46.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-31 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 79% -$518

Other

6% 72% -$23

Politics

1% 16% -$2

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 2420 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:50 UTC	4	$268	224	217	+7	Down	+$11	04-11 12:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:05 UTC	6	$211	185	179	+6	Down	+$13	04-11 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:35 UTC	7	$195	110	109	+1	Down	+$2	04-06 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:25 UTC	5	$165	85	84	+0	Up	+$2	04-11 12:30
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	44	$136	109	109	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 22:02
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	44	$123	123	123	+0	Yes	-$1	03-12 05:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 15:15 UTC	7	$121	120	113	+7	Up	+$78	04-06 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:45 UTC	13	$120	113	113	+0	Down	+$80	03-29 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:45 UTC	10	$119	87	85	+1	Down	+$10	03-30 13:49
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	39	$107	129	129	+0	Yes	-$1	03-11 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 21:30 UTC	9	$104	72	72	+0	Up	-$3	03-22 21:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 10:45 UTC	26	$102	96	55	+41	Down	-$6	04-07 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:45 UTC	16	$98	129	99	+30	Up	-$4	04-11 11:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:45 UTC	9	$95	105	15	+90	Down	-$19	04-06 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:30 UTC	2	$93	47	47	+0	Up	+$0	03-30 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 15:00 UTC	7	$93	70	67	+3	Up	+$34	04-16 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:25 UTC	12	$92	81	71	+10	Down	+$7	04-11 11:30
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	28	$91	89	89	+0	Yes	-$2	03-11 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 21:25 UTC	32	$87	85	75	+10	Up	-$1	04-08 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:40 UTC	17	$86	74	49	+25	Up	-$13	04-11 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:40 UTC	8	$85	80	47	+33	Up	+$2	04-11 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 22:40 UTC	11	$85	57	55	+1	Up	+$7	04-05 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC	12	$84	57	56	+1	Up	+$3	04-11 11:35
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	40	$81	127	127	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 01:45 UTC	6	$81	58	57	+1	Down	+$12	03-21 01:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 11	28	$79	96	96	+0	No	+$0	03-11 15:46
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	26	$78	60	66	-6	Yes	+$2	03-11 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:20 UTC	6	$77	57	56	+1	Down	+$0	04-09 13:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 22:55 UTC	2	$75	39	39	+0	Up	+$2	04-04 23:00
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:45 UTC	17	$73	49	47	+2	Down	+$2	04-08 00:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 02:26:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcd4734…
10-31 02:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfb88d2…
10-30 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x155b5d…
10-30 13:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe797d6…
10-30 13:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb7486b…
10-30 13:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4695fa…
10-30 13:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x30b66f…
10-30 13:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf4630d…
10-30 13:52:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1d5e18…
10-30 13:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x672eee…
10-30 13:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x339b11…
10-30 13:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe49ea7…
10-30 13:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5a1ad0…
10-30 13:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8ed33b…
10-30 13:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x689a71…
10-30 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xad360d…
10-30 13:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb861f4…
10-30 13:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa4d3ed…
10-30 13:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8f3870…
10-30 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf52237…
10-30 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xab145e…
10-30 13:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x50ee6d…
10-30 13:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7ab3b8…
10-30 13:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2b5266…
10-30 13:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe982dd…
10-30 13:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb4ad95…
10-30 13:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4e38a8…
10-30 13:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x224a9d…
10-30 13:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd5410c…
10-30 12:53:46	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x588168…
10-30 12:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf804d0…
10-30 12:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe78dd3…
10-30 12:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb20aad…
10-30 12:17:21	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7a0f08…
10-30 11:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6277f3…
10-30 10:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6c09f5…
10-30 10:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x86648f…
10-30 10:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf22caf…
10-30 10:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x85587f…
10-30 09:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0ac171…
10-30 09:23:01	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4ee97e…
10-30 09:22:51	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcac22e…
10-30 09:22:19	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x64059a…
10-30 09:22:16	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xed28f1…
10-30 09:22:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x287488…
10-30 08:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0f9086…
10-30 08:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5aab46…
10-30 08:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1d2a86…
10-30 08:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0a2f85…
10-30 08:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc3546a…
10-30 08:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0c0182…
10-30 08:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0402a4…
10-30 08:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x49c9b4…
10-30 08:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa32ead…
10-30 07:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5d69d0…
10-30 07:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc78f25…
10-30 07:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x05346c…
10-30 07:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x40eb8c…
10-30 07:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd3bf30…
10-30 07:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xccfb26…
10-30 07:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9ba3a0…
10-30 07:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3d6815…
10-30 07:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x495649…
10-30 07:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa751eb…
10-30 07:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6f4541…
10-30 07:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x74f4a5…
10-30 07:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9e908b…
10-30 07:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x82800c…
10-30 07:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x43f826…
10-30 06:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x66da0d…
10-30 06:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3e21b4…
10-30 06:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5ef1e4…
10-30 06:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5ab4d8…
10-30 06:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9abf41…
10-30 06:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xef5908…
10-30 06:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xccaf3f…
10-30 03:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x39a4af…
10-30 03:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x608d99…
10-29 20:11:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd7f441…
10-29 20:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf3aaa9…
10-29 20:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5b75cd…
10-29 20:02:25	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85239b…
10-29 20:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe4d715…
10-29 11:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x970277…
10-29 11:48:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd55e1d…
10-29 11:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdbb2b4…
10-29 11:43:53	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85a176…
10-29 11:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf8161…
10-29 11:38:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x41e1f2…
10-29 11:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa93cb4…
10-29 11:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1d56c2…
10-29 11:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x80439a…
10-29 11:29:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59933e…
10-29 11:18:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb0d95f…
10-29 11:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1f2b29…
10-29 11:12:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe70ecb…
10-29 11:12:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28b138…
10-29 11:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x103bf2…
10-29 10:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xade966…
10-29 10:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59e178…